1. Infineon is recommended for a buy rating due to clear signs of growth recovery, expected to accelerate in FY26. 2. IFNNY's recent performance aligns with expectations, showing sequential growth across all segments and a positive outlook for FY25 and FY26. 3. The inventory reduction in 1Q25 is a strategic move to normalize levels, setting the stage for future growth.
Recent #Investment Strategy news in the semiconductor industry
1. The daily rebalancing of leveraged ETFs, the hedging associated with heavy call buying, and the pressure from short coverings create a powerful self-reinforcing feedback loop that ignores fundamentals and valuation. 2. The author reflects on the 2018 market event 'Volmageddon' and emphasizes the importance of timing in maximizing the impact of actions. 3. The author suggests preparing for the reversal of the described dynamics, considering the current one-sided market positioning.
1. Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF⢠(SCHD) combines dividend income and growth but lacks diversification in some sectors; 2. This article demonstrates how to build a $50,000 dividend portfolio by enhancing SCHD with November's top 10 high dividend yield companies; 3. The portfolio has a weighted average dividend yield of 4.32% and a 5-year weighted average dividend growth rate of 9.02%.
1. Despite high-risk operations in Bosnia, the Vareš Silver Project shows strong growth prospects and low-cost production, justifying a positive 'hold' rating. 2. Expected to significantly contribute to Bosnia's GDP with high IRR and low AISC, potentially making it a lucrative long-term investment. 3. ADMLF shares show a strong positive correlation with silver prices, outperforming the US stock market in the long term, but current levels suggest waiting for a dip.
1. Dynex Capital's forward dividend yield and shifting inflation outlook present a strong tactical opportunity. 2. Transitioning to specified pools may reduce risk. 3. A favorable short-term liquidity market supports a positive outlook. 4. Dynex's common stock is trading below book value, and preferred stock is not overly demanding, mitigating the risk of toxic waste shares.
➀ Micron reports revenue and EPS in line with expectations but provides weak guidance; ➁ AI-driven memory demand surges, while consumer memory struggles; ➂ Market concerns over Micron's stock due to the imbalance between AI and consumer memory growth.
1. The gold stock correction is sanitizing sentiment and momentum, with the Gold Miners Bullish Percent index showing a healthy decline. 2. HUI's performance relative to the Gold/RINF ratio indicates a healthy correction, purging speculative and inflation-driven investors from the sector. 3. The correction has hit projected levels, reducing much price and sentiment risk, though further declines are possible.
1. Suncor Energy demonstrates operational efficiency, impressive cost controls, and strong shareholder returns, making it a standout in the energy sector with significant upside potential. 2. The company has record-breaking refining throughput, a 26-year reserve profile, and mostly zero decline rates, providing stability and growth potential. 3. Suncor's strategy of combining dividend growth with substantial buybacks enhances per-share value while maintaining financial flexibility.
1. Trump's election victory is positive for the economy and stocks, but the market is overlooking risks of rising yields and declining profit margins. 2. Corporate profits have risen despite a collapse in US savings, but 'America First' policies threaten to reverse this dynamic. 3. At 30x unadjusted earnings and 40x free cash flow excluding stock-based compensation, markets are extremely exposed to a fall in profit margins.
1. Palantir Technologies' stock has surged 88.5% since August, but is now considered overvalued. 2. Despite strong revenue and profit growth, the stock's valuation is unsustainable. 3. The company's financial strength, with no debt and $4.56 billion in cash, is overshadowed by high trading multiples. 4. The analyst downgrades Palantir Technologies to 'sell' due to potential underperformance.
1. The author reflects on his investing journey and the mistakes he has made; 2. He provides advice on how to avoid repeating these mistakes; 3. He shares some of his current favorite picks in the market.
1. VFLO is a top-value ETF for 2025, suitable for buying blue-chip stocks during market downturns. 2. VFLO's strategy has consistently outperformed with an 18.9% CAGR since 1991. 3. Quarterly rebalancing ensures VFLO remains undervalued and high-quality, delivering 12% growth for sub 9X cash-adjusted earnings.
1. Recent developments and updates on BTI's Capital Market Day have led to a reexamination of the stock; 2. Concerns about future profit stagnation due to progress in new categories, rapid decline in combustibles, and slow growth in new products; 3. Despite a low FWD P/E of 7.5x, the stock is considered fairly priced given the gloomy growth potential; 4. The rating has been downgraded to HOLD.
1. Mama's Creations has seen an eightfold increase in stock price since late 2022, driven by strong growth and multiple expansion. 2. With MAMA now trading for 58.5 times forward earnings, the risk/reward proposition may no longer be in your favor. 3. Investors may react differently to upcoming results, with potential for significant de-rating on earnings miss, but stability if results meet/beat expectations.
1. Warren Buffett has raised over $158 billion in cash/cash equivalents this year and has continued to sell stocks in Q4. 2. Recent filings show that Berkshire sold another $36 billion in stocks in Q3 and plowed operating earnings into short-term Treasuries as well. 3. Theories for Buffett's selling include overvaluation in mega-cap stocks, a recession warning, or stockpiling money for potential acquisitions.
1. Several mutual fund firms, including Vanguard and Charles Schwab, are being required to revise their prospectuses due to SEC diversification requirements for certain investment strategies. 2. At the end of last week, 36.8% of the S&P 500 Index was invested in just ten stocks. 3. Concentration risk can affect portfolio returns in both positive and negative ways for investors.
1. Microsoft's stock has surged over 25% since mid-last year but now presents an unfavorable risk/reward setup, making it a sell recommendation. 2. Daily technical analysis shows mixed signals, with near-term bullishness but significant resistance levels; intermediate and long-term outlooks are net bearish. 3. Despite recent earnings beating expectations, Microsoft's growth prospects do not justify its current valuation.
1. The market surged after Trump's victory, indicating a potential new trending period with strong technicals and favorable end-of-year conditions; 2. Short-term extension is expected, with chop or a pullback in the shorter term, offering opportunities to buy leading stocks at attractive points; 3. Momentum traders faced strategic challenges during the election, balancing risk and potential rewards as stocks broke out and gapped up.
1. Setting risk tolerance is crucial for investors; 2. Long-term Buy and Hold strategy is less focused on macroeconomic environment; 3. Valuation concerns exist for high-flyers like Apple and Tesla, but momentum can outweigh these worries.
1. The 200-day moving average is a key technical indicator for entering and exiting stock positions, endorsed by top investors. 2. Current market conditions suggest caution for some top S&P 500 stocks. 3. Incorporating the 200-day moving average into your investment strategy can reduce risk and improve portfolio performance.