1. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's upcoming speech and remarks from other policymakers will dominate market attention amid delayed economic data due to the U.S. government shutdown; 2. The third-quarter earnings season begins, with key reports from Delta Air Lines (DAL) and PepsiCo (PEP), alongside other companies like Levi Strauss (LEVI) and Tilray (TLRY); 3. Samuel Smith of High Yield Investor highlights undervalued dividend stocks as a generational opportunity, emphasizing sectors like REITs, energy, and AI-driven industries amid macroeconomic shifts.

1. Federal Reserve officials, including Chair Jerome Powell, will provide insights following the recent interest rate cut after nine months of unchanged policy; 2. Key economic data releases include Q2 GDP growth estimates and August personal income/outlays data with the core PCE inflation index; 3. Earnings reports from major companies like Micron Technology, Costco, and Accenture will be closely watched this week.

1. The Federal Reserve's 2024 rate cuts reignited debates on whether easing cycles signal economic expansion or impending recession; 2. Inflation remains a key concern, impacting portfolio strategies amid uncertain Fed actions; 3. Historical analysis of past monetary policy cycles provides insights into yield curves, market leadership, and economic outcomes.

1. Evidence of cooling consumer demand and a weakening jobs market supports expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts; 2. The Fed is projected to cut rates by 25 basis points starting in September 2025, followed by additional cuts in October, December, January, and March; 3. Despite market pricing in a 125bp easing cycle, the rate cuts will likely push short-term USD interest rates lower.

1. Market tension rises as the Fed's September rate cut decision depends on an unreliable August jobs report; 2. Labor data inconsistencies, including large revisions and conflicting signals, obscure the true health of the job market; 3. Demographic changes and reporting flaws may understate unemployment, indicating a weaker labor market than official figures suggest.

1. President Trump's push to replace Fed Governor Lisa Cook could reshape monetary policy and benefit small-cap stocks; 2. The article highlights low-priced small-cap stocks under $10 with strong quant ratings as high-potential investments despite higher risks; 3. Five featured quant-based companies under $10 have outperformed major indices, averaging +113% YTD returns with attractive valuations and growth profiles.

1. The market reacted positively to Fed Chair Jerome Powell's dovish speech at Jackson Hole, signaling potential shifts in monetary policy; 2. The speech emphasized a cautious approach to future rate hikes, aligning with economic data trends; 3. The author argues that this policy direction supports a bullish outlook, potentially driving the S&P 500 to 7,000 points amid favorable liquidity and earnings growth.

1. The Federal Reserve injected over $11B into the overnight repo market on June 30, marking its largest intervention since 2019; 2. The move suggests banks required liquidity to maintain balance sheet health, potentially signaling low liquidity conditions; 3. While significant, the action alone is unlikely to drive interest rates lower unless broader systemic cracks emerge.

1. Markets focus on the Fed's interest rate decision and updated economic projections amid geopolitical tensions between Israel and Iran; 2. Oil and gold prices are monitored as Middle East conflicts escalate; 3. Key economic data, including U.S. retail sales and housing starts, alongside earnings reports from companies like Lennar and Accenture, will drive investor sentiment.

1. Inflation is projected to exceed 3% by late 2025, reverting to its post-2022 growth trajectory; 2. Market indicators such as CPI swaps and price-paid indexes signal rising inflation pressures, with headline CPI expected at 2.4% and core CPI at 2.9% year-over-year; 3. The Federal Reserve is unlikely to cut rates soon due to persistent inflation and neutral real rates, making current market expectations for cuts premature.

1. Wall Street shifts focus to June after a strong May rally, with key economic data including jobs reports and Fed Chair Powell's speech; 2. Major earnings reports from companies like CrowdStrike, HPE, and Broadcom are scheduled; 3. Additional highlights include market updates, podcast availability, and summaries of recent stock movements.

1. The Federal Reserve maintained its benchmark interest rate at 4.25%–4.50% during the May FOMC meeting; 2. The Fed highlighted stable labor market conditions, sideways inflation trends, and anchored long-term inflation expectations; 3. Chair Powell emphasized patience in assessing trade policy impacts, citing low costs of delayed monetary action.

1. The Federal Reserve maintains interest rates unchanged at 4.25%-4.50% amid economic uncertainty, adopting a 'wait and see' approach; 2. Mixed economic data, political pressure from former President Trump, and market volatility complicate policy decisions; 3. Markets react to Fed's stance, trade developments, and geopolitical tensions, with equities recovering partially from earlier losses.

1. The Fed is about to make its second policy error in as many meetings; 2. The market expects the Fed to cut rates by 25 bps; 3. This may lead to tighter financial conditions.

1. Fed Chair Powell signals policy adjustments are needed, emphasizing concerns about labor market weakness. 2. Markets are pricing in a 34.5% chance of a 50 bps cut and 65.5% of a 25 bps cut at the Federal Reserve's September meeting. 3. US PCE and EU Inflation data are the highlights.

1. The Wall Street Journal cautions the Fed against lowering interest rates before the presidential election due to potential political implications. 2. The Fed continues to reduce its securities portfolio, indicating confidence in the banking system's liquidity. 3. The M2 money stock remains robust, suggesting ample liquidity in the economy despite the Fed's quantitative tightening.

1. AGNC reported slightly weaker than expected Q2'24 results, but its spread profile is improving due to growing interest income. 2. Inflation is moderating, and the Fed is nearing its 'pivot point', which could benefit AGNC's mortgage-backed securities portfolio. 3. Shares now trade at a 17% premium to the REIT's longer term (3-year) price-to-book ratio, suggesting a hold rating is appropriate for now.

1. The Federal Reserve is expected to maintain the federal funds rate, with indications of potential easing in September. 2. Major tech companies including Microsoft, Meta, Apple, and Amazon will release earnings reports. 3. Attention will focus on the U.S. nonfarm payrolls report for July.

1. Inflation easing may lead to a faster Fed pivot, benefiting PIMCO Dynamic Income Fund. 2. The fund has shifted to overweight high-yield credit since March. 3. Potential rate cuts could expand the price differential between net asset value and market price.