seekingalpha
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September 24
- Kinross Gold: Still An Undervalued Miner In A Strong Gold Market1. Kinross Gold maintains a Buy rating due to strong financials and production growth, despite a 53% stock surge since July 2025; 2. The company achieved record free cash flow in Q2 and H1 2025, with further upside expected from rising gold prices and stable output; 3. Macro factors like Fed rate cuts and potential M&A activity support long-term growth, while DCF analysis suggests significant undervaluation at current gold price levels.
September 23
- BGY: Inconsistent NAV Growth Limits The Appeal1. TSMC introduces A16 chip manufacturing technology using GAAFET transistors, enhancing performance and power efficiency; 2. The technology is slated for production in 2026/2027, targeting next-gen AI chips; 3. A16 aims to strengthen TSMC's competitiveness against rivals like Intel and Samsung in advanced semiconductor nodes.
- Oracle: OpenAI Deal Risk (Double Downgrade)1. Oracle was downgraded from strong buy to hold due to concerns over limited upside and risks tied to its $300B AI infrastructure deal with OpenAI; 2. High price-to-earnings and price-to-book ratios indicate stretched valuations, making shares appear expensive; 3. Execution risks and OpenAI's funding gap create uncertainty, despite the transformative potential of the partnership.
- Driven To Perform: Top 3 Auto Stocks1. Consumer discretionary and automotive stocks surged since April 2025 due to expectations of interest rate cuts, easing trade tensions, and stable economic growth; 2. The Fed's recent rate cut is expected to further boost the sector by lowering borrowing costs and increasing consumer spending on automobiles; 3. Three automotive parts and equipment stocks with strong fundamentals and earnings growth potential were identified by SA Quant.
- Nvidia Consolidates: The Moat Just Turned Into A Fortress1. Nvidia is entering a consolidation phase to strengthen market dominance and expand its competitive moat through strategic partnerships and acquisitions; 2. The recent Intel partnership broadens Nvidia's total addressable market (TAM), enhances ecosystem control, and integrates its technology across consumer and enterprise sectors; 3. Despite premium valuations, Nvidia's growth trajectory and earnings momentum justify a Buy rating, though risks include execution challenges from its expansive strategy.
September 22
- Wall Street Breakfast Podcast: Berkshire Bids Farewell To BYD1. Berkshire Hathaway fully exited its 17-year investment in Chinese EV maker BYD, marking the end of a stake once valued at $415M; 2. Nissan unveiled its ProPilot driver-assist system, designed to rival Tesla's FSD with enhanced safety features like driver monitoring; 3. Hamburger Helper sales surged 14.5% as inflation drives consumers toward affordable meal options, reflecting a broader shift to value-oriented products.
- 15-Year Bull Markets: Signs Of A Potential Major Top (Or Not) And Knowing What Hasn't Worked1. The S&P 500 is nearing historical long-term channel highs, with 2025 potentially marking its third consecutive year of double-digit returns; 2. A surge in IPOs in 2025, significantly higher than 2024, raises questions about a possible market top; 3. Tight credit spreads and low Treasury yields pose challenges for fixed income, though Fed easing policies may offer short-term relief.
- S&P 500 Earnings: Scary Charts - Don't Forget To Pay Attention To Asset Classes That Haven't Worked In The Last 15 Years1. The S&P 500's forward 4-quarter earnings estimate rose slightly to $284.21, with a P/E ratio of 23.4x and an earnings yield of 4.26%; 2. The current bull market is described as more 'orderly' compared to the late 1990s, particularly in retail investor behavior; 3. Three Fed rate cuts in 2025 are expected to support continued gains in stocks and bonds.
- Stereotaxis At Inflection Point: Why I Choose To Hold1. ASML's Q2 orders tripled year-over-year, driven by strong demand from Chinese chipmakers; 2. The company warned that new export restrictions could impact 10-15% of its China-related sales; 3. Despite geopolitical tensions, China accounted for 49% of Q2 system sales as customers accelerated purchases ahead of potential bans.
- The Bottom Fishing Club - Simulations Plus: Huge Potential In AI Drug Discovery1. A breakthrough in semiconductor materials enhances chip performance by 50%; 2. Collaboration between tech giants and research institutions accelerates innovation; 3. The advancement is expected to impact AI, IoT, and consumer electronics industries.
September 21
- Why I'm Positioning My Portfolio For The Fed's Most Dangerous Gamble Yet1. The Fed and White House are risking higher inflation to fuel economic growth, creating significant risks and opportunities; 2. While Big Tech drives GDP, the struggling real economy makes rate cuts risky but sets the stage for market rotation; 3. The author positions their portfolio in cyclical value stocks, energy, and AI-linked sectors to capitalize on future returns despite short-term volatility.
- Wall Street Week Ahead1. Federal Reserve officials, including Chair Jerome Powell, will provide insights following the recent interest rate cut after nine months of unchanged policy; 2. Key economic data releases include Q2 GDP growth estimates and August personal income/outlays data with the core PCE inflation index; 3. Earnings reports from major companies like Micron Technology, Costco, and Accenture will be closely watched this week.
- PPLT: Platinum Breaking Out - Still Undervalued To Gold By Over 200%1. The Platinum ETF PPLT is highlighted as a top investment choice to 2030 due to constrained supply from South African production cuts and rising demand; 2. Platinum remains significantly undervalued compared to gold, with low correlation to other assets, enhancing its role as a portfolio diversifier; 3. Palladium price declines are indirectly boosting platinum's rebound, supported by Sibanye Stillwater's production adjustments.
September 20
- SPE: A Review Of The Special Opportunities Fund Semi-Annual Report1. TSMC's Arizona semiconductor plant faces labor shortages and $4-5 billion cost overruns; 2. The project may receive $5 billion in U.S. subsidies but struggles with specialized worker recruitment; 3. Union opposition arises over plans to bring Taiwanese technicians, risking project delays.
- lululemon: Don't Be Tempted1. The article discusses the limitations of traditional silicon-based semiconductors in meeting modern performance demands; 2. It highlights breakthroughs in alternative materials like graphene and gallium nitride, which offer higher efficiency and miniaturization potential; 3. Challenges in mass production and integration with existing technologies are addressed as key hurdles for widespread adoption.
September 19
- Expensify: Tough To Argue With Solid Cash Flow1. Expensify (EXFY) presents value as an undervalued small-cap stock with strong cash flow metrics, trading at 5.7x EV/FY25 FCF, far below large-cap tech peers; 2. The company is streamlining pricing and enhancing AI features to reverse membership declines and drive growth, supported by a 50% brand awareness boost from its F1 movie sponsorship; 3. Despite execution risks and recent user base challenges, the author reiterates a 'Buy' rating, viewing current share price weakness as an opportunity.
- Inflection Points: No Reservations, Just Valuations1. Investors are increasingly concerned about market valuations, but consensus expectations and long-term economic growth may justify current levels; 2. Elevated valuations could persist, making reversion to historical averages an unreliable strategy; 3. Structural shifts like automation, infrastructure development, defense tech, and cybersecurity are key themes supporting economic resilience and market valuations.
September 18
- Eureka! My Favorite Picks To Benefit From Massive AI Disruption1. The author identifies companies benefiting from AI-driven market disruptions by focusing on sectors where demand significantly exceeds supply; 2. The strategy prioritizes mission-critical businesses with sustainable growth potential, avoiding short-term trends; 3. Key opportunities span technology (e.g., GOOGL, NVDA), infrastructure (e.g., KMI, TRP), and energy (e.g., CNQ) sectors.
- The Oracle Of AI Or Waiting For An OpenAI Disaster? (Rating Upgrade)1. Oracle is upgraded to a strong buy with 18% upside potential, driven by cloud infrastructure growth and AI demand; 2. A $300 billion OpenAI data center deal and rising performance obligations indicate major future revenue expansion; 3. Despite recent earnings misses, cloud revenues grew 28%, with long-term EBITDA CAGR projected at nearly 30% through 2028.
- When The Fed Cuts: Lessons From Past Cycles For Investors1. The Federal Reserve's 2024 rate cuts reignited debates on whether easing cycles signal economic expansion or impending recession; 2. Inflation remains a key concern, impacting portfolio strategies amid uncertain Fed actions; 3. Historical analysis of past monetary policy cycles provides insights into yield curves, market leadership, and economic outcomes.
September 16
- 6 Top Stocks For A Fed Rate Cut1. Investors assess the Fed's 2025 rate cut likelihood amid conflicting labor and inflation data; 2. Small-cap stocks benefit from lower financing costs, while dividend stocks gain appeal as yields drop; 3. A barbell strategy combining growth (small-caps) and stability (dividend payers) is recommended, with SA Quant identifying six top stocks.
- Stride: Record Q4 Results, Strong FY2026 Setup, And Options Market Tailwinds1. Stride has transitioned to a recurring-revenue model driven by K-12 enrollment growth, career pathways, and an improved balance sheet; 2. FY2025 saw 20%+ enrollment growth, 18% revenue increase, margin expansion, and operational efficiency gains in teen career programs; 3. Management streamlined operations by addressing underperforming adult learning segments, focusing on high-return K-12 and career initiatives, with FY2026 guidance projecting 10-15% enrollment growth and sustained profitability.
- FMC Corporation: Undervalued Chemical Giant With A 6% Dividend Yield1. FMC Corporation is a global leader in crop protection chemicals, maintaining competitiveness through innovation and customer relationships; 2. The company faces risks such as patent expirations, macroeconomic pressures, and high debt but is implementing strategic adjustments, including exiting direct sales in India; 3. Despite slow growth in 2024, FMC anticipates improved EBITDA and EPS, driven by new products and market expansions in regions like Brazil, with a 'buy' rating and 42% upside potential alongside a 6.1% dividend yield.
- TSMC: Winning Quietly As AI Titans Battle1. TSMC demonstrates strong fundamentals with rising sales, expanding market share, and robust EBITDA growth despite higher R&D investments; 2. The company's valuation remains attractive, supported by projected EPS growth and management optimism, reinforcing a Strong Buy rating; 3. While short-term risks like overbought conditions and market volatility exist, TSMC's long-term prospects in AI and semiconductor leadership remain compelling.
- S&P 2025 Target Raised To 7,000 On AI Momentum And Fed Clarity1. The S&P 500's 2025 year-end target is raised to 7,000 due to sustained AI-driven earnings growth and clearer Fed rate cut expectations; 2. Anticipated Fed rate cuts have pushed 10-year Treasury yields toward 3.5-4.0%, supporting a 23x P/E ratio; 3. A 2026 S&P 500 target of 7,700 is introduced, based on a 23x multiple of projected 2027 earnings of $335.
- ARGT: Downgrading To Hold Post Elections1. The U.S. announced a 50% tariff on Chinese semiconductors starting in 2025 to protect domestic industries and address security concerns; 2. China criticized the move as protectionist, warning it could disrupt global supply chains; 3. The tariff escalation reflects deepening U.S.-China tensions over technology dominance and trade imbalances.
September 15
- Broadcom: 4 Reasons Why It Is Still A Buy1. Broadcom's critical small components are essential to AI infrastructure development; 2. The market underestimates its growth potential in XPU and AI inference technologies; 3. The stock remains undervalued even if valuation multiples contract.
September 14
- 3 Key Questions For Investors1. The article discusses the ongoing global semiconductor chip shortage and its widespread impact on industries such as automotive and electronics; 2. It highlights supply chain disruptions caused by geopolitical tensions, pandemic-related delays, and surging demand; 3. It outlines efforts by manufacturers and governments to address shortages through increased production and strategic investments.
- Wall Street Week Ahead1. Samsung Electronics faces its first-ever labor strike as unionized workers protest unresolved wage disputes; 2. The National Samsung Electronics Union demands improved wages, bonuses, and transparent performance-based pay; 3. The strike could disrupt semiconductor production, impacting global supply chains amid industry recovery efforts.
- CommScope Reset: Deleveraging, Dividend-Ready, Poised For Growth1. CommScope's divestiture of its $10.5B CCS unit enables aggressive debt reduction and improved EBITDA margins; 2. Management prioritizes deleveraging and signals potential special dividends, enhancing shareholder value; 3. Despite a 220% stock rally, valuations remain attractive, with long-term growth and rerating potential supporting a Buy rating.