seekingalpha
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September 7
- Nvidia: I Didn't Think I Could Get More Bullish - Then Q2 Happened1. NVIDIA reported strong Q2 FY26 results with 54% YoY revenue growth and guided a gross margin of 73.3%–73.5%, alongside potential $2–$5B shipments from China's H20 arrangement; 2. The Blackwell GPU is in volume production, while Rubin (including Vera CPU and Spectrum-X) is on track for mass production in H2 2026; 3. Despite trading at a premium (39x forward P/E vs. tech sector average), the growth narrative and product pipeline justify a 'Strong Buy' rating, though Rubin's timeline poses risks.
- CommScope: Amphenol Deal Offers Fresh Start, But Questions Remain1. TSMC announces its new A16 chip manufacturing technology, set to launch in 2026, promising significant advancements in AI chip performance and energy efficiency; 2. The technology integrates nanosheet transistors and super-high-voltage architecture to reduce resistance and power consumption; 3. TSMC positions A16 as a competitor to Intel's 14A process, highlighting ongoing innovation in the semiconductor industry.
- Ocular Therapeutix: A High-Stakes Bet On Becoming The New Standard Of Care1. Ocular Therapeutix's value depends on the Phase 3 success of Axpaxli for Wet AMD, with recent protocol changes reflecting management's confidence; 2. The company is financially secure through 2028, minimizing funding risks ahead of critical trial data; 3. Superiority in SOL-1 could establish Axpaxli as a new standard of care, while failure risks an 80%+ stock decline, making OCUL a speculative buy requiring cautious risk management.
- Week Ahead: U.S. CPI To Temper Aggressive Fed Rate Cut Speculation, French Political Intrigue And Possible Downgrade, While ECB Stands Pat1. TSMC achieves a breakthrough in 2nm semiconductor manufacturing using Gate-All-Around (GAA) transistor technology; 2. The new process offers 10-15% performance improvement and 25-30% power efficiency gains over 3nm chips; 3. Mass production is expected in 2025, positioning TSMC to lead advanced chip manufacturing for AI, HPC, and mobile devices.
- Petrobras: Oil Giant With Exceptional Margins Worth The Political Risk1. Petrobras demonstrates industry-leading margins and low breakeven costs, supported by resilient cash flows and strong financial health; 2. Despite political risks from state ownership and potential dividend volatility, its undervalued stock and high dividend yield justify a Buy rating; 3. The PBR.A share class is preferred over PBR for its superior yield, as voting rights hold limited practical value under government control.
September 6
- AppLovin: S&P 500 Vindication - At Last!1. TSMC's Arizona semiconductor plant construction faces delays due to skilled worker shortages and union disputes; 2. The company is negotiating with unions to address labor concerns while seeking specialized talent from Taiwan; 3. The delay impacts U.S. semiconductor supply chain goals and highlights challenges in domestic high-tech manufacturing expansion.
- AMD: Why P/E 100 Isn't As Crazy As It Seems1. AMD's high valuation hinges on capturing a substantial share of the AI GPU market from NVIDIA; 2. Tech giants like Microsoft, Meta, and Google support AMD to counter NVIDIA's dominance, ensuring industry backing; 3. Investors must wait until 2026 for meaningful GPU revenue due to delays in chip production and adoption cycles.
- September Dogs Of The Dow Unleash One Ideal 'Safer' DiviDog1. Verizon is highlighted as the only Dow stock meeting 'dogcatcher' criteria, offering well-covered dividends exceeding its share price; 2. Analyst forecasts project 13-31% net gains for top Dow Dogs by 2026, with lower volatility than the market; 3. Most Dow dividend stocks remain overvalued, requiring market corrections or dividend hikes for fair-value opportunities, with Verizon recommended for immediate investment.
- Petrobras: When Market Fear Creates Long-Term Value1. Petrobras demonstrates strong financial performance with resilient margins and production growth, yet trades at distressed valuations compared to global peers; 2. Political risks contribute to the discount, but fundamentals remain robust with high dividend yields, low debt (net debt/EBITDA 1.0x), and a profitable offshore portfolio; 3. A $111B 2029 investment plan balances pre-salt oil leadership and energy transition, offering 50–70% upside potential at current prices for patient investors.
- 5 Clear Signs Of A Market Bubble1. Major stock indexes are near all-time highs despite a weakening job market; 2. The rally is driven by AI optimism and expectations of lower interest rates; 3. Five key charts indicate equities are significantly overbought and overvalued.
September 5
- Freddie And Fannie: Not Too Late Yet, But High-Risk Investments1. TSMC is accelerating the development of its 2nm semiconductor process technology, with trial production planned for 2024 and mass production in 2025; 2. The company is increasing R&D investment and collaborating with ecosystem partners to enhance process performance and yield rates; 3. TSMC aims to maintain its competitive edge against rivals like Intel and Samsung in advanced semiconductor manufacturing.
- Active Managers Aren't Chasing The Tech Rally1. TSMC plans to mass-produce 2nm chips in 2025, offering 10-15% performance gains and 25-30% power efficiency improvements; 2. Apple and NVIDIA are confirmed as first customers, with the technology to be used in iPhone 17 Pro and next-gen AI chips; 3. The breakthrough reinforces TSMC's leadership in advanced semiconductor manufacturing amid global competition.
- lululemon: The Market Is Overlooking Runway For Expansion1. Lululemon's resilient business model and strong brand are undervalued despite recent stock underperformance, offering long-term potential; 2. International store expansion and superior ROIC per store highlight significant growth potential before market saturation; 3. Cyclical headwinds and macro uncertainty have impacted results, but improving consumer sentiment and potential rate cuts may drive recovery, with a DCF analysis supporting a 26% upside and a Strong Buy rating.
- Constellation Brands: More Pain To Come (Short Update)1. Constellation Brands' updated guidance indicates significant sales and earnings shrinkage, reinforcing the author's initial sell recommendation; 2. Despite a lower P/E ratio, high debt and a declining core beer segment make the stock overvalued relative to weakening fundamentals; 3. The recent 6% stock price drop underestimates the 10% business decline, with elevated valuation metrics suggesting further downside risk.
- Rocket Lab: My Biggest Miss And Best Call Ever1. Global trade policy shifts are reshaping semiconductor manufacturing dynamics; 2. Rising tariffs and geopolitical tensions are causing production delays and cost increases; 3. Industry leaders emphasize adaptive strategies to mitigate supply chain risks.
September 4
- Alphabet Has Just Received Game-Changing News1. Alphabet secured a favorable antitrust ruling, preserving Chrome and Android's dominance and future growth; 2. Despite new data-sharing requirements, the primary competitive threat stems from AI-focused players, but Alphabet is well-positioned to adapt; 3. Strong financial performance with double-digit revenue growth and an undervalued forward EV/EBITDA of 14.2x supports a Strong Buy rating.
September 3
- Are We Currently In A Market Bubble Like The One In 1999-2000?1. Strong earnings growth has driven a significant market rally, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq rising over 25% and 33% since April 2025 lows; 2. Current valuations (PE, Price to Book, Price to Sales) are near multi-year highs, resembling past bubble periods; 3. The author urges caution due to thin risk-reward ratios and advises preparing exit strategies amid potential valuation compression and momentum shifts.
September 1
- 2 Stocks I Expect To Likely Double Before The Market Does1. The author emphasizes avoiding high-yield or low P/E traps, prioritizing market expectations and fundamental business quality over headline metrics; 2. Focus is placed on identifying companies with strong competitive advantages, secular growth potential, and shareholder-friendly policies; 3. Two stocks are highlighted as having realistic potential to double in value within 5-6 years due to growth catalysts and management execution.
- Before The Fed Blinks: 8% Yields That Wall Street Is Sleeping On1. Wall Street is overlooking two low-risk, high-yield (8%) investment opportunities in plain sight; 2. Anticipated Fed rate cuts could significantly boost the value of these income-generating assets; 3. The window to capitalize on these opportunities may close once the Fed takes action.
August 31
- Flawed Jobs Data Threatens Fed's September Rate Cut1. Market tension rises as the Fed's September rate cut decision depends on an unreliable August jobs report; 2. Labor data inconsistencies, including large revisions and conflicting signals, obscure the true health of the job market; 3. Demographic changes and reporting flaws may understate unemployment, indicating a weaker labor market than official figures suggest.
- 11 Ways To Profit From Nvidia, Regardless Of What Happens From Here1. The article outlines 11 strategies to profit from Nvidia (NVDA) using ETFs, options, and tailored investment approaches; 2. It emphasizes diversifying tools like leveraged ETFs, inverse ETFs, and sector-specific funds (e.g., SMH, XLK) to manage risk and capitalize on price movements; 3. The author advocates for adaptive, non-traditional methods over passive buy-and-hold investing, highlighting the importance of risk management in volatile markets.
- 2 Of The Market's Most Popular Stocks I Wouldn't Dare Buy Right Now1. Samsung Electronics' Q2 operating profit surged 15 times year-on-year due to AI-driven demand for memory chips; 2. High-bandwidth memory (HBM) for AI chipsets became a key growth driver; 3. The company plans to expand investments in advanced packaging technology to meet AI-related demand.
- SentinelOne: Breakthrough AI Tech Could Change Cybersecurity1. TSMC's Arizona semiconductor fab project faces labor shortages and cost overruns, delaying production timelines and increasing budgets; 2. Cultural clashes between U.S. workers and Taiwanese expatriates, alongside union disputes, exacerbate operational challenges; 3. Geopolitical tensions and delayed U.S. subsidies threaten the project's viability, impacting America's semiconductor supply chain goals.
- Hims & Hers Health: Still Undervalued1. Hims & Hers Health is considered undervalued with a forecast P/S ratio of 3.5, despite 88% YoY revenue growth and European expansion via ZAVA; 2. Technical analysis indicates strong support at $41, suggesting a favorable buying opportunity, though high short interest makes a short squeeze unlikely; 3. Risks include legal uncertainties and potential declines in GLP-1 drug sales, but the author remains bullish and continues accumulating shares.
- S&P 500 Snapshot: Inflation Worries Snap 3-Week Win Streak1. The S&P 500 ended a three-week winning streak with a 0.1% weekly loss due to rising inflation concerns; 2. The index has remained above key moving averages (50-day and 200-day) since early May; 3. Year-to-date gains stand at 10.08% for the S&P 500 and 7.69% for the S&P Equal Weight index.
August 30
- VGT Is Not A Victim Of Nvidia1. TSMC faces severe labor shortages and union opposition in Arizona, delaying construction of its $65B chip plant; 2. Cultural clashes emerge as American workers protest preferential treatment for Taiwanese engineers; 3. Project costs balloon to $72B with production delayed until 2027, jeopardizing U.S. semiconductor supply chain goals.
- U.S. IPO Weekly Recap: Quiet Week As IPO Market Gears Up For A Busy Fall1. TSMC announced a 40% year-over-year revenue growth in Q2 2023, reaching $15.68 billion; 2. The surge is attributed to strong demand for AI chips and high-performance computing (HPC) solutions; 3. The company plans further capacity expansion in Arizona and Japan to meet rising global semiconductor needs.
August 29
- RQI: Own The Real Estate Sector With This High-Yield CEF1. The author maintains a buy rating on Cohen & Steers Quality Income Realty Fund (RQI), anticipating interest rate cuts will drive real estate sector recovery; 2. RQI offers a 7.7% monthly yield with a decade of consistent payouts, appealing to income-focused investors; 3. The fund trades at a NAV discount, provides diversified exposure to real estate sub-sectors, and balances growth potential with manageable leverage and interest rate risks.
August 28
- Housing: 5 More Signs Of A Rapidly Deteriorating Market1. TSMC reported Q2 2023 revenue of $18.87 billion, a 11.9% YoY increase, with a gross margin of 51.3%; 2. Growth was driven by strong demand for 5nm and 3nm technologies, particularly in high-performance computing (HPC) and smartphone sectors; 3. The company adjusted its 2023 capital expenditure to $28-32 billion, prioritizing advanced process R&D and global capacity expansion.
- Nvidia Earnings Hysteria: Best Chip Stocks To Buy Now1. Nvidia's earnings highlight AI-driven growth but face high valuation concerns; 2. Chip stocks rallied on Fed rate cut signals, potentially boosting AI investments; 3. Two undervalued 'Strong Buy' Nvidia suppliers with high growth and margins are recommended, leveraging AI trends.