1. The S&P 500 closed at a record high for the third time in four trading days, gaining 1.7% weekly; 2. The index remains above key technical indicators (50- and 200-day moving averages), signaling strong momentum; 3. Year-to-date performance shows the S&P 500 up 7.00% and its equal-weight counterpart up 6.07%.
Recent #Technical Analysis news in the semiconductor industry
1. The author maintains a sell rating on Arm Holdings despite a 12% rebound, citing fundamental weaknesses overshadowing short-term technical bullish signals; 2. Strong Q4 earnings with revenue growth and margin expansion were offset by weak Q1 guidance indicating a sharp slowdown and negative EPS growth; 3. ARM's elevated P/S ratio is deemed unsustainable given its growth outlook, reinforcing the bearish stance.
1. Short-term market pullback is anticipated due to low trading volume on upward days and signs of buyer exhaustion; 2. Intermediate-term bullish outlook remains with expectations of challenging all-time highs, though risk management is heightened and position sizes reduced; 3. Selective stocks (e.g., PRCH, AEVA) show strength, while Bitcoin and Gold require consolidation; macro risks persist but ongoing monetary easing supports asset prices.
1. AMD's technical indicators suggest a bullish trend with strong support levels and an intact uptrend, despite minor caution from Fibonacci Fan Lines; 2. Q1 2025 results showed robust performance with 36% YoY revenue growth and 57% YoY growth in the Data Center segment, driven by AI demand; 3. Q2 guidance forecasts continued revenue growth and strong margins, while the current low P/S ratio indicates undervaluation and potential for multiple expansion, reinforcing a buy rating.
1. JPMorgan is downgraded to a sell due to technical uncertainty and an elevated P/B ratio, despite resilient fundamentals; 2. Technical indicators show a broken uptrend, slowing momentum, and balanced support/resistance levels; 3. Q1 earnings revealed sluggish revenue growth and rising credit loss provisions, while its 85% P/B premium over peers appears unjustified amid economic risks.
1. The market is consolidating gains with healthy corrections, maintaining strong technicals and forming new buy points in leading stocks; 2. Headline risks from tariffs and trade wars persist, requiring careful risk management and gradual exposure as positions perform; 3. Gold shows potential as a hedge, Bitcoin continues to surge, and high-momentum stocks like OKLO and PLTR are prioritized, with TSLA monitored for a rebound.
1. The S&P 500 and NASDAQ 100 face critical resistance at the 200-day moving average and key Fibonacci retracement levels, signaling a pivotal market moment; 2. The NASDAQ 100 has repeatedly failed to breach the 200-day moving average, mirroring patterns seen during the 2022 bear market; 3. A sustained breakout above the 200-day moving average could avert a bear market, while failure may lead to significant declines.
1. Technical indicators like Relative Strength Index (RSI) and moving averages suggest the stock market correction is ongoing; 2. Flat or declining earnings growth may trigger a significant valuation adjustment; 3. Corporate debt resets and the Federal Reserve's pause on rate cuts could pressure profit margins, warranting a conservative asset allocation approach.
1. Technical indicators like bullish crossover and rising RSI signal an imminent upward trend reversal for AMD stock; 2. The upcoming Q1 earnings report (May 6, 2025) is anticipated to trigger this reversal, driven by profit margin expansion; 3. The author upgraded AMD's rating, highlighting growth potential in key products and alignment with GARP investment strategies.
1. The analyst upgrades Arista Networks (ANET) to 'Buy' citing attractive growth-adjusted valuation and a favorable technical setup ahead of earnings; 2. Despite a 25% YTD decline in 2025, ANET maintains strong earnings growth (64.2% gross margin) and is positioned as a key player in AI and cloud infrastructure; 3. Risks include competition and reliance on AI spending, but bullish seasonal trends and a $88 intrinsic value target suggest undervaluation and upside potential.
1. Bitcoin's technical indicators suggest a bullish trend with potential to surpass $100k; 2. Bitcoin's correlation with tech stocks has risen post-ETF approval, but it remains a hedge against fiat currency inflation; 3. ProShares Ultra Bitcoin ETF (BITU) offers 2x leveraged exposure to Bitcoin's price movements, though it carries inherent risks of leveraged products.
1. The article analyzes the technical weakness in Nvidia's stock, indicating potential for further declines. 2. Despite recent earnings showing strong revenue and EPS growth, margin contraction is a concern. 3. The author upgrades the stock to a buy rating, considering undervaluation and potential buying opportunities despite near-term declines.
1. The stock has fallen over 35% since the sell rating in December 2024; 2. Technical analysis indicates a bearish outlook with no signs of bottoming; 3. Revenue spike in recent earnings, but commercialization still distant.
1. The chart and moving averages remain bearish, but indicators show a bullish outlook for Astera Labs stock. 2. The RSI's positive divergence suggests a near-bottom. 3. Earnings show strong growth rates, mixed margins, and slightly soft guidance. 4. Valuation relative to the IT sector is rich but has moderated significantly. 5. The stock is upgraded to a hold rating due to more neutral technicals and reasonable valuation levels.
1. The technical outlook for Costco is bearish with widespread bearish indications; 2. Recent earnings showed revenue growth but EPS growth was disappointing; 3. The stock is overvalued with P/S and P/E ratios not aligned with financials; 4. A sell rating is initiated due to unfavourable risk/reward setup.
1. I am bullish on Nvidia's growth prospects due to healthy RPO growth, a 3.2% growth increment from Stargate demand, and encouraging growth signals from a key supplier; 2. Gross margins are expected to dip in Q1 FY26, but management's assurance of a rebound later is trusted; 3. TSMC's tariff avoidance benefits NVDA, but receivable days and tariff risks are concerns; 4. NVDA's valuations are attractive, but technical charts suggest waiting for a buy signal.
1. Long-term treasury rates have declined, leading to a negative yield spread; 2. The narrowing yield spread is offset by positive developments, including bullish technical trading patterns and expected interest rate cuts in the next ~3 months; 3. The author reiterates a buy rating on NLY stock.
1. Negative divergence in MACD, RSI, and stochastics indicates a potential top and major reversal. 2. Mixed recent earnings with revenue growth and EPS reaching three-year lows. 3. Valuation seems excessive with a high P/S ratio relative to revenue growth and peers. 4. Both technical and fundamental setups are unappealing, suggesting a sell for Snowflake stock.
1. The initial bullish thesis for Bitcoin reaching $117,000 was based on Trump's potential crypto presidency and bullish chart patterns, but it fell short. 2. Despite Bitcoin reaching all-time highs above $109,000, recent trend failures and a drop below $80,000 necessitate reassessing portfolio positions for potential further downside. 3. Indicators like Standard Deviation channels and MACD suggest more room for Bitcoin to fall before reaching oversold territory, prompting a rating reduction.
1. The technical analysis shows a strong bullish outlook with charts, moving averages, and indicators converging; 2. The most recent quarterly results were mixed with revenue growth projected to slow and EPS expected to drop into negative territory; 3. CEO Charles Liang's ambitious 2026 targets confirm the AI growth story for the company; 4. The valuation seems fair or slightly undervalued based on the P/S ratio analysis.
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