seekingalpha
Author page description
July 6
- Northrop Grumman: Backlog, Margin Friction1. Northrop Grumman's $92.8bn backlog and high revenue visibility provide stability, but margin pressures and program execution risks limit upside; 2. A Hold rating reflects resilience in revenue but cautious near-term outlook due to cost inflation and delayed margin recovery; 3. Consensus underestimates profitability risks tied to key programs like B-21 and Sentinel, with conservative forecasts on EBITDA and margins.
- S&P 500 Snapshot: Shortened Trading Week Ends With Record High1. The S&P 500 closed at a record high for the third time in four trading days, gaining 1.7% weekly; 2. The index remains above key technical indicators (50- and 200-day moving averages), signaling strong momentum; 3. Year-to-date performance shows the S&P 500 up 7.00% and its equal-weight counterpart up 6.07%.
July 5
- Collect 10% Yields To Revolutionize Your Retirement: Greystone Housing1. Researchers developed a new semiconductor material, cubic boron arsenide, with higher thermal conductivity than silicon, addressing heat dissipation challenges; 2. The material's superior heat management could enhance performance and longevity of high-power electronics and advanced computing systems; 3. Experimental validation confirms its potential to replace silicon in next-generation semiconductor manufacturing.
- 5 Stocks I'm Buying As The 'Big Beautiful Bill' Pushes The Market To New Highs1. The 'Big Beautiful Bill' drives growth in defense, industrials, and manufacturing but creates challenges for healthcare and select REITs due to Medicaid cuts; 2. AI optimism fuels a market rally, but concerns arise about overvaluation and potential bubble risks as AI stocks outpace earnings; 3. The 'Magnificent 7' era ends, with META, MSFT, NVDA, and AMZN emerging as new leaders, while REITs like COLD offer long-term value for dividend investors despite sector-specific risks.
- 5 Relatively Secure And Cheap Dividend Stocks, Yields Up To 9% (July 2025)1. The article highlights five large-cap, relatively safe dividend stocks trading at significant discounts to historical norms, part of a monthly series for income-focused investors; 2. A proprietary filtering process selects conservative dividend growth stocks from over 7,500 U.S.-traded companies; 3. Additional groups of dividend stocks with moderate to high yields (up to 9%) are presented, accessible via a subscription service offering model portfolios and strategies.
- What Moved Markets This Week1. U.S. stock markets hit record highs driven by strong June jobs data and trade deals, including a new agreement with Vietnam. 2. President Trump signed a major legislative bill and announced plans to enforce tariffs on trading partners post-July 9. 3. Key indices (S&P 500, Nasdaq, Dow) rose 1.6%-2.3%, while commodities like gold and oil saw gains, and healthcare stocks faced declines.
- Amazon: Shein And Temu Downfall, Robotics, And AI Inflection1. TSMC dominates the global semiconductor foundry market with over 60% share, especially in advanced process nodes below 7nm; 2. Competitors like Intel and Samsung are aggressively investing in foundry capabilities to challenge TSMC's leadership; 3. Geopolitical tensions and supply chain realignment pressures are creating new challenges for TSMC's global operations.
- Lawmakers Just Accidentally Made Alphabet Irresistibly Attractive1. Regulators have approved Alphabet's integration of Gemini AI into Google Search, accelerating its AI evolution; 2. Full integration is expected to enhance user engagement, session duration, and revenue per user; 3. Legal risks are already priced into the stock and deemed manageable or potentially beneficial for shareholders.
- Dividend Champion, Contender, And Challenger Highlights: Week Of July 61. ASML's High-NA EUV lithography machine offers advanced chipmaking capabilities at a lower cost for China; 2. The technology helps China bypass Western export restrictions to advance its semiconductor industry; 3. Geopolitical tensions rise as China leverages the machine to reduce reliance on foreign chip technology.
- Roivant Sciences: Booming Pipeline Without Product Revenues Creates Valuation Riddle1. Roivant Sciences achieved a 44% stock return over two years but underperformed the S&P 500; 2. The author maintains a 'Hold' rating, balancing optimism for pipeline catalysts with concerns about valuation and execution risks; 3. While strategic partnerships and clinical progress offer upside, competitive pressures and unproven commercialization remain key challenges.
- The David And Goliath Faceoff Between Gitlab And Atlassian1. Samsung Electronics workers declared an indefinite strike due to failed wage negotiations; 2. The strike may disrupt global semiconductor and electronics supply chains; 3. Union demands include fair wages and improved working conditions, while management claims efforts to resolve disputes continue.
- Coherent Corp: AI Hype Meets Fundamentals1. Coherent Corp operates in high-growth sectors including AI datacenter optics, silicon carbide for EVs, and laser technology; 2. Its vertically integrated business model and focus on AI-driven networking hardware enhance cost efficiency and growth prospects; 3. Management is optimizing high-margin segments, reducing debt, and improving cash flow under new leadership, though current valuations may already reflect future potential.
July 4
- S&P 500: The Melt-Up Stage, Bust Approaching1. The S&P 500 is in a melt-up phase with bubble-like valuations, driven by market optimism; 2. Stagflation risks may trigger a significant market correction in H2 2025 as policy impacts materialize; 3. The author recommends a 'Strong Sell' stance despite potential short-term continuation of the melt-up.
- The Fed Just Stepped Into The Repo Market1. The Federal Reserve injected over $11B into the overnight repo market on June 30, marking its largest intervention since 2019; 2. The move suggests banks required liquidity to maintain balance sheet health, potentially signaling low liquidity conditions; 3. While significant, the action alone is unlikely to drive interest rates lower unless broader systemic cracks emerge.
- AGNC Investment Corp.: Mirror, Mirror On The Wall, Who's The Biggest Seller Of All?1. The article presents a straightforward investment thesis for AGNC Investment Corp., focusing on its role as a mortgage REIT; 2. It breaks down the analysis into three parts, emphasizing income generation and risk management strategies; 3. The author highlights opportunities for investors to profit through AGNC while promoting their own investment service focused on low-volatility, high-yield portfolios.
- My Biggest New Investment For H2 2025: Blue Owl Capital1. The author highlights Blue Owl Capital (OWL) as their top investment pick for H2 2025, following Patria Investments (PAX); 2. OWL is positioned for 20%+ annual growth, offers a near 5% dividend yield, and potential multiple expansion, with a projected 3-4x return over five years; 3. The analysis emphasizes the author’s confidence in asset managers and aligns with their track record of high-yield investment strategies.
July 3
- RTX Stock Flies Past Targets: Why I'm Raising My Price Target1. TSMC plans to mass-produce 2nm chips in 2025 using GAAFET technology, improving performance and energy efficiency; 2. TSMC's 2nm process is expected to outperform Intel's 18A node, intensifying competition in advanced chip manufacturing; 3. The breakthrough will benefit AI, HPC, and mobile devices, with Apple likely being the first major customer.
- Cloudflare: The New Traffic Cop Of The Internet1. TSMC's market value plummeted by $420 billion, triggering shockwaves in global tech stocks; 2. The crash impacts global semiconductor supply chains and investor confidence; 3. Analysts attribute the decline to weakening chip demand and geopolitical uncertainties.
- British American Tobacco: A Cheap And Juicy Yield1. The semiconductor industry is grappling with severe supply chain disruptions due to a global chip shortage; 2. Increased demand for electronics, automotive components, and production delays from key manufacturers are exacerbating the crisis; 3. Industry leaders are prioritizing investments in capacity expansion and diversifying supply chains to mitigate future risks.
- AMDY: Price May Have Finally Stabilized1. The analyst maintains a buy rating on AMDY as AMD's stock stabilizes and AI sector optimism grows; 2. AMDY offers a 77% distribution yield but carries risks from capped upside and potential capital erosion; 3. Suitable for long-term income investors tolerant of volatility, with tax-efficient distributions (mostly return of capital) that may shrink if AMDY declines.
- SharkNinja: Overblown Tariff Fears Easing1. TSMC faces challenges in Arizona due to insufficient skilled workers and union opposition, delaying 4nm chip production to 2025; 2. The company is sending Taiwanese technicians to accelerate progress, sparking local worker dissatisfaction; 3. TSMC's Japan expansion progresses smoothly with government support, contrasting with US struggles.
- Nu Holdings: Profitable Growth And Real Scalability In The Heart Of Latin America1. AMD's new MI325X AI chip challenges Nvidia's H200, with plans to release in 2024; 2. AMD adopts an annual chip upgrade strategy to compete with Nvidia's two-year cycle; 3. Analysts highlight AMD's potential to capture AI market share and boost stock value amid rising demand.
- Zoetis: Growth To Continue Thanks To Companion Animals1. TSMC's 3nm process achieves breakthroughs in transistor density and power efficiency; 2. The technology enables next-gen applications in mobile devices, HPC, and AI chips; 3. Industry challenges include rising R&D costs and supply chain adaptations.
- Centene Tells United Healthcare To Hold Its Beer1. The semiconductor industry is grappling with supply chain disruptions caused by a global chip shortage, impacting sectors like automotive and electronics; 2. Companies are adopting strategies such as diversifying suppliers and increasing inventory buffers, while governments push for localized production; 3. Long-term solutions include investments in advanced manufacturing technologies and collaborative efforts to build resilient supply chains.
July 2
- Why SoFi Could Be The Next $10 Billion Fintech Giant -- Don't Miss Out!1. Global semiconductor manufacturers intensify competition for next-gen 3nm/2nm chip production; 2. Geopolitical factors drive regional investments (e.g., U.S. CHIPS Act, EU Chips Act); 3. Technical challenges include material innovation, production costs, and supply chain diversification.
- Sell Alert: 2 REITs Getting Pricey1. Most REITs remain deeply undervalued with near 10-year low valuations despite rising cash flows and dividends; 2. Some REITs have become exceptions and are now overvalued, leading the author to sell two specific holdings; 3. The article emphasizes market analysis and strategic portfolio adjustments for REIT investors.
- Intel's AI-Fueled Comeback - Why The Chip Giant Is Back In The Game1. Intel is transitioning from a CPU-focused model to a diversified foundry and AI chip leader, with significant undervaluation; 2. Recent financial stability, $15B+ external foundry orders, and government subsidies reduce capital expenditure risks; 3. AI-driven PC and data center products, coupled with U.S. policy support, position Intel for long-term growth and an 80% upside potential if execution succeeds.
- British American Tobacco: Heated Tobacco Stumbles, But Oral Nicotine Is Catching Fire1. TSMC achieves mass production of 3nm chips, with Apple as a key client for future iPhones; 2. The breakthrough strengthens TSMC's leadership in advanced chip manufacturing, impacting competitors like AMD and NVIDIA; 3. 3nm technology enables higher performance and energy efficiency, driving innovation in AI, 5G, and autonomous vehicles.
- Kura Oncology: Ziftomenib Shift Towards Newly Diagnosed Mutant AML Patients Bodes Well1. Kura Oncology's ziftomenib shows promising Phase 2 data in newly diagnosed AML patients and is nearing FDA Priority Review for relapsed/refractory cases; 2. The pipeline expands into combination therapies with encouraging early results; 3. Strong financial position ($703M cash) and partnership with Kyowa Kirin reduce dilution risks and support commercialization.
- InPlay Oil: High Yield, Hidden Value In Canadian Energy1. Princeton researchers developed a photonic chip using topological insulators to enable faster computations and higher energy efficiency; 2. The chip minimizes light scattering, allowing denser integration of optical components; 3. Potential applications include AI, quantum computing, and advanced communication systems.