1. US stocks and gold had a strong week, with the S&P 500 rising about 3%; 2. Markets are preparing for potential volatility and policy surprises with Donald Trump's inauguration; 3. The Bank of Japan's meeting on January 24th is a key event with a potential interest rate hike.
Recent #stock market news in the semiconductor industry
1. Realty Income Corporation's share price has dropped by 20% in the past three months; 2. The stock is now at its lowest point since the bear market before the pandemic; 3. The article discusses whether it's a good time to buy the stock while it's cheap.
1. Affirm stock has surged nearly 500% since its 2023 low; 2. Technical analysis indicates a potential for further pullback due to bearish trends; 3. Despite bearish technicals, Affirm's fundamentals remain strong with significant revenue growth and narrowed net losses.
1. Rigetti Computing and other quantum stocks plummeted after NVDA CEO Jensen Huang suggested that good things were far in the future. 2. Investors need to consider the context of Huang's remarks and remember that these investments are more like angel/venture capital situations than conventional companies. 3. Rigetti is the leading company in the superconducting protocol within quantum computing, which is fast but presents more error challenges. Choosing Rigetti's protocol involves accepting higher risk for greater growth potential. 4. For those who understand quantum computing investing, the author rates Rigetti 'Buy'.
1. Rigetti Computing's speculative valuation led to a nearly 50% price drop after Nvidia's CEO commented on the distant scalability of quantum computing; 2. The article argues that Rigetti's fundamentals don't justify its valuation; 3. The author estimates a fair value of $595M with a negative margin of safety, recommending avoiding the stock despite short-term momentum.
1. The S&P 500 ended a 5-day losing streak but still closed the week with a loss of 0.48% from the previous Friday. 2. The index is currently 2.43% below its record close from December 6th, 2024, and is up 1.26% year-to-date. 3. The U.S. Treasury's 10-year note yield closed at 4.60% on January 3rd, which is above its record low.
1. The S&P 500 index ended lower for the holiday-shortened week as Wall Street's bull run lost some steam. 2. The S&P 500 posted a massive advance of +23.31% for the year, marking the first time since 1998 that it delivered back-to-back annual gains of more than 20%. 3. Tesla garnered attention with a Cybertruck explosion and its first annual fall in deliveries. 4. The S&P 500 slipped -0.5% for the week, while the Dow and Nasdaq also fell slightly.
1. The five daily stock market return cycles I track are all pointing down, suggesting a potential end to the S&P 500's rise. 2. Aggressive Fed easing during the pandemic may have negative long-term effects on stocks. 3. Large profits taken since 2021 may have compromised future growth, with S&P 500 earnings potentially declining more than during the 2008 crisis. 4. The yield curve is signaling high risk, with potential S&P 500 declines of up to 67%. 5. Political control in Washington, similar to that during the 2008 financial crisis, may lead to a comparable downturn starting in 2025.
1. Small caps are currently on a rally due to the Federal Reserve's rollback of interest rates and anticipation of aggressive fiscal policies under Trump; 2. They offer less concentration risk and better valuations compared to overvalued large caps; 3. This article outlines the top five reasons for investing in small caps versus large-cap stocks; 4. Investing in small caps can complement a diversified portfolio; 5. Utilizing Seeking Alpha's Quant Ratings can help identify high-performing stocks with strong growth potential.
1. The S&P 500 is overvalued and expected to see a near 'round trip' in 2025; 2. The Nasdaq 100 is a better index than the S&P 500, with historical outperformance; 3. Prediction involves analyzing different scenarios, not being stubborn; 4. Reacting to scenarios is crucial for risk management and seeking excellent performance.
1. Quantum computing stocks surged after winning a NASA contract; 2. November retail sales exceeded expectations; 3. Wolfe Research identifies stocks like Sirius XM and Rivian as potential rebound candidates.
➀ Cambrian Era's stock has surged, with its market value reaching over 240 billion yuan, and its stock price has increased by nearly 340% this year.
➁ The reason behind Cambrian Era's strong stock performance includes its inclusion in the Shanghai Stock Exchange 50 Index, which requires funds tracking the index to buy Cambrian Era's shares passively.
➂ Despite the high valuation, Cambrian Era has never made a profit in its 7-year history, raising concerns about its sustainability.
1. Energy Transfer stock has risen nearly 20% despite recent pullback; 2. Technical analysis indicates a net positive outlook with sustained bullish momentum; 3. Fundamentals show lackluster earnings and overvaluation, suggesting the stock is overvalued relative to growth.
1. Major U.S. stock indices reached record highs early in the week, followed by a slight retreat as the market awaited the November Jobs Report. 2. The Biden administration tightened tech restrictions on China, limiting advanced chip sales and manufacturing equipment, which rallied U.S. semiconductor stocks. 3. South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol faced impeachment talks after declaring martial law, leading to a 2% drop in the KOSPI. 4. Bitcoin surged past the $100,000 threshold due to optimism about Trump's incoming administration. 5. Gold prices fluctuated, rebounding on Friday after the November jobs report suggested rate cuts.
1. SMCI experienced a sharp rise from $35 to $120 but failed to sustain gains, falling to $17 due to technical and external pressures. 2. The article examines the potential future price movement of SMCI as it continues to rise. 3. SMCI's core business in high-performance servers and cloud computing remains strong with key customers like Nvidia, AMD, and Intel.
1. Super Micro Computers faces significant risks due to accounting irregularities and related-party transactions; 2. The stock has experienced extreme volatility following investigations by the SEC and DOJ; 3. Various options strategies are suggested for traders based on their outlook; 4. Friedrich Global Research avoids SMCI due to overvaluation and accounting issues, focusing on long-term investments in consistently outperforming companies.
➀ Since September 24th, the A-share market has seen a strong rebound, with the computer sector up by 52%, far ahead of other industries.
➁ ZKGD's stock price has surged over 100% in the same period, surpassing 100 billion RMB in market value, setting a new record.
➂ ZKGD's revenue for the first three quarters of this year was 80.4 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 3.65%, while net profit was 7.7 billion RMB, up 2.57%.
➃ ZKGD's profitability has been growing, but its revenue growth rate has slowed down significantly.
➄ ZKGD's future growth prospects are uncertain due to the challenges in the server market and the impact of the US entity list.
➅ The company's market value may be overvalued given its current performance and growth prospects.
1. Chinese stocks surged in September and early October due to stimulus measures; 2. MCHI reversed lower after a massive gain, down 14.5% by Election Day; 3. Baidu and Alibaba have experienced round-trip movements in the past couple of months.
1. Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway has been selling off its Apple shares, reducing its stake by about 25% in the latest quarter. 2. Apple's high valuation and weakening balance sheet suggest caution. 3. Buffett's selling trend indicates caution for Apple investors, similar to his past buying behavior.
1. The worst stock performance since September was driven by rising interest rates and a lack of new buyers post-election; 2. Focus on stocks rising during sharp selling and avoid 'falling knives'; 3. Key trades include Long Call Options on Disney and SoFi Technologies, and a cautious approach to T.J. Maxx; 4. Anticipate market recovery post-Nvidia's earnings report, with opportunities to buy the dip in strong consumer discretionary names.