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March 7

  • Politics And The Markets 03/07/25
    1. The Nasdaq ends down 2%, S&P slides in tech- and tariff-led rout before U.S. jobs report; 2. Trump administration reportedly delays tariffs on certain Canadian goods until April 2; 3. Canada imposes 25% tariffs on $155B worth of U.S. goods in response to U.S. tariffs.
    EconomyTradepolitics

March 6

  • Credo Technology: The Post-Earnings Correction Is Likely Overblown
    1. Credo Technology's stock is undervalued with a 0.52x adjusted PEG ratio, lower than the industry average; 2. The company reported a substantial revenue increase of 87% QoQ and 154% YoY in Q3; 3. Credo's growth is driven by high demand for connectivity and AI infrastructure, with reduced customer concentration risks.
    Market OutlookStock Analysisrevenue growth
  • AMD: Interesting Combination Of Growth And Valuation
    1. AMD's stock decline from $211 to $99 seems excessive; 2. Wall Street analysts remain bullish, while Seeking Alpha analysts offer more moderate optimism; 3. AMD's diversified business includes Data Center, Client, Gaming, and Embedded segments, with Data Center showing the most promise; 4. Financially strong, AMD expects high double-digit growth in revenue and EPS; 5. Fair Value estimated at $129.1, suggesting a 30% upside.
    GrowthValuationtechnology
  • Taiwan Semiconductor: To Keep On Outperforming
    1. Despite the current valuation premium, TSMC's wide moat allows for 20-38% upside potential from today's valuation for 2026; 2. TSMC leads in advanced chip production with significant CapEx plans to maintain technology leadership; 3. The introduction of the 2nm node in 2025 is crucial for high yield and $30B revenue in 2026.
    investmentsemiconductortechnology
  • Tesla: February Numbers Continue To Be Frightful
    1. Tesla is facing significant challenges in international markets, which account for over 50% of its total sales. 2. In China, Tesla's sales declined by 11% in January, while BYD's sales increased by 50%. 3. Tesla's robotaxi project is facing technological hurdles, and any further delays could negatively impact the stock.
    Tesla
  • Should You Buy The Tesla Dip?
    1. Tesla's stock has dropped nearly 31% in the past month due to tariffs, struggling Chinese sales, and a 'buyers strike' against Elon Musk's electric vehicle maker. 2. Despite still being overvalued, TSLA shares are at their cheapest since November 2024, attracting bulls. 3. Seeking Alpha's Quant System rates TSLA as a Hold, with risks including fierce competition in the Chinese market and buyers' strikes from demonstrators opposing Musk's increasing political action in the U.S. and Europe.
    automotiveinvestmentstock market
  • Nvidia: The Bubble Might Finally Be Bursting
    1. Despite a double beat in Q4 earnings, Nvidia's stock has declined due to smaller EPS surprises and disappointing guidance indicating potential future earnings growth is already priced in. 2. Concerns arise from Nvidia's poor conversion of earnings into cash flows, with unusual growth in accounts receivable and inventory. 3. Trade restrictions and tariffs, along with performance issues and fading hype around GenAI, pose significant headwinds for Nvidia. 4. Technical analysis shows bearish signals, suggesting an unfavorable risk-reward scenario for Nvidia's stock in the near term.
    Investment AnalysisNVIDIAearningsstock market

March 5

  • Alibaba's Bullish Momentum Could Accelerate
    1. Alibaba's stock has shown a strong bullish momentum in YTD; 2. The cloud segment reported 33% YoY growth in EBITA; 3. The international segment showed 32% YoY growth and increased geographic diversification; 4. Expected to deliver 12%-14% EPS growth in the next two fiscal years.
    AlibabaTech Stocks
  • CrowdStrike: The Post-Earnings Dip Makes No Sense, Buy
    1. CrowdStrike's Falcon Platform leads the market with AI integration and a SaaS subscription model; 2. The company has substantial growth potential with a projected TAM of $250 billion by CY29; 3. Impressive financial performance supports a target price of $585 per share.
    Cloud Computingcybersecurity
  • Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) Presents at KeyBanc Emerging Technology Summit (Transcript)
    1. Rocket Lab's revenue is 70% from non-launch related activities, primarily from the space systems segment. 2. The launch segment contributes about 30% of revenue, driven by the Electron launch vehicle, with 60 launches completed and the 61st scheduled. 3. Rocket Lab is developing the Neutron launch vehicle, a medium lift reusable launch vehicle designed to compete with the Falcon 9 and meet constellation deployment needs.
  • Caledonia Mining: Optimism In Zimbabwe While Gold Is Bullish - Possible Dip Ahead
    1. Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc maintains a Buy rating due to consistent gold production, promising project developments, and positive outlook amid rising gold prices. 2. The company's Blanket Mine exceeded production expectations, while the Bilboes Sulphide Project and Motapa exploration show strong potential for future growth. 3. Despite higher operating costs, Caledonia's financial health remains robust, supported by a favorable Altman Z-Score and ongoing dividend payments. Investors should consider buying on dips as long as the rising price per ounce creates positive sentiment towards Caledonia stock.
    Investment Strategy
  • Politics And The Markets 03/05/25
    1. This is a forum for daily political discussion on Seeking Alpha; 2. It is published every market day; 3. The comments section is not regulated with the same rigor as the rest of the site.
    politics
  • Nebius: Implications From CoreWeave's $35 Billion IPO
    1. Nebius' peer CoreWeave filed for an IPO in the US with a valuation over $35 billion; 2. CoreWeave's IPO could be bullish for Nebius; 3. We provide Nebius' valuation based on CoreWeave's IPO valuation; 4. We summarize upcoming catalysts for Nebius.
    IPOValuationmarket analysis

March 4

  • Super Micro Computer: Still A Sell Despite Nasdaq Filing Compliance
    1. Super Micro Computer's low net margins suggest a lack of competitive advantage; 2. Its growth rate lags behind NVDA, indicating weak bargaining power in the AI data center market; 3. Historical parallels with Gateway, Inc. suggest potential long-term underperformance; 4. Auditor issues raise concerns about risk perception.
    AI Data Center
  • Microsoft: 5 Reasons Why The Stock Is Now A Strong Buy
    1. Microsoft shares have underperformed compared to the S&P 500; 2. The company has a wide-moat around its key businesses; 3. The value of Microsoft's stake in OpenAI is expected to become clearer soon; 4. The author views Microsoft's valuation as attractive; 5. The stock is rated a Strong Buy.
    Stock Analysisinvestmenttechnology
  • Alphabet's Future Brighter Than Big Tech Alternatives, Think Waymo/Willow (Rating Upgrade)
    1. Alphabet's diverse assets, including Google Search and Cloud, YouTube, Waymo, and Willow, position it as a unique growth-oriented Big Tech giant. 2. Waymo's autonomous driving technology is showing significant safety improvements over human drivers, with a potential valuation approaching $1 trillion over the next 5-7 years. 3. The revolutionary Willow quantum chip could make Alphabet one of the most important high-end semiconductor patent owners on the planet. 4. Shares may be a bargain pick in the Big Tech sector on Wall Street, based on fundamental financial ratio analysis.
    AlphabetAutonomous Driving
  • Intel: 18A Is Now Ready For Customer Project, Reiterate Buy
    1. Intel's 18A process node is ready for customer projects, offering 15% better performance per watt and 30% better chip density than Intel 3. 2. Intel's Xeon 6 processors have been adopted by major partners like Dell, AT&T, and Cisco, reinforcing its position in the AI and data center market. 3. Despite recent revenue declines, Intel aims for 6% future growth driven by client computing, data center, AI, and foundry segments.
    Market Positionperformance improvementrevenue growth
  • ON24: With Revenue Crumbling, This Is Looking Like Dead Money (Rating Downgrade)
    1. ON24 is facing declining revenue and customer base, worsened by strong competition from Zoom and Cisco's Webex; 2. The company's Q4 results showed a continued -7% y/y decline in revenue and a -6% y/y decline in ARR; 3. ON24's business model is flawed with only 51% of ARR in multi-year agreements, making its revenue base unstable; 4. Despite the stock trading at <1x forward revenue, it's likely that ON24 will continue to lose ARR, making it a clear value trap.
    Market Competition
  • Medical Properties: The Rally Can Continue
    1. Medical Properties' Q4 earnings exceeded expectations, boosting shares; 2. The REIT's asset sales enhanced liquidity and supported the $0.08 per-share dividend; 3. Despite a 17% share price increase after earnings, Medical Properties has upside potential based off of its historical book valuation.
    DividendsREITsreal estate
  • Nvidia's Trillion-Dollar Shift Is Here: Wall Street Knows, But Gets It Wrong
    1. Nvidia's next evolution lies in its dominance in inference engines; 2. Inference engines will lead to 'inference ubiquity' across personal and commercial devices; 3. On-device inference will surpass cloud-based methods due to lower operational expenses and improved user experience.
    AItechnology
  • Don't Buy The S&P 500, Buy These Five Dividend Names Instead
    1. The S&P 500 is considered expensive and concentrated, posing risks; 2. The author plans to allocate new funds into dividend growers with a strong track record in challenging markets; 3. The author presents five preferred dividend companies for investment.
    Dividend GrowthInvestment Strategymarket analysis
  • Buy When There Is Blood In The Streets
    1. Despite recent market volatility, the author remains bullish on the intermediate and long-term outlook due to potential positive catalysts like Fed easing and fiscal stimulus. 2. Current extreme fear in the market suggests a potential buying opportunity rather than a reason to sell. 3. Economic resilience and potential Fed rate cuts could offset recession fears, with valuations appearing reasonable, especially in tech and small-cap stocks.
    Investment StrategyMarket Outlook

March 3

March 2

  • A $1 Million Portfolio To Live Off Dividends In Retirement
    1. Explains how to build a $1 million portfolio for lifelong passive income through dividends; 2. Discusses the benefits of dividend investing for retirement, such as reducing sequence of returns risk and providing psychological comfort; 3. Highlights the importance of a balanced mix of high yield, strong growth, and market hedges in the portfolio.
    Dividend InvestingPortfolio Management
  • Bitcoin: I Was Wrong (Technical Analysis)
    1. The initial bullish thesis for Bitcoin reaching $117,000 was based on Trump's potential crypto presidency and bullish chart patterns, but it fell short. 2. Despite Bitcoin reaching all-time highs above $109,000, recent trend failures and a drop below $80,000 necessitate reassessing portfolio positions for potential further downside. 3. Indicators like Standard Deviation channels and MACD suggest more room for Bitcoin to fall before reaching oversold territory, prompting a rating reduction.
    BitcoinMarket OutlookTechnical Analysis
  • Can Sentiment Get Any Worse Than This?
    1. Despite a 5% pullback from its all-time high, the S&P 500 remains up 1.2% this year, yet investor sentiment has plummeted. 2. The CNN Fear & Greed Index has plunged into Extreme Fear territory, and the percentage of bears has risen to a multi-year high. 3. Economic indicators show signs of strain with disappointing retail sales, a contracting service sector PMI, and a significant increase in the trade deficit.
    Economic IndicatorsInvestment StrategyMarket Sentiment
  • Wall Street Week Ahead
    1. Investors will be busy next week with a wealth of data, with the highlight being Friday's jobs report for February. 2. Companies reporting quarterly earnings include CrowdStrike, Broadcom, Target, Costco Wholesale, and Kroger. 3. The market is looking tired, and a decent-sized correction is expected, with tech being hit the hardest. 4. The only ones that appear to be bottoming are Tesla and AMD, but even their support levels could be pushed lower.
    Investment Strategyearningsmarket analysis