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October 10
- Great Elm Capital: Dramatic Downside Presents Opportunity To Accumulate (Rating Upgrade)1. The U.S. is reportedly considering imposing sanctions on China's CXMT to restrict its access to advanced chip manufacturing technology; 2. This move aims to curb China's progress in semiconductor production amid ongoing tech competition; 3. The sanctions could disrupt global supply chains and escalate tensions in the semiconductor industry.
- EWT: Benefitting From The TSMC Surge, But Looks Overbought Now1. TSMC faces labor shortages and cultural barriers at its Arizona fab construction site, needing to fly in Taiwanese workers; 2. Project costs have doubled to $40 billion with delayed production timelines; 3. Tensions emerge between US unions and TSMC over foreign worker utilization and delayed federal subsidies.
- ULTA Beauty: The International Expansion Plan Is Taking Shape1. Intel adjusts Ohio chip factory plans due to market changes and delayed government subsidies; 2. Construction shifts focus to support infrastructure with production equipment installation postponed to 2026; 3. U.S. Chips Act funding distribution remains slow, affecting multiple semiconductor projects nationwide.
- Buy 2 Ideal Dividend Kings Of 25 'Safer' In October's 561. TSMC's 3nm process technology is experiencing strong demand, with Apple as its primary customer for next-gen chips; 2. TSMC is expanding production capacity in Taiwan and exploring overseas plants to meet growing orders; 3. Competitors like Qualcomm and MediaTek plan to adopt the 3nm process, signaling robust industry momentum.
- Politics And The Markets 10/10/251. TSMC's Q2 revenue grew significantly due to surging demand for AI chips; 2. The company is expanding production in the U.S. and Japan to meet global semiconductor needs; 3. Challenges include labor shortages, geopolitical tensions, and supply chain complexities.
October 9
- A Major Market Shift Could Be Coming1. The S&P 500 has shown strong performance since the AI boom began in 2023 but faces a potential major reversal; 2. Dividend stocks have underperformed compared to the S&P 500 during this period; 3. The author, a dividend investing expert, highlights high-yield opportunities and discloses long positions in assets like BIP, BEP, and GLD.
- 12% Dividend Yield, Nice Upside1. Dividend cuts are anticipated in BDCs and mREITs due to the Federal Reserve's short-term rate reductions; 2. The author highlights a recent investment in Blackstone Secured Lending Fund (BXSL), which offers a 12% yield and potential upside as its price-to-NAV ratio rebounds; 3. Sector-wide declines in BDCs and mREITs present valuation opportunities, with price-to-NAV metrics indicating undervalued assets.
- A Strong 6 Months1. The US stock market has shown strong recovery since its April 8th low, with the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) surging 47% over six months; 2. The S&P 500 (SPY) and Dow 30 (DIA) rose 36.4% and 24.8%, respectively; 3. Among sector ETFs, Technology (XLK) outperformed all others with a 62.2% gain, highlighting its dominance in the rebound.
October 8
- BYD: Extremely Undervalued Electric Vehicle Play1. BYD overtook Tesla as the world's top EV company, driven by strong financials and government support for R&D and global expansion; 2. The company maintains industry-leading margins and cost efficiency, enabling pricing flexibility amid market competition; 3. Its dominance in PHEV/BEV markets, diverse product lineup, and strategic focus on China position it for sustained global growth.
- Macro Monthly: Status Quo1. Despite significant policy changes (tariffs, tax/spending bills), the US economic outlook remains largely unchanged; 2. The 10-year Treasury yield peaked at 4.81% in January, with tariffs' effects delayed but immigration policy impacts already evident; 3. The dollar and interest rates saw modest monthly gains without disrupting established trends.
- AT&T Stock: Is This Free Cash Flow Machine A Buy On The Dip?1. AT&T has shown strong total returns since mid-2023 but recently experienced a sharp stock pullback; 2. The article analyzes whether the current dip presents a buying opportunity; 3. Focuses on AT&T's financial performance and investment potential amid market fluctuations.
October 7
- Pfizer Offers High Yield And Capital Appreciation Opportunities (Technical Analysis)1. Pfizer surged 15% last week due to positive news, including a direct-to-consumer deal and tariff relief; 2. The stock offers a high 6.28% dividend yield with a safe payout ratio and attractive valuation (forward PE of 8.87); 3. Technical indicators show bullish momentum, strong institutional buying, and potential for further upside if price breaks consolidation levels.
- Nebius: Rapid Stock Appreciation And Hype-Driven Valuation Make It A Sell1. Nebius Group has surged as a leading AI infrastructure provider due to major contracts and bullish market sentiment; 2. A $17.4B Microsoft deal validates its position but involves high upfront costs and risks; 3. Concerns over potential overexpansion, delayed profitability, and AI demand sustainability suggest the stock is overvalued, prompting a sell recommendation.
October 6
- S&P 500: An Unprecedented Opportunity (Technical Analysis)1. The S&P 500 maintains a strong bullish trend, closing Q3 near record highs and starting Q4 robustly; 2. Markets interpreted the government shutdown as a catalyst for rallying, unconstrained by economic data disruptions; 3. The article questions the sustainability of the steep trend channel and identifies a critical inflection point, with the author adjusting positions based on bullish/bearish signals.
- UnitedHealth Group: Optum Is The True Genius1. UnitedHealth Group combines a leading health benefits platform with a diversified health services business (Optum), creating a strong competitive moat; 2. Its massive scale enables sustainable cost advantages and superior negotiating power with healthcare providers; 3. The company consistently returns substantial free cash flow to shareholders through growing dividends and share buybacks.
October 5
- The Real Catalyst Behind Alexandria Real Estate1. The global semiconductor industry is confronting significant supply chain disruptions due to geopolitical tensions and production bottlenecks; 2. Surging demand from sectors like AI, electric vehicles, and 5G technology exacerbates supply-demand imbalances; 3. Industry leaders and governments are prioritizing strategic investments and partnerships to strengthen resilience and innovation capabilities.
- Wall Street Week Ahead1. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's upcoming speech and remarks from other policymakers will dominate market attention amid delayed economic data due to the U.S. government shutdown; 2. The third-quarter earnings season begins, with key reports from Delta Air Lines (DAL) and PepsiCo (PEP), alongside other companies like Levi Strauss (LEVI) and Tilray (TLRY); 3. Samuel Smith of High Yield Investor highlights undervalued dividend stocks as a generational opportunity, emphasizing sectors like REITs, energy, and AI-driven industries amid macroeconomic shifts.
- Marvell Could Be A 'Marvellous' Buy1. TSMC's Q2 2024 revenue rose 40% YoY to $20.67 billion, with net profit up 36% to $7.2 billion, exceeding market expectations; 2. Strong AI-related demand from data centers and high-performance computing (HPC) offset weaker smartphone and automotive chip sales; 3. The company raised its 2024 revenue growth forecast to 30% and highlighted AI as a key driver for long-term expansion.
- Zscaler: Why I'm Doubling Down Now1. The U.S. is investigating Chinese semiconductor firms for allegedly bypassing sanctions by transferring technology to Huawei for its Mate 60's 7nm chip; 2. The probe focuses on SMIC and Huawei's collaboration, which enabled advanced chip production despite U.S. export restrictions; 3. The investigation reflects U.S. concerns over China's semiconductor advancements and may lead to stricter export controls.
- Zscaler: Unstoppable Momentum As ARR Builds1. Zscaler achieved 32% year-over-year billings growth in Q4, accelerating from 25% in Q3; 2. Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) surpassed $3 billion, covering ~92% of FY26 guidance and signaling potential upside; 3. The company maintains a buy rating despite a high valuation (~14x forward revenue), trading below peers like CrowdStrike.
- IDE: Reindustrialization Will Drive Growth Across Focus Sectors1. Voya Infrastructure, Industrials and Materials Fund (IDE) provides global equity exposure to infrastructure, industrials, and materials sectors with a 9.86% forward yield; 2. The fund uses a thematic, factor-based strategy and generates additional income through call options; 3. Growth catalysts include U.S. policy incentives and international trade agreements, positioning IDE as a Buy-rated option for income-focused portfolios due to its competitive fees and alignment with long-term trends.
October 4
- TQQQ: An Alpha Opportunity1. ProShares UltraPro QQQ (TQQQ) is positioned to benefit from accelerating AI spending and growth in the Data Center industry; 2. TQQQ's portfolio is heavily concentrated in top tech stocks like Nvidia, Microsoft, and Apple, driven by AI advancements; 3. While offering leveraged exposure to tech growth, TQQQ carries volatility risks and is suitable for high-risk-tolerant investors.
- Central Bank Gold Statistics: Central Bank Gold Buying Rebounds In August1. Central banks resumed gold purchases in August with a net addition of 15 tons to global reserves after a pause in July; 2. The National Bank of Kazakhstan was the largest buyer, joined by Bulgaria and El Salvador; 3. Poland, the top gold purchaser year-to-date, increased its target share of gold reserves to strengthen its economic position.
- Weekly Indicators: Almost Completely Unaffected By Government Shutdown1. High-frequency economic indicators show continued US economic strength despite sectoral weaknesses, supported by yield curve spreads and corporate profits; 2. Housing and real estate loans exhibit recessionary trends, while commodity prices and a weaker US dollar point to global economic softness; 3. Negative regional Fed services surveys contrast with resilient consumer spending, which remains critical for near-term stability.
October 3
- Commodity Catchup: Why Are Central Banks Buying So Much Gold?1. TSMC's Q2 2024 revenue grew 32% YoY to $20.8 billion, with net profit surging 76%; 2. AI-related revenue accounted for 10% of total sales, projected to grow over 20% annually in the next five years; 3. Advanced packaging capacity will double by end-2024, with a new plant planned in Chiayi, Taiwan to meet AI chip demand.
- Politics And The Markets 10/03/251. The Trump administration cancels $3.1B in climate-related energy projects, including a California grid upgrade, affecting 16 Democrat-led states. 2. A potential $10B-$14B farm aid package is under consideration to offset tariff-related losses for U.S. farmers, funded by tariff revenues. 3. The White House halts $26B in infrastructure and climate funding, delaying projects like NYC's 2nd Avenue Subway amid a government shutdown and partisan disputes over healthcare subsidies.
October 2
- T-Mobile US: Stock Price To Follow Strong Bottom Line Growth1. The global semiconductor industry is grappling with severe supply chain disruptions due to prolonged chip shortages; 2. Increased demand for electronics, pandemic-related production delays, and geopolitical tensions have exacerbated the crisis; 3. Industry leaders are prioritizing investments in manufacturing capacity and diversifying supply chains to mitigate future risks.
- Nagarro: Considering Increasing My Position1. TSMC's Q2 2024 revenue reached $20.67 billion, exceeding market expectations; 2. Growth driven by increased adoption of advanced 3/5nm processes and surging AI-related chip demand; 3. The company anticipates continued momentum in H2 2024 with AI and high-performance computing applications fueling semiconductor demand.
- Carlisle: 2025 Weakness Creates 2026 Opportunity1. Carlisle Companies is rated a Buy, with shares considered undervalued after a 2025 correction, offering 14% upside potential; 2. Resilient earnings, strong cash flow, and capital returns (including $700M buybacks and a 17.6% dividend hike) support its valuation; 3. Despite construction sector weakness, re-roofing demand, energy efficiency trends, and acquisition synergies position CSL for long-term growth, though risks like prolonged downturns remain.
- October 2025 Perspective1. TSMC's Q2 revenue surged significantly due to strong demand for AI chips; 2. The company is expanding production capacity to meet growing market needs; 3. Ongoing supply chain constraints and geopolitical tensions pose risks to future operations.