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March 2
- Bitcoin: I Was Wrong (Technical Analysis)1. The initial bullish thesis for Bitcoin reaching $117,000 was based on Trump's potential crypto presidency and bullish chart patterns, but it fell short. 2. Despite Bitcoin reaching all-time highs above $109,000, recent trend failures and a drop below $80,000 necessitate reassessing portfolio positions for potential further downside. 3. Indicators like Standard Deviation channels and MACD suggest more room for Bitcoin to fall before reaching oversold territory, prompting a rating reduction.
- Can Sentiment Get Any Worse Than This?1. Despite a 5% pullback from its all-time high, the S&P 500 remains up 1.2% this year, yet investor sentiment has plummeted. 2. The CNN Fear & Greed Index has plunged into Extreme Fear territory, and the percentage of bears has risen to a multi-year high. 3. Economic indicators show signs of strain with disappointing retail sales, a contracting service sector PMI, and a significant increase in the trade deficit.
- Wall Street Week Ahead1. Investors will be busy next week with a wealth of data, with the highlight being Friday's jobs report for February. 2. Companies reporting quarterly earnings include CrowdStrike, Broadcom, Target, Costco Wholesale, and Kroger. 3. The market is looking tired, and a decent-sized correction is expected, with tech being hit the hardest. 4. The only ones that appear to be bottoming are Tesla and AMD, but even their support levels could be pushed lower.
- Alpha Picks Weekly Market Recap1. Investor confidence was significantly impacted this week, leading to a shift towards defensive sectors. 2. The Nasdaq, S&P 500, and Dow Jones all experienced declines. 3. Despite market uncertainty, falling bond yields and expected rate cuts may stimulate growth. 4. Nvidia reported strong Q4 revenues despite a slowdown in data center growth. 5. Bitcoin prices fell sharply, and the Crypto Fear & Greed Index dropped, indicating market distress. 6. President Trump announced new tariff measures affecting Canadian/Mexican and Chinese imports.
- Credo Technology: I'd Be Greedy Before The Earnings Release1. I expect a strong Q3 2025 quarter from Credo Technology; 2. Credo's impressive growth in AI infrastructure and strong customer base support its valuation; 3. CRDO's non-GAAP forward PEG ratio is lower than the sector's norms, indicating strong growth prospects.
- Top 5 AI Stocks For March 20251. The U.S. technology sector has shown resilience amidst political uncertainty and geopolitical tensions in 2025. 2. AI presents numerous compelling investment opportunities with a projected market size of $1.36T by 2032. 3. SA Quant has identified five top AI stocks with strong valuations and high earnings growth potential, offering compelling investment opportunities despite geopolitical tensions and inflation.
March 1
- SCHD: The AI Frenzy Is Gone1. SCHD is a 'Strong buy' due to its balanced dividend yield and growth; 2. Growth stocks face challenges from peak optimism, geopolitical risks, and inflation; 3. SCHD's main competitors, VIG and VYM, have less defensive sector exposure and weaker dividend scores.
- S&P 500 (VOO): Don't Buy The Dip, It's Only A Blip, And Head For The Hills If A Rally Fails1. Understanding 'buying the dip' is crucial to avoid significant losses; 2. Focus on fundamentals and long-term growth over short-term price drops; 3. Timing the market is challenging, so prioritize a disciplined investment strategy.
- How I Would Retire On A $1 Million REIT Portfolio1. It is possible to retire on a $1 million REIT portfolio; 2. Focus on blue-chip income REITs and preferred shares; 3. A hypothetical case is presented for a REIT portfolio.
- 7 Stocks I'm Buying As The U.S. Economy Starts To Crack1. Emphasizes the importance of nonpartisan economic and investment analysis; 2. Discusses the impact of Medicaid cuts on skilled nursing facility REITs and the opportunity for CareTrust REIT; 3. Analyzes the challenges for single-family rental REITs and the defensive investment approach in the current economic climate.
February 28
- Bitcoin Briefly Dips Below $80,0001. Bitcoin dipped below $80,000 due to risk-off moves and Trump's tariff threats; 2. Investors are moving towards safer assets; 3. Bitcoin could lose all gains from the post-election rally if risk-off sentiment continues.
- 5 Overlooked 12% Yields To Supercharge Your Early Retirement1. Early retirement can be achieved by accumulating a large nest egg and gradually depleting it over time through asset sales, such as shares in a diversified S&P 500 ETF. 2. This article suggests five investments yielding over 12% that could accelerate the timeline for early retirement. 3. The author emphasizes the importance of diversifying income and securing financial freedom without taking on excessive risk.
- JEPQ: Nasdaq 100 Volatility High Amid Mag 7 Drawdowns, Bullish Tech Seasonality1. Tesla's stock has dropped over 40% from its peak, indicating caution and a potential opportunity to overweight Nasdaq 100 later. 2. The author recommends JPMorgan Nasdaq Equity Premium Income ETF (JEPQ) due to its covered-call strategy, which outperforms QQQ with higher income returns amidst elevated volatility. 3. JEPQ benefits from selling options in a high-volatility environment, offering a rising dividend yield near 10%, making it a favorable entry point.
- Nvidia Q4 Earnings Review: Losing On AI Inference1. Nvidia beat EPS and revenue estimates, but margin compression and high TCO for inference GPUs remain significant concerns; 2. Despite impressive Q4 results, Nvidia's gross margins fell below expectations; 3. Nvidia's valuation remains high compared to sector medians, and shrinking margins could lead to P/E multiple compression, presenting downside risks.
- Rocket Lab Earnings: Neutron On Track But Volatility Reigns1. Rocket Lab reported earnings, with shares falling 12% after the close; 2. Neutron project is on track, but a guidance miss and market sell-off increase short-term risk; 3. The current stock price may offer value for long-term investors, but short-term volatility and potential further declines are possible.
- Chipotle: Rare Opportunity To Buy At A Truly Attractive Price1. Chipotle's stock is now a 'Buy' due to attractive valuation, strong fundamentals, and significant growth potential despite the recent CEO transition. 2. Q4-24 results showed impressive revenue growth, strong same-store sales, and continued unit expansion, maintaining high restaurant-level profitability. 3. Market expectations for 2025 are low, setting up the potential for multiple 'Beat & Raises'.
- Dell Technologies Inc. (DELL) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript1. The call discusses Dell Technologies' Q4 2025 financial results, including revenue, earnings, and guidance. 2. Key executives provide insights into the company's performance and market trends. 3. Participants ask questions about the company's strategy and future prospects.
- Warner Bros. Discovery: Only DTC Matters To Mr. Market1. Warner Bros. Discovery's potential extends beyond its DTC business, with multiple avenues for future growth and profitability. 2. The DTC turnaround is promising, with international markets poised for significant growth. 3. Despite lower EBITDA, the networks segment remains a substantial cash cow.
- Politics And The Markets 02/28/251. This is a forum for daily political discussion on Seeking Alpha; 2. The comments are not regulated with the same rigor as the rest of the site; 3. The forum is an 'enter at your own risk' area due to heated discussions.
- Is Super Micro Computer Stock Making A Comeback?1. Super Micro Computer, Inc. saw a surge of up to 20% after regaining Nasdaq compliance and submitting strong earnings results; 2. The stock's gains retreated on Thursday due to delayed accounting and short reports; 3. Despite the recent volatility, the company has a strong growth outlook and is trading at a discount, with Seeking Alpha's Quant System rating it as a Hold.
February 27
- A Major Market Disruption Is Underway: My Top Picks1. AI stocks like Tesla and Palantir are experiencing a downturn, but there are undervalued dividend growth stocks poised to thrive in the AI boom. 2. We discuss two opportunities for significant AI-driven growth. 3. Focus on undervalued dividend growth stocks for real exposure to AI's future.
- SoFi Technologies: Fintech Hype Against Biting Competition1. SoFi Technologies' valuation is excessively high with aggressive growth assumptions unsupported by fundamentals and competition. 2. SOFI faces intense competition from both traditional financial giants and fintech companies, posing risks to its growth strategy. 3. Despite profitability in 2024, SOFI's slowing revenue growth and high competition make long-term aggressive growth challenging. The DCF model and valuation ratios suggest significant downside potential, justifying a SELL rating due to high risks and uncertainties.
- Palantir's Weakness Is A Chance To Buy Our Top Tech Pick (Rating Upgrade)1. Palantir's 2024 strong results, including 38% YoY revenue growth and a $1.25 billion adjusted FCF, justify upgrading it back to a BUY. 2. The company's commercial revenue surged by 54%, balancing its reliance on government contracts and driving future growth. 3. Palantir's software, especially Palantir Prix, continues to deliver high margins and strong customer results, enhancing its valuation justification. Despite a lofty valuation, Palantir's rapid growth and AI-driven market demand make it a compelling investment opportunity for the decade.
- It's Time To Close The 'Long Bitcoin, Short (Micro)Strategy' Trade1. In October, the author recommended a 'long Bitcoin, short MicroStrategy' trade due to MSTR's high NAV premium and reduced borrowing capacity. 2. Since then, Bitcoin has increased by 21%, while MSTR has mostly been flat, validating the trade idea. 3. However, MSTR's NAV premium has significantly shrunk, and the company's recent convertible issuance indicates a strong interest in zero-cost convertible bonds, suggesting it's time to close the trade.
- Bull Market Keeps Advancing Despite Multiple Bearish Signals1. The stock market is believed to be tracing out the extended peak of the third great speculative bubble in U.S. history, with valuation measures more extreme than both the 1929 and 2000 market peaks. 2. The equal-weighted S&P 500 has returned less than 2.4% since the initial January 2022 market peak, while the small-cap Russell 2000 has lagged T-bills by more than -10.6%. 3. Valuations are informative about long-term returns but not reliable for short-term outcomes, as investor psychology significantly impacts short-term market performance.
- Adobe: Buy This Overlooked Industry Leader At A Reasonable Price1. Adobe's stock is 36% off its all-time high, making it reasonably priced despite slower growth and competition from cheaper alternatives like Canva; 2. Adobe's growth has slowed to the low-double digits, but it remains a growing industry leader, with a relatively steady growth rate expected; 3. Adobe's Creative Cloud and continuous innovation in AI keep it indispensable for professionals, with an estimated 37 million Creative Cloud subscribers; 4. The author expects more buybacks from the company, which should support the share price.
- Bulls Can Breathe As Nvidia Beats1. Nvidia's Q4 results exceeded expectations with $0.89 EPS and $39.33B revenue, driven by strong data center performance and Blackwell GPU demand. 2. Despite 78.8% YoY revenue growth, after-hours trading was choppy due to high investor expectations and lack of 'positive shock value'. 3. Nvidia forecasts $43B revenue for Q1 fiscal 2026, exceeding analyst predictions, highlighting robust demand and supply constraints for AI chips.
February 26
- Top 10 Beaten Down Tech Stocks For 20251. Investors are shifting from tech stocks to defensive sectors due to proposed tariffs, political instability, and consumer confidence issues. 2. Historically, tech stocks with strong fundamentals have faced sharp pullbacks but tend to rebound significantly. 3. The author showcases the Top 10 SA Quant Tech stocks that have dipped but could rebound, all rated as Strong Buys. 4. The 2025 list focuses on AI and innovation, with significant growth over the past year.
- Super Micro Regains Nasdaq Filing Compliance, Should You Buy?1. Super Micro Computer has regained NASDAQ compliance, leading to a 20% stock surge; 2. The company remains undervalued with significant growth potential in AI datacenter builds; 3. Supermicro 4.0 initiative aims to reduce data center build times, enhancing operational efficiency and revenue targets; 4. With a strong backlog, aggressive ramp-ups, and strategic investments, SMCI is poised for a 100% upside, making it a Strong Buy.
- Realty Income: Disappointing Guidance Turns Me To 'Hold' Once Again (Rating Downgrade)1. Realty Income, with a 30-year history of dividend growth, faces disappointment regarding 2025 guidance; 2. Despite solid 2024 results with a 4.8% AFFO per share growth, 2025 guidance is only expected to grow by 1.4%; 3. High interest rates, upcoming debt refinancing, and tight investment spreads are constraining Realty Income's growth; 4. The recommendation is to hold the stock due to its strong balance sheet, reliable dividends, and income potential, but caution is advised for investors expecting substantial growth.