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December 23
- Is Vista Energy A Growth Stock At A Value Price? Production Poised To Double By 20301. Vista Energy is pursuing an aggressive growth strategy to double production by 2030, utilizing its high-return shale oil assets in Argentina's Vaca Muerta basin. 2. Despite high Capex costs, the company's valuation seems relatively cheap with strong EBITDA margins and improving financial metrics. 3. The company's future outlook is positive, but risks include Argentina's political and economic stability.
December 22
- Salesforce: My Top Long Idea For 20251. Despite mixed Q3 results, CRM's stock surged due to the launch of Agentforce, which signed 200 deals in its first week; 2. Agentforce 2.0, with advanced features and integrations, positions CRM to capitalize on the booming Enterprise AI market; 3. Valuation suggests a 22.5% upside, with a price target of $421 driven by Agentforce's traction and CRM's strategic acquisitions.
- Alibaba: Expanding Globally With Strength1. Alibaba remains a Strong Buy due to its aggressive investments in e-commerce and cloud computing, with a 74% potential upside; 2. The company shows stable revenue growth and strong financials despite a challenging economic environment and competitive pressures; 3. Alibaba's international expansion and innovative initiatives in AI and cloud computing are promising for future growth.
- A New Downcycle Has Started For Applied Materials: Here Is When I'll Start Buying1. Applied Materials (AMAT) has seen a -36% decline in stock price in less than six months; 2. The author suggests a strategy of buying cyclical stocks like AMAT after a 50%-65% decline; 3. The author believes AMAT is a strong candidate for cyclical investing during downturns due to historical price patterns.
- Adobe: SaaS Leader At A Great Price1. Adobe's strong financials and efficient operations position it for continued growth despite recent share sell-offs; 2. Fiscal year 2024 Q4 results exceeded expectations, but shares declined due to lowered guidance and concerns about AI investments paying off; 3. Adobe's valuation is attractive, trading below historical averages, and potential returns could be double digits if growth targets are met.
- Digital Ocean: One Of My Top 5 Growth Plays In 2025 For "AI Arm Race"1. AI is expected to be a major growth driver in 2025, leading to an 'AI arms race'; 2. DigitalOcean is positioned to benefit from this trend, focusing on SMBs and democratizing AI access; 3. Despite recent growth deceleration, the company's niche market of companies with <500 employees is projected to grow significantly, reaching $210B by 2027; 4. The year-end tax-loss selling presents a buying opportunity, with DOCN undervalued relative to its growth potential and sector peers; 5. Gartner's projection of a 9.3% IT spending growth in 2025 supports DOCN's potential for substantial gains with AI cloud tailwinds.
- The Fed Erred; And We'll All Pay1. The Federal Reserve's rate cut will support markets but keep inflation above the 2% target; 2. The decision to cut rates is puzzling given persistent inflation above the 2% goal; 3. The Fed's board member warns of the risks of prolonged inflation.
- monday.com: Uncommon Quality, Unseen Value1. monday.com is a versatile SaaS platform offering adaptable, low-code solutions, contrasting with rigid, less user-friendly legacy providers like Salesforce and ServiceNow. 2. Despite its high valuation, monday.com shows strong growth metrics, including a 26% CAGR in customer base and 89.65% gross margins. 3. The company passes all factors in the Five Factor Model, with valuations acceptable provided management executes decently.
- Home Depot: Overvalued And Losing Momentum1. The financial and technical indicators of Home Depot suggest the stock is overvalued with declining momentum and volume, indicating potential downside risk. 2. Despite revenue growth and steady dividends, HD's shift towards professional clients introduces new risks and economic sensitivity. 3. Valuation metrics like Forward P/E and EV/Sales show HD trading at a premium compared to historical averages and industry peers.
December 21
- If I Had To Invest $100,000 In A Dividend Growth Portfolio Right Now, Here's What I Would Buy1. The methodology involves scoring and ranking 55 stocks across 11 sectors using earnings yield, dividend yield, and 5-year dividend CAGR; 2. Stocks without dividends are excluded to focus on dividend growth, momentum, and value; 3. The top stocks by sector are evaluated and backtested in an equal-weighted format, showing outperformance versus the S&P 500 with dividends reinvested and less volatility.
- Carnival: Smooth Sailing Ahead1. Peak occupancy, higher pricing, and increased onboard spend are boosting earnings outlook; 2. New ships over the next 10 years can improve long-term gross margin through energy efficiency; 3. Valuations are attractive at a 11.5% discount vs. peers; 4. Technical analysis shows an early bullish reversal sign.
- UBER: Debunking The Bear Arguments1. UBER's strong platform and AV partnerships position it well in the robotaxi market despite investor concerns; 2. The current stock price drop is seen as a buying opportunity due to UBER's underappreciated AV market value and supply demand dynamics; 3. Gross bookings deceleration is not alarming, and 24% growth remains impressive for UBER's size, with past high-growth rates skewing current comparisons; 4. Valuation remains attractive with expected high EBITDA growth and share buybacks, suggesting significant future share price appreciation.
- Prologis: Buy The Best At A Bargain1. Following market trends can be profitable, but sector rotations in real estate show the importance of timing and adaptability. 2. Prologis, a major REIT in industrial real estate, faces challenges due to slowed demand and increased vacancies, yet still offers growth potential. 3. Post-pandemic, industrial real estate demand has normalized, leading to higher vacancies and slower rent growth, but future demand may stabilize as deliveries slow. 4. Despite current struggles, PLD's diversified business and growing dividend present a strong long-term buying opportunity as the market adjusts.
- Palantir: Winning The Race To AGI1. Palantir's shares have surged over 30% due to expectations of its role in enhancing government efficiency and its progress towards AGI; 2. Palantir's unique data sets and ontology system position it as a leader in AGI for superior insights; 3. Despite a high forward P/E ratio, Palantir's exceptional EPS growth justifies its valuation, with potential for additional upside.
- Wix.com: Full Steam Ahead1. I'm reiterating my buy rating on Wix after the company posted excellent Q3 results, showcasing accelerating revenue and bookings growth. 2. The company continues to see tailwinds from adding AI-assisted website building features. 3. It's also bringing in significant new customers via partners, which now represents one-third of the company's overall revenue. 4. Despite significant growth and profitability, Wix remains undervalued compared to peers like GoDaddy, trading at 5.8x EV/FY25 revenue and a 30x P/E ratio.
- India Gold Market Update: Investment Demand Shines1. After months of gains, gold's upward momentum has slowed since early November; 2. Despite recent weakness, gold remains a top-performing asset with YTD returns of 22% in INR and 29% in USD; 3. Jewellery demand has been lacklustre since the peak Diwali season, and gold price fluctuations have kept consumers on the sidelines.
- Buy The Dip: High-Yield High-Growth Stocks Getting Way Too Cheap1. The Federal Reserve's announcement of fewer rate cuts has caused market panic, accelerating pullbacks in high-yield, high-growth stocks. 2. Despite the panic, high-yield, high-growth stocks remain rewarding investments. 3. The author highlights two high-yield, high-growth stocks that the market seems to be overlooking.
- AMD Stock: Here's Why It's Dropping And Here's Why I'm Buying (Rating Upgrade)1. Advanced Micro Devices has underperformed in the last 12 months; 2. The company has made significant progress in the server CPU market and closing the gap with Nvidia in the GPU accelerator market; 3. Shares offer favorable risk-reward at current levels.
December 20
- Micron Stock: The Sell-Off We've Been Waiting For - Upgrading To Strong Buy1. Micron Technology's stock is upgraded to a strong buy after a 16% drop following 1QFY25 earnings report; 2. We believe the slower end demand rebound and industry oversupply are now reflected in the stock and outlook, resetting expectations; 3. Micron is expected to benefit from share gain in the HBM market and PC TAM expansion towards 2H25.
- Wall Street Breakfast Podcast: Turmoil Hits Capitol Hill; Trump Threatens Tariffs1. Stock index futures fell due to a failed spending bill, raising concerns of a government shutdown and impacting market sentiment. 2. President-elect Trump threatens tariffs on the EU unless it buys more U.S. oil and gas, escalating trade tensions. 3. EU approves Nvidia's acquisition of Run:ai, alleviating competition concerns and bolstering Nvidia's AI capabilities.
- Is It Time To Rethink The Debt Ceiling?1. The U.S. debt ceiling issue is causing market turmoil and potential government shutdown; 2. The debate over the debt ceiling is politically charged, with President-elect Trump expressing support for its abolition; 3. The existence of the debt ceiling dates back to 1917 and is meant to ensure legislative control over government spending.
- Alibaba: The End Of New Retail As We Know It?1. Alibaba sells Intime, marking a shift from its New Retail initiative to focus on core e-commerce, booking a $1.3bn loss. 2. The sale indicates New Retail's failure, with Alibaba likely to dispose of more non-core assets like Sun Art and Fresh Hippo. 3. Weak Chinese consumer demand and intense competition contribute to Alibaba's strategic shift; we remain bearish on Alibaba. 4. Recommend focusing on PDD for its low-cost leadership and global growth potential, especially through its Temu platform.
- Alibaba: A Giant In Transition1. Alibaba's core business stabilizes with record monthly active users and 46M loyal VIP members; 2. Political risk is at its lowest since COVID, and market share reduction eases monopoly concerns; 3. Cloud and AI show strong momentum with triple-digit growth in AI products and the Qwen 2.5 model outperforming Meta's Llama 3; 4. Trading at a significant discount, with loss-making segments expected to turn profitable within 1-2 years and international commerce growing 29% YoY.
- Micron Q1 Review: Strong AI Demand Means I'm Still Bullish (Rating Upgrade)1. Micron's stock dropped 16% after missing Q2 2025 revenue estimates; 2. The decline was attributed to weaker NAND and mobile orders, not AI-related issues; 3. Despite short-term challenges, Micron's AI and data center DRAM markets remain robust; 4. The company's forward P/E ratio is significantly below the sector median, indicating a unique buying opportunity with a 108% upside potential; 5. Micron's future growth is expected to be driven by AI-driven memory demand, offsetting legacy business weaknesses and creating substantial long-term value.
- Okeanis Eco Tankers: Targeting Efficiency Gains With One Of The Youngest Fleets In The Industry1. Okeanis Eco Tankers Corp. owns one of the youngest and most efficient fleets in the tanker business; 2. Each vessel is equipped with scrubbers, leading to fuel cost savings and compliance with IMO 2020 regulations; 3. Modern tankers are more fuel efficient, and ECO has demonstrated the ability to earn higher charter rates compared to the VLCC and Suezmax markets.
- Chipotle: In A Tough Spot As Price Hikes May Trigger Further Sales Deterioration1. Chipotle faces operational risks after raising prices in December; 2. The company has already experienced customer backlash over menu price increases and smaller portion sizes; 3. Comparable sales growth trends decelerated in Q3, with the weakest reading in four quarters.
- TIPS For Reliable Income: Year-End Update1. TIPS provide reliable, inflation-protected income and portfolio diversification with potential returns of 4-7% annually; 2. Key fundamentals supporting TIPS include high real rates, elevated consumer inflation expectations, and federal debt pressures; 3. Despite lukewarm investor sentiment, TIPS remain a prudent choice for conservative investors and retirees seeking stable income.
- Super Micro Computer's Outlook Is Now A PIPE Dream1. Super Micro Computer's delayed filings have eroded confidence, leading to a Sell downgrade. 2. The company's reliance on potential dilutive PIPE financing raises concerns about financial stability. 3. Valuation premiums are hard to justify due to unknowns in forward projections and deteriorating margin profile. 4. Elevated short interest and volatility make Super Micro a risky investment without a clear path to regain investor trust.
December 19
- Buy The Dip: 2 REITs Getting Way Too Cheap1. Some REITs have experienced a recent dip, making them cheaper again; 2. We highlight two of our favorite buy-the-dip opportunities; 3. The author discusses the impact of the election on the REIT market and the opportunities it presents.
- QDTE: High Yield Doesn't Always Mean Higher Risk1. The Roundhill Innovation-100 0DTE Covered Call Strategy ETF offers a unique approach with 0DTE options and a high weekly distribution rate of 26.87% annually. 2. The ETF's call-writing strategy provides this high distribution, and the long calls on the Nasdaq-100 Index offer a synthetic long exposure. 3. Despite the higher yield, QDTE's total returns have been comparable to or better than QQQ, and a comparison with a withdrawal scenario is also provided.