1. VFLO is a top-value ETF for 2025, suitable for buying blue-chip stocks during market downturns. 2. VFLO's strategy has consistently outperformed with an 18.9% CAGR since 1991. 3. Quarterly rebalancing ensures VFLO remains undervalued and high-quality, delivering 12% growth for sub 9X cash-adjusted earnings.
Recent #Investment Strategy news in the semiconductor industry
1. Recent developments and updates on BTI's Capital Market Day have led to a reexamination of the stock; 2. Concerns about future profit stagnation due to progress in new categories, rapid decline in combustibles, and slow growth in new products; 3. Despite a low FWD P/E of 7.5x, the stock is considered fairly priced given the gloomy growth potential; 4. The rating has been downgraded to HOLD.
1. Mama's Creations has seen an eightfold increase in stock price since late 2022, driven by strong growth and multiple expansion. 2. With MAMA now trading for 58.5 times forward earnings, the risk/reward proposition may no longer be in your favor. 3. Investors may react differently to upcoming results, with potential for significant de-rating on earnings miss, but stability if results meet/beat expectations.
1. Warren Buffett has raised over $158 billion in cash/cash equivalents this year and has continued to sell stocks in Q4. 2. Recent filings show that Berkshire sold another $36 billion in stocks in Q3 and plowed operating earnings into short-term Treasuries as well. 3. Theories for Buffett's selling include overvaluation in mega-cap stocks, a recession warning, or stockpiling money for potential acquisitions.
1. Several mutual fund firms, including Vanguard and Charles Schwab, are being required to revise their prospectuses due to SEC diversification requirements for certain investment strategies. 2. At the end of last week, 36.8% of the S&P 500 Index was invested in just ten stocks. 3. Concentration risk can affect portfolio returns in both positive and negative ways for investors.
1. Microsoft's stock has surged over 25% since mid-last year but now presents an unfavorable risk/reward setup, making it a sell recommendation. 2. Daily technical analysis shows mixed signals, with near-term bullishness but significant resistance levels; intermediate and long-term outlooks are net bearish. 3. Despite recent earnings beating expectations, Microsoft's growth prospects do not justify its current valuation.
1. The market surged after Trump's victory, indicating a potential new trending period with strong technicals and favorable end-of-year conditions; 2. Short-term extension is expected, with chop or a pullback in the shorter term, offering opportunities to buy leading stocks at attractive points; 3. Momentum traders faced strategic challenges during the election, balancing risk and potential rewards as stocks broke out and gapped up.
1. Setting risk tolerance is crucial for investors; 2. Long-term Buy and Hold strategy is less focused on macroeconomic environment; 3. Valuation concerns exist for high-flyers like Apple and Tesla, but momentum can outweigh these worries.
1. The 200-day moving average is a key technical indicator for entering and exiting stock positions, endorsed by top investors. 2. Current market conditions suggest caution for some top S&P 500 stocks. 3. Incorporating the 200-day moving average into your investment strategy can reduce risk and improve portfolio performance.
1. The focus has shifted from the early days of ChatGPT to the monetization of AI infrastructures. 2. The Invesco QQQ Trust ETF is volatile, making an alternative like Roundhill's QDTE attractive. 3. QDTE uses a synthetic covered call strategy, suitable for volatile markets but may underperform in tech bull runs.
1. The Fed has begun to cut rates, which could make FSK's debt investments more valuable. 2. FSK is trading at a 15.91% discount to its NAV, and if rates decline and debt appreciates, it should increase FSK's NAV and push the share price higher. 3. FSK continues to pay a special distribution on top of the $2.56 base distribution, and the amount of NII generated could allow FSK to pay special distributions into 2025.
➀ H100 GPU market has flipped from shortage to oversupply due to various factors;
➁ The cost of renting H100s has dropped significantly, making new purchases less attractive;
➂ The rise of open-source models and the decline in demand for new foundation models have contributed to the price drop;
➃ Alternative hardware options are becoming more viable, reducing the need for H100s in certain applications;
➄ The author advises against investing in new H100s and suggests considering the stock market for better returns.
1. Enbridge reported strong Q3 results, confirming excellent coverage ratio for preferred dividends; 2. Series 5 preferred shares offer a 6.96% preferred dividend yield in USD; 3. The author plans to write put options on common shares and increase position in preferred securities.
1. Google faces uncertainties in its core search business due to LLM tools and regulatory challenges; 2. Despite potential disruptions from AI assistants, Google Search's revenue is expected to maintain momentum in the short term; 3. Alphabet's diverse revenue streams, including YouTube and Waymo, provide additional growth opportunities and mitigate risks associated with its core business.
1. First Solar's strong financial performance is driven by increased module sales and favorable U.S. policies; 2. The company's advanced CdTe thin-film technology offers higher efficiency and lower carbon footprint; 3. Strategic capacity expansions and a substantial order backlog support long-term growth.
1. The Baron Discovery Fund outperformed its benchmark, the Russell 2000 Growth Index, in Q3 2024. 2. The Fund's top contributors were CareDx, Axon Enterprise, and Tempus AI. 3. The Fund's largest purchase was TWFG, an insurance broker. 4. The Fund believes the bear market in small-cap growth stocks is ending. 5. The Fund expects small-cap growth stocks to outperform in the medium to long term.
1. SoFi Technologies' stock has surged past its December 2023 highs, outperforming the market and sector peers. 2. Investors have likely priced in a robust Q3 report and strong guidance for 2025. 3. However, the company's business model sustainability is questioned, and recent optimism may be overstated. 4. The author argues for caution in chasing the recent spike.
1. Despite impressive growth and profitability, Nvidia's stock is highly overvalued, making it risky at current prices; 2. The Blackwell platform is expected to boost sales, but investor enthusiasm may be excessive due to increasing competition and slowing growth rates; 3. Nvidia has strong financial fundamentals with high profitability and low debt, but its valuation ratios are significantly higher than industry averages, suggesting a 'Hold' rating.
1. To achieve superior long-term returns, focus on buying high-quality stocks at reasonable valuations, especially during significant market downturns. 2. ASML's deeply cyclical earnings and historical price patterns suggest buying only after a -50% drawdown. 3. Understanding cyclicality and avoiding market hype are crucial for profiting from cyclical stocks like ASML, even in non-recessionary periods.
1. The S&P 500 is historically expensive with high PE and price-to-sales ratios, suggesting lower future returns for index fund investors. 2. Current PE and price-to-sales ratios exceed those of the dot-com and COVID bubbles when adjusted for growth rates. 3. Dividend yields are near historical lows, indicating the market's overvaluation compared to historical norms and the 10-year Treasury yield. 4. Stock selection is crucial as high valuations imply lower future returns, especially for buy-and-hold investors and index fund participants.