1. Nvidia is expected to report strong Q3 2025 earnings growth of 84.7% and revenue growth of 83.3%. 2. Despite strong earnings, Nvidia's stock may not rise post-results due to high implied volatility and potential market maker adjustments in options trading. 3. Analysts' current revenue estimates for Q3 seem low, suggesting Nvidia might report higher-than-expected results and provide robust Q4 guidance.
Recent #stock market news in the semiconductor industry
1. The major US stock indices had a mixed performance this week; 2. US CPI data matched October forecasts, with the 10-year yield falling; 3. Bitcoin reached a new record high; 4. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East affect global oil supply chain.
1. As of November 8th, SA Quant's Top 10 Stocks for 2024 have significantly outperformed the S&P 500, gaining 124%. 2. Eight out of ten stocks beat the market, with three picks achieving over 100% total returns. 3. The outperforming Quant stocks can be attributed to their stronger investment fundamentals compared to many other stocks in the S&P 500, demonstrating superior valuation, growth, and profitability.
1. Warren Buffett has raised over $158 billion in cash/cash equivalents this year and has continued to sell stocks in Q4. 2. Recent filings show that Berkshire sold another $36 billion in stocks in Q3 and plowed operating earnings into short-term Treasuries as well. 3. Theories for Buffett's selling include overvaluation in mega-cap stocks, a recession warning, or stockpiling money for potential acquisitions.
1. Fortinet's stock has surged 57.76% since January, driven by strong management, scalable products, and successful market penetration; 2. Q3 earnings show a 6.1% YoY growth in billings, indicating future sales growth; 3. Fortinet's unified platform, FortiOS, creates high switching costs and pricing power, enhancing customer lifetime value.
1. The re-election of President Donald Trump led to a surge in stock indices and the US dollar; 2. Corporate earnings and stock movements were prominent; 3. Cryptocurrency rallied with Bitcoin reaching a new all-time high.
1. The S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average reached new record highs; 2. The U.S. presidential election results influenced market movements; 3. The Federal Reserve cut interest rates as expected.
1. AMC reported strong top and bottom-line results for Q3, but burned through over $92 million in cash; 2. Despite multiple debt deals, the company's balance sheet remains in poor condition; 3. The article discusses the challenges AMC faces in managing its financial situation.
➀ The phrase 'It's the economy, stupid' explains why Kamala Harris may have lost the election; ➁ 32% of voters in key states considered the economy the most important issue; ➁ 46% of voters felt their family was worse off than four years ago; ➂ Despite economic indicators being positive, 68% of voters thought the economy was not good or poor.
1. Super Micro Computer's stock dropped nearly 20% on November 6 due to a massive disappointment in its business update; 2. The company failed to provide clarity on its delayed 10K filing and new auditor engagement, fueling fears of potential delisting; 3. Despite a relatively solid financial profile, Supermicro may face intense competition, and investors are likely to see further downward guidance adjustments.
1. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac preferred stock prices surged 60-80% following Donald Trump's re-election; 2. FNMAT's price more than doubled post-2016 election, with similar gains expected after the upcoming power swap; 3. Key developments include Trump's new Treasury secretary appointment and potential immediate FHFA chief replacement.
1. Intel reported a worse-than-expected Q3 results with a $16.6B quarterly loss, driven by non-recurring charges. 2. Despite the loss, the top line beat estimates, and the Q4 outlook is solid. 3. Intel's share price rallied 8% after earnings, trading at a FY 2025 P/E ratio of 22X, significantly below its historical average.
➀ Nvidia's AI leadership leads to its inclusion in the Dow Jones Industrial Average, replacing Intel; ➁ Intel's financial struggles result in a massive stock price drop and layoffs; ➂ Nvidia's stock surge is attributed to the AI boom, making it the second most valuable company in the world.
1. Super Micro Computer's auditor resigned amidst previous bad news, including delayed 10-K filing and NASDAQ delisting threat; 2. The author had a 'Hold' recommendation initially but now advises 'Sell'; 3. The article discusses the author's investment philosophy and career in finance.
1. Taiwan Semiconductor's stock has performed exceptionally well due to the current AI hype; 2. The company is well-positioned to benefit from the continued adoption of AI; 3. Despite a 25% annual growth rate in TSM's largest segment, the company appears overvalued; 4. The author believes TSMC is currently overvalued due to AI 'euphoria' and rates the company a Sell.
1. Vistra's stock surged 61% since the 'Buy' rating; 2. The real driver of the Company's growth is the energy supply gap; 3. The stock's valuation appears extremely stretched, leading to a downgrade to 'Hold'.
➀ SMIC's A-share stock surged, hitting a historical high of 105 yuan at one point during the morning trading session on October 21, with a closing price of 97.48 yuan, up 8.14% from the previous day, marking another historical high.
➁ The stock's year-to-date increase is 70.72%, outperforming the 12.10% rise in the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect Index.
➂ The rise in SMIC's stock is seen as a sign of the A-share semiconductor market's strength. Analyst Mo Wenyu from XinDa Securities attributes the rise to the strong sci-tech nature of the semiconductor industry and its role as an important part of new quality productivity. The recovery trend in the semiconductor industry is becoming clearer with continuous policy support from the government, presenting long-term investment opportunities.
1. Despite healthy EPS growth expected in the upcoming results, it's challenging to make a short-to-medium term Buy case for Philip Morris due to its strong price gains this year. 2. The stock's market multiples are currently high, and with market prospects looking decent for Q4 2024, a shift towards defensive stocks seems unlikely. 3. The author notes that the stock's forward non-GAAP P/E ratio was high even before writing, indicating the risk of short-term investment.
1. The Dow Jones Industrial Average and gold prices have reached all-time highs just before periods of financial market and economic turmoil in the U.S. (1973, 2007). 2. The only other instance of a dual high in these two assets was late 2020 after the COVID-19 pandemic. 3. The occurrence in 2024 could be a warning sign for potential market trouble in 2025, especially with the possibility of oil prices rising due to Middle East conflicts.
1. Palantir is significantly overvalued with a forward EV-to-sales ratio of 34 and a forward price-to-cash-flow ratio of 111.3, indicating a high-risk investment. 2. Despite expected strong Q3 results, the current valuation is unsustainable. 3. The company's commercial revenue growth driven by its AI Platform and boot camps is promising, but its reliance on wartime economics poses long-term risks. 4. Given the speculative nature of its current valuation, consider selling PLTR stock now as a significant correction is likely.