1. Q1 ’25 S&P 500 earnings growth nearly doubled from initial low expectations by June ’25; 2. Major indices (S&P 500, Nasdaq) hit all-time highs despite concerns about tariffs or stagflation; 3. Small and mid-cap (SMID) stocks are highlighted as potential non-correlated assets for diversification.
Recent #Market Trends news in the semiconductor industry
➀ Future Horizons CEO Malcolm Penn asserts that Makimoto’s Wave, tracking the semiconductor industry’s cyclical shifts between standardization and customization, remains valid until at least 2037;
➁ Dr. Makimoto, the theory’s originator, highlights its unexpected 80-year relevance and recognition among foundational computing laws like Moore’s Law;
➂ The article revisits the theory’s 1991 publication in Electronics Weekly and its ongoing impact on industry analysis.
1. TSMC's stock surged 34% in 2024 due to strong AI chip demand and leadership in advanced manufacturing; 2. GlobalFoundries shares fell 21% amid weak consumer electronics demand and inventory corrections; 3. The divergence reflects growing market segmentation between AI-driven and traditional semiconductor applications.
1. Tech and AI stocks surged, with Nvidia and Super Micro Computer hitting record highs; 2. Fed Chair Powell acknowledged tariffs' inflationary impact and hinted at potential rate cuts; 3. Small/mid-cap stocks underperformed, while markets stabilized after dismissing $100 oil price forecasts.
1. Major U.S. indices retreated below their 10-day moving averages, reflecting divergent long-term trends; 2. Gold stocks and semiconductors showed strength amid geopolitical tensions, signaling market resilience; 3. Retail sectors declined sharply, likely due to surging oil prices, raising economic concerns.
1. The article highlights recent technological breakthroughs in semiconductor manufacturing processes; 2. It analyzes global market trends and supply chain challenges; 3. Discusses environmental sustainability initiatives in chip production.
1. Inflation is projected to exceed 3% by late 2025, reverting to its post-2022 growth trajectory; 2. Market indicators such as CPI swaps and price-paid indexes signal rising inflation pressures, with headline CPI expected at 2.4% and core CPI at 2.9% year-over-year; 3. The Federal Reserve is unlikely to cut rates soon due to persistent inflation and neutral real rates, making current market expectations for cuts premature.
1. The author argues that stocks outperform bonds long-term, especially during inflation, but recent trends show bonds gaining competitiveness; 2. Rising bond yields and elevated stock valuations have reduced the risk/reward appeal of defensive, income-focused stocks; 3. High-quality dividend stocks with strong growth potential, currently undervalued, present significant opportunities despite short-term market shifts.
1. The author argues the S&P 500's rally is unsustainable due to high valuations and economic risks like rising interest rates and tariffs. 2. Long-term Treasury yields above 4.5% could trigger a stock market reversal, favoring bonds. 3. Tariffs are criticized as a regressive tax and ineffective deficit solution, further pressuring growth.
1. Recent breakthroughs in semiconductor technology are enabling faster and more energy-efficient devices; 2. The industry faces challenges such as manufacturing complexity and global supply chain constraints; 3. Future advancements may focus on AI integration, quantum computing, and sustainable production methods.
➀ AI toys have become a new trend in the toy market with their unique experience of 'talking and thinking';
➁ The market size of AI toys is expected to reach $18.1 billion in 2024 and grow to $60 billion by 2033;
➂ Key chip manufacturers include Espressif Systems, Allwinner Technology, and Unisoc, offering various solutions for AI toys.
1. The global semiconductor industry is grappling with supply chain disruptions due to surging demand from AI, 5G, and electric vehicles; 2. Geopolitical tensions and trade restrictions are exacerbating production delays and material shortages; 3. Companies are adopting strategies like supplier diversification and R&D investments to mitigate risks and ensure long-term resilience.
➀ STMicroelectronics reported Q1 revenues of $2.52 billion with a gross margin of 33.4% and an operating income of $3 million. Net income was $56 million.
➁ The company expects Q2 net revenues of $2.71 billion and a gross margin of 33.4%. A company-wide program to resize the company is expected to save in the high triple-digit million-dollar range by 2027.
➂ CEO Jean-Marc Chery highlighted the improvement in the book-to-bill ratio for Automotive and Industrial segments and the focus on innovation and cost management in the uncertain environment.
1. The article analyzes the technical weakness in Nvidia's stock, indicating potential for further declines. 2. Despite recent earnings showing strong revenue and EPS growth, margin contraction is a concern. 3. The author upgrades the stock to a buy rating, considering undervaluation and potential buying opportunities despite near-term declines.
1. The recent market sell-off has pushed Nvidia's valuation back to 2020 levels, when its data center segment was little-known. 2. Despite the stock's decline, Nvidia's fundamentals remain strong. 3. Risks include GPU pricing power weakening and potential impacts from hyperscaler CapEx pullbacks and semiconductor tariffs.
1. Alphabet is losing market share in global search queries as ChatGPT gains 500M weekly users and over 1 billion daily queries. 2. The DOJ is pushing Alphabet to sell Chrome, with OpenAI and Perplexity planning to launch their own agentic browsers. 3. There are concerns that Alphabet may have to divest Android after five years, leading to fears of a potential 'lost decade' similar to Microsoft's during the 2000s.
1. Bitcoin's recent divergence from stock market trends indicates a risk-off environment is not accurately reflected in its current price; 2. The current market downturn likely reflects changing fundamentals, not a buying opportunity; 3. Bitcoin's speculative nature and sensitivity to interest rates suggest a bearish medium-term outlook.
1. Novo Nordisk shares have dropped ~50% since June 2024 due to poor trial results and other negative catalysts. 2. Despite strong market share and promising early results for Amycretin, competition from Eli Lilly and regulatory risks pose significant challenges. 3. NVO's undiversified product pipeline and political risks, including the Inflation Reduction Act, amplify concerns compared to more diversified competitors.
1. Navigating market turmoil requires a cautious approach and emotional resilience; 2. Global stocks and defensive sectors have been favored amidst market volatility; 3. SA Quant's top 10 strong buys have averaged 117% gains after market corrections since 2010; 4. The article highlights 10 global stocks with strong factor grades, promising growth, and attractive valuations.
➀ Many people, including the author, sold quantum computing shares after Jensen Huang's CES remark;
➁ The author believes that tech shares may be overvalued due to the emergence of DeepSeek and the rise of open-source AI programs in China;
➂ The author suggests investing in Greenland's publicly traded companies, which have seen significant growth in the past year.
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