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March 21
- Carvana: Load Up While The Markets Are Fearful1. Carvana's stock has dropped over 40% from its February peaks, presenting a buying opportunity at a reasonable ~22x adjusted EBITDA multiple; 2. The company's Q4 results showed strong retail unit sales and healthy adjusted EBITDA margin expansion; 3. Management expects sequential growth in retail unit sales in Q1 and FY25 despite a tough macroeconomy.
- PayPal: Steady Margin Expansion Could Deliver Promising Returns1. PayPal is demonstrating good value despite competitive challenges; 2. The company has reduced outstanding stock by 13.65% over the last three years, leading to 4.75% CAGR EPS growth; 3. With an additional $15 billion in buyback authorization, the company has nearly $20 billion for buybacks, representing 28% of the outstanding stock; 4. Management is implementing new initiatives to improve monetization of Venmo and other products, potentially increasing margins; 5. PYPL stock is trading at a low valuation compared to EPS estimates for the next two fiscal years.
- Alibaba: Subsidy Program Boosting Consumption1. I upgrade Alibaba to a 'Strong Buy' with a one-year target price of $174; 2. Driven by growth in AI, cloud computing, and government subsidies; 3. Management plans substantial CAPEX in AI and cloud computing, enhancing future growth prospects.
- Micron Q2: Anticipating More HBM Shipment In H21. Micron Technology is reiterated with a 'Strong Buy' rating at $140 per share due to robust HBM growth and strategic capacity expansion; 2. Micron reported 38.3% revenue growth and 24.9% adjusted operating income with HBM revenue growing 50% sequentially; 3. The company guides for $8.8 billion in Q3 FY25 revenue with significant investments in HBM manufacturing, forecasting 38.2% year-over-year growth for FY25.
- Unity: Will Vector Point The Company In A New Direction1. Unity is undervalued and poised for growth due to its AI-driven Vector model for advertising targeting and a user-friendly Create business model; 2. Despite recent market turmoil, Unity's technology refresh and AI advancements present significant growth opportunities; 3. Unity's Create business, bolstered by the new Unity 6.0 release, shows promising growth in non-gaming sectors.
- Nvidia: Why I Am Buying The Meltdown1. Nvidia's shares have declined due to trade tensions; 2. Its U.S.-centric business and undervaluation suggest a potential rebound; 3. Expected high demand for Blackwell GPUs in 2025 will significantly boost Nvidia's revenue and free cash flow; 4. Despite trade tensions, Nvidia will dominate the AI GPU market with strong growth catalysts; 5. NVDA's current valuation at 21X FY 2026 earnings offers a 20% discount to its 1-year P/E ratio.
- Datadog: A Strong Buy After The 42% Drop1. Datadog, Inc. offers a leading observability and monitoring platform with potential for significant sales and net income growth by 2030; 2. Despite recent technical setbacks, DDOG maintains strong performance with high gross margins and AI efficiency improvements; 3. DDOG's current valuation is attractive, trading at around 15 times 2030 EPS estimates, indicating a compelling growth opportunity.
March 20
- Wall Street Breakfast Podcast: March Madness Heats Up, Bets Roll In1. NCAA March Madness is a significant financial event with major revenue from media rights, sponsorships, and ticket sales, impacting sports betting and consumer promotions. 2. CoreWeave, backed by Nvidia, plans an IPO with shares ranging from $47 to $55, reporting significant revenue growth but also a net loss in 2024. 3. Sanofi acquires Dren Bio's immunology drug for up to $1.9B, targeting autoimmune indications and expanding its portfolio with a promising Phase 1 trial candidate.
- QQQI: The Next Big Test Has Begun1. The NEOS Nasdaq-100 High Income ETF has outperformed the Nasdaq 100 index during recent market corrections, validating its covered call strategy. 2. The fund has a current distribution rate of 14% and has maintained this over its lifespan. 3. The article discusses the strategy behind the fund and its implications for investors, as well as the tax implications and suitability recommendations.
- Intel And Crispr: 2 'Bond-Like' Option Trades Yielding 13%+1. Selling put options on Intel and CRISPR Therapeutics offers high returns with moderate risk; 2. Intel's $22 strike June 20th puts provide a 19.07% annualized yield; 3. CRISPR's $30 strike July 18th puts offer a 13.51% annualized yield.
- Litigation, Debt, And Decline - Yet Bayer Seems Like A Buy1. Bayer's stock surged 24.5% since December 2024, yet remains speculative due to significant risks like high debt and ongoing litigation. 2. 2024 annual results showed a 2.2% sales decline, with only free cash flow improving significantly; Pharmaceuticals saw slight growth, while Crop Science and Consumer Health declined. 3. Bayer's 2025 outlook is uncertain, with potential sales growth of 1% at best; management remains optimistic about a turnaround by 2027. Despite risks, Bayer's extremely low P/E and P/FCF ratios suggest a high upside potential, making it a cautiously optimistic 'Buy' for long-term investors.
- Goldman Sachs BDC: Dividend Alignment, But Still A Buy1. Goldman Sachs BDC reduced its base dividend by 29% due to high non-accruals and decreased net investment income, affecting income-dependent investors. 2. Despite the dividend cut, GSBD remains attractive due to its discount to NAV and potential for performance improvement. 3. GSBD's portfolio is highly collateralized with 97% First Lien investments, but higher non-accruals pose risks to net asset value and income. 4. The private credit market offers long-term growth opportunities, and GSBD could re-rate upward if it lowers its non-accrual ratio.
- Don't Jump The Gun, As Argan Offers Little Upside At Current Valuation1. Argan Inc. has surged ~150% in 12 months, but current valuation leaves limited upside. 2. AGX's primary segment (power) is benefiting from demand drivers like data centers, EVs, and reshoring. 3. AGX maintains a robust order backlog and strong liquidity, but stock valuation and technicals suggest limited upside.
- Freeport-McMoRan - Undervalued: Copper With A Gold Kicker1. Freeport-McMoRan is a leading global producer of copper, gold, and molybdenum; 2. Despite a fire at a new project in Indonesia, FCX received a 6-month permit to export copper concentrate, yet the stock remains weak; 3. The stock has lagged recent rallies in gold and copper prices, and is actually down ~11% over the past year.
- Politics And The Markets 03/20/251. This is a forum for daily political discussion on Seeking Alpha; 2. The comments are not regulated with the same rigor as the rest of the site; 3. The guideline is to refrain from personal attacks on fellow commenters.
- How To Build A $500,000 Dividend Portfolio: Boosting SCHD's Income With High-Yield Stocks1. The Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF (SCHD) has outperformed the S&P 500 in the past month. 2. Adding March's top 10 high-dividend yield companies and 5 attractive risk and reward picks can significantly boost the ETF's dividend income potential. 3. The strategy focuses on blending dividend income and growth, suitable for investors seeking additional income, dividend growth, and capital appreciation.
March 19
- Nvidia: A Rare Buying Opportunity Following The GTC Event1. Nvidia's expansion into AI robotics is set to diversify its business, reducing semiconductor cyclicality and expanding its total addressable market (TAM).; 2. The recent market underperformance makes NVDA a 'Buy' on the dip, especially with promising AI and robotics developments on the horizon.; 3. Nvidia's new Blackwell Ultra chip is expected to drive significant demand from mega-cap tech firms.
- Fed Chair Powell Is Not In A Hurry1. The Fed Chair Powell emphasizes the U.S. economy's solid labor market and inflation moving closer to the 2% goal. 2. He advises patience in monitoring policy changes and their effects. 3. The article highlights the importance of not panicking in the face of market corrections.
- March Madness: Conquer Fear And Select 10 Dip-Buying Deals1. The market sell-off triggered by tariffs, inflation, and geopolitical tensions has affected stocks with strong fundamentals. 2. A diligent investment strategy tends to result in more gains in the long run. 3. SA Quant has identified ten stocks with strong financials poised for a potential comeback once markets stabilize.
- Alphabet's Sell-Off Is Exaggerated1. Alphabet's dominance in the ad segment is threatened by AI chatbots like ChatGPT; 2. Current customer sentiment indicates a rise in the use of AI-based search engines; 3. Despite considering the worst-case scenario for Alphabet, the current sell-off is exaggerated and unjustified.
- Barrick Gold Doubles Free Cash Flows, But Mali And Pakistan Risks Cap The Upside1. Barrick Gold's adjusted free cash flow doubled year over year, and the adjusted EPS reached the highest level since 2013. 2. The Reko Diq copper-gold project could generate $74 billion in free cash flow over its 36-year lifespan, but there is uncertainty about Pakistan's ability to fund its cost share. 3. Geopolitical risks in Mali have frozen $245M in Barrick's gold exports, with potential $10M monthly costs for temporary care at Loulo-Gounkoto.
- Why Nebius Is A High-Conviction Play1. Nebius reported a 600% YoY growth in AI cloud revenue, with Q4 2024 revenue surging 466% to $37.9M; 2. A $700M oversubscribed funding round included Nvidia, Accel, and Orbis; 3. Plans to deploy 22,000 Nvidia GPUs by 2025, positioning Nebius as a cost-effective alternative to AWS and CoreWeave.
March 18
- Dividends Come Back Into Vogue: My Favorite Places For Income Extraction1. The article discusses the shift from growth stocks to value stocks, indicating that the value factor is becoming more attractive. 2. It highlights three specific high-yield segments that could offer superior returns. 3. The author shares specific stock ideas to implement this strategy.
- Energy Transfer: A Perfect 'Buy The Dip' Opportunity1. Energy Transfer LP demonstrated strong growth potential with record EBITDA and DCF in FY2024, driven by high volumes and strategic investments in the Permian Basin and NGL exports. 2. Despite missing Q4 expectations, ET's extensive natural gas pipeline network and rising natural gas power demand position it well for future growth and stable DCF. 3. ET's valuation is attractive, trading at a discount with a high dividend yield, declining debt-to-equity ratio, and significant upside potential based on EV/EBITDA.
- Tempus AI: The Investment Opportunity Of A Decade, Strong Buy1. Tempus AI's financials have significantly improved with positive cash flow expected by year-end and strong revenue growth projected for FY25. 2. Q4FY24 saw record revenues with a 35.8% YoY growth, driven by a 44.6% YoY growth in the Data & Services segment. 3. FY24 revenues hit an all-time high of $693.4 million, with major agreements signed and the launch of the AI-enabled health app, Olivia. Management guides for $1.24 billion in 2025 revenues, a 79% YoY growth.
- Rigetti Computing: This Quantum Stock Just Popped, We Say Buy (Rating Upgrade)1. Rigetti Computing is a leading provider of Superconducting Quantum Computing solutions. 2. The company has a large TAM of $1-2 billion before 2030, which is expected to grow significantly to $15-30 billion during 2030-40. 3. The company is on track to achieve key technology milestones, including a 36-qubit system by 2Q25 and a 108-qubit system by 4Q25. 4. A recent agreement with Quanta Computer to develop and commercialize quantum computing technology is a positive for the company. 5. The analyst has a Buy rating on the stock with a target price of $14.
- Intel: The Clock Has Started1. Intel's stock has lost half its value over five years due to revenue struggles and high expenses; 2. New CEO Lip-Bu Tan brings hope for a turnaround; 3. Intel's estimates have declined sharply, requiring cost cuts and improved cash flow.
- Starwood Property: Dividend Risks In 20251. Starwood Property Trust exceeded Q4 distributable earnings expectations but maintained a thin dividend coverage ratio of 100% for three consecutive quarters; 2. The REIT's portfolio is highly diversified, with significant investments in commercial real estate loans, infrastructure lending, and multi-family real estate assets; 3. The company faces potential dividend coverage issues, risking a dividend cut and possible loss of premium valuation.
- Robinhood Markets: Fintech Growth Story Trading At Discount1. Robinhood Markets' stock is down 40% from its peak, but strong fundamentals and strategic initiatives suggest significant growth potential and undervaluation. 2. February 2025 net new assets rose 28% YoY to $4.8 billion, with record trading volumes in options and equities. 3. Strategic initiatives like the desktop trading platform, futures offering, and Gold membership program diversify revenue and enhance Robinhood's competitive edge.
- Brookfield Asset Management: Market Correction Offers Another Opportunity To Buy This Business1. Market pessimism has led to Brookfield Asset Management trading at attractive valuations despite strong fundamentals; 2. BAM has a strong competitive advantage, excellent financial track record, and an asset-light business model; 3. The company has a clean balance sheet, substantial liquidity, and benefits from mega-trends like digitization and decarbonization.