seekingalpha
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July 2
- Intel's AI-Fueled Comeback - Why The Chip Giant Is Back In The Game1. Intel is transitioning from a CPU-focused model to a diversified foundry and AI chip leader, with significant undervaluation; 2. Recent financial stability, $15B+ external foundry orders, and government subsidies reduce capital expenditure risks; 3. AI-driven PC and data center products, coupled with U.S. policy support, position Intel for long-term growth and an 80% upside potential if execution succeeds.
- British American Tobacco: Heated Tobacco Stumbles, But Oral Nicotine Is Catching Fire1. TSMC achieves mass production of 3nm chips, with Apple as a key client for future iPhones; 2. The breakthrough strengthens TSMC's leadership in advanced chip manufacturing, impacting competitors like AMD and NVIDIA; 3. 3nm technology enables higher performance and energy efficiency, driving innovation in AI, 5G, and autonomous vehicles.
- Kura Oncology: Ziftomenib Shift Towards Newly Diagnosed Mutant AML Patients Bodes Well1. Kura Oncology's ziftomenib shows promising Phase 2 data in newly diagnosed AML patients and is nearing FDA Priority Review for relapsed/refractory cases; 2. The pipeline expands into combination therapies with encouraging early results; 3. Strong financial position ($703M cash) and partnership with Kyowa Kirin reduce dilution risks and support commercialization.
- InPlay Oil: High Yield, Hidden Value In Canadian Energy1. Princeton researchers developed a photonic chip using topological insulators to enable faster computations and higher energy efficiency; 2. The chip minimizes light scattering, allowing denser integration of optical components; 3. Potential applications include AI, quantum computing, and advanced communication systems.
- PepsiCo's Sell-Off Has Gone Too Far1. PepsiCo's recent underperformance stems from temporary North American weakness, but its global diversification and snack-focused portfolio remain strong; 2. Management's revitalization strategy and emerging markets growth (especially in Asia-Pacific) position it for long-term success despite margin pressures; 3. The stock trades at a 20% discount to historical valuations with 27% upside potential and a 4.46% dividend yield, making it an attractive buy for patient investors.
- Palantir: Let's Talk About The Elephant In The Room (Valuation)1. Palantir's FWD P/E over 200 and 100X+ sales market cap reflect high growth expectations; 2. Its AI leadership, scalability, and alignment with Western values position it for potential $1 trillion valuation; 3. Q1 2025 revenue growth (39%) aligns with required 40.3% CAGR for trillion-dollar target, with U.S. commercial growth accelerating to 71% YoY.
July 1
- 3 Reasons To Avoid Dividend Stocks In H2 20251. The author, a dividend investing advocate, outlines three reasons to avoid dividend stocks in H2 2025; 2. Highlights include market volatility, economic uncertainty, and shifting investor preferences; 3. Emphasizes caution and strategic portfolio adjustments for dividend-focused investors.
- Hims & Hers: My Main Concern Isn't Weight Loss, But Valuation (Rating Downgrade)1. The global semiconductor industry is experiencing severe supply chain disruptions due to prolonged chip shortages; 2. Geopolitical tensions and trade restrictions between major economies are exacerbating production delays; 3. Companies are adopting strategies like supply chain diversification and capacity expansion to mitigate risks.
- AMD: OpenAI Endorsement Is A Game Changer1. OpenAI partners with AMD to co-develop LLM-optimized chips, challenging Nvidia's dominance in AI hardware; 2. AMD's data center sales surge with new MI400/MI450 GPUs and Helios solutions, driving margin expansion; 3. Despite rapid growth and strategic AI tailwinds, AMD trades at a relatively low 24.9x 2026e P/E, offering undervalued exposure to AI growth.
- Bristol-Myers Squibb: Great Dividend But Questionable Growth Prospects1. TSMC faces intensified challenges at its Arizona plant due to a labor shortage, requiring temporary workers from Taiwan; 2. Local unions oppose the move, citing concerns about workplace safety and job opportunities for American workers; 3. The conflict highlights broader tensions in TSMC's global expansion strategy amid U.S.-China tech competition.
- BYD Looks Like A Beast, But There Are Reasons To Wait1. The semiconductor industry is grappling with prolonged supply chain disruptions due to surging demand and production bottlenecks; 2. Key sectors like automotive and consumer electronics face significant delays, forcing companies to adjust production strategies; 3. Governments and manufacturers are investing in regional chip fabrication plants and diversifying suppliers to mitigate future risks.
- Abercrombie & Fitch: Two Steps Forward, Two Steps Back1. The semiconductor industry is grappling with unprecedented challenges due to global supply chain disruptions caused by geopolitical tensions and pandemic-related bottlenecks; 2. Major chip manufacturers are diversifying production locations and investing in localized facilities to mitigate risks; 3. The article emphasizes the critical need for international collaboration and technological innovation to address shortages and sustain advancements in electronics and AI-driven industries.
- Chime: Path To Strong Upside1. TSMC faces labor shortages and cultural clashes at its Arizona plant, requiring Taiwanese technicians to assist American workers; 2. The $65 billion project involves complex union negotiations and workforce training challenges; 3. Rising costs and construction delays highlight geopolitical tensions in semiconductor supply chain relocation.
- Alexandria Real Estate: Behind Fantastic Dividends, 3 Key Facts To Understand Its Resilience1. ASML collaborates with NVIDIA to integrate AI into advanced chip manufacturing machines; 2. AI-driven systems enhance precision and efficiency in semiconductor production; 3. Partnership aims to address global chip demand through cutting-edge technology.
- Nvidia: Why I Am Aggressively Accumulating At All-Time High1. Recent insider sales at Nvidia are not a concern, as AI market fundamentals remain strong; 2. Nvidia's free cash flow growth, driven by Blackwell GPUs and future product cycles, is underestimated, with projections of $100B annual FCF in 2025 and $250B by 2030; 3. Despite risks in Data Center GPU demand, Nvidia's valuation remains attractive due to sustained AI-driven spending and annual product innovation.
June 30
- Hims & Hers: You Are Missing The Big Picture1. The semiconductor industry is grappling with supply chain disruptions caused by a global chip shortage; 2. Key factors include surging demand for electronics, pandemic-related production delays, and geopolitical tensions; 3. Companies are adopting strategies like supplier diversification, localized manufacturing, and advocating for industry-government cooperation to address long-term challenges.
- Nebius Group: My Biggest AI Portfolio Position1. Nebius Group experiences explosive 385% YoY sales growth in AI infrastructure, targeting $1B annual recurring revenue; 2. Clear path to profitability with 20-30% EBIT margins despite current losses, supporting strong re-rating potential; 3. Valuation justified by faster growth versus peers like Nvidia, with 10-12x 2026e sales multiple driving author's conviction as largest AI position.
- Value Vacation: Five Top Emerging Market Financials1. TSMC achieves a breakthrough in 2nm semiconductor technology using Gate-All-Around (GAA) transistors, enhancing performance and energy efficiency; 2. Mass production is expected by 2025, solidifying TSMC's leadership in advanced chip manufacturing; 3. The development intensifies competition with Intel and Samsung in next-generation semiconductor nodes.
- Inside The Robotaxi Wars: Tesla Vs. The World1. TSMC's 2nm process will enter risk production in 2024, with mass production planned for 2025; 2. Intel's 18A process aims for production in 2024, targeting both internal and external customers; 3. Samsung accelerates 2nm development, planning production in 2025 with a focus on HBM3 and AI chips.
- Citigroup: Hitting New Highs - Still Worth Chasing, Or Time To Cool Off?1. Citigroup's stock has risen 20% since January, prompting a downgrade to Hold due to diminished upside potential; 2. The bank must demonstrate sustained earnings growth and improved returns to justify higher valuations, despite trading at a discount; 3. Investors are advised to wait for a pullback or new catalysts, as Citi's current valuation hinges on proving long-term profitability amid weaker ROE and margins compared to peers.
- Roku: Amazon And Profits Are Coming1. Roku faces decelerating growth but maintains a strong net cash position and progress toward profitability; 2. Management expresses confidence in long-term streaming trends and profitability goals despite macroeconomic challenges; 3. Valuation appears reasonable with potential for double-digit returns, though risks include competition, margin pressures, and overinvestment in subscription services.
- TLH: Various Key Rates Are Compelling1. TSMC's stock surged 34% in 2024 due to strong AI chip demand and leadership in advanced manufacturing; 2. GlobalFoundries shares fell 21% amid weak consumer electronics demand and inventory corrections; 3. The divergence reflects growing market segmentation between AI-driven and traditional semiconductor applications.
- Politics And The Markets 06/30/251. Etch process is crucial for creating micro-scale patterns on semiconductor wafers with nanoscale precision; 2. Key challenges include material selectivity, uniformity control, and defect minimization; 3. Advanced techniques like plasma etching and atomic layer etching address evolving industry demands.
- UTF: Explosive Run Looks Unlikely To Stop1. UTF has outperformed the market over the past year, offering a 7% distribution yield; 2. The fund's diversified exposure to utilities, industrials, energy, AI/data centers, and reshoring supports long-term infrastructure growth; 3. Leverage enhances returns but introduces risk; however, lower interest rates and a relative valuation discount suggest potential for further gains.
June 29
- Bristol-Myers Squibb: You Might Wish You Bought More Now (Upgrade)1. The semiconductor industry is grappling with severe supply chain disruptions caused by prolonged global chip shortages; 2. Geopolitical tensions and pandemic-related delays have exacerbated production bottlenecks and material scarcity; 3. Industry leaders are accelerating localized manufacturing and advanced packaging technologies to ensure long-term resilience.
- Crown Castle Remains In Play1. The author maintains a 'buy' rating on Crown Castle (CCI) despite lower-than-expected asset sale proceeds, citing debt reduction and share buybacks as key strengths; 2. Short-term financial challenges from Sprint contract cancellations and asset sales are expected to ease, with management projecting improved cash flow and reduced leverage post-transaction; 3. CCI's valuation appears attractive compared to peers like American Tower, supported by improving leverage metrics and long-term growth drivers in mobile data and connected devices.
- Markets Weekly Outlook - June U.S. NFP, Global PMIs And German Employment1. Renewed market optimism followed US-mediated Israel-Iran ceasefire; 2. Nasdaq and S&P 500 hit record highs amid improved sentiment; 3. US Dollar initially surged but retreated as risk appetite strengthened post-ceasefire.
- S&P 500 Snapshot: New Record High1. The U.S. announced increased tariffs on Chinese semiconductors and electric vehicles to counter unfair trade practices; 2. The move aims to protect domestic industries and address trade imbalances; 3. Analysts warn of potential retaliatory measures and further strain on U.S.-China economic relations.
- Starbucks: Strategy Might Take A While To See Its Results1. Starbucks has experienced stagnating comparable sales and margin contraction in recent years, significantly underperforming industry benchmarks; 2. The 'Back to Starbucks' strategy emphasizes menu simplification, reduced discounts, and compact store formats to enhance operational efficiency and profitability; 3. Despite strategic adjustments, near-term growth prospects remain uncertain, and the stock's valuation fails to reflect persistent operational challenges and competitive pressures.
- Dividend Powerhouses: Top 5 Stocks With Yields Over 4%1. The article analyzes how geopolitical tensions are driving nations to compete for dominance in semiconductor manufacturing; 2. It highlights vulnerabilities in the global chip supply chain and efforts by countries to achieve self-reliance; 3. The piece discusses the long-term implications of these shifts on technological innovation and economic security.