Recent #Financial Analysis news in the semiconductor industry

5 months ago
1. X-Fab Silicon Foundries is a well-established company in a growing industry with a long history of profitable activity. 2. It has an excellent valuation, even without considering future growth prospects. 3. Revenues are expected to increase in the coming years, supported by the CAPEX program of 2023-2025H1. 4. EV / 2026 FCF is below 5 and for 2030, is 2.4. 5. Positive free cash flow may trigger buybacks.
Financial Analysisinvestmentsemiconductor
5 months ago
1. An upcoming $120 million SARs expense is expected to significantly miss EPS, which is not accounted for by Wall Street analysts. 2. The stock's high price does not necessarily mean it is overvalued, and investors focused on P/S ratios may have missed Palantir's remarkable gains. 3. The author's current fair intrinsic value for the business is $55 per share, implying a -32% downside, but it is undervalued using market implied discount rates. 4. The author maintains a hold rating for Palantir, as the business remains robust despite the anticipated negative Q4 catalyst and current overvaluation.
Financial AnalysisInvestment StrategyMarket Valuation
6 months ago
1. The author has been bullish on Brookfield Renewable Partners L.P. Limited Partnership Units (BEP) since May 2024; 2. Despite recent struggles, the author believes BEP is poised to benefit from the increasing demand for power as data centers are built up; 3. The author expects to lock in a durable 6% yield from BEP, anticipating valuation recovery and growing distributions in the future.
Financial Analysisinvestmentrenewable energy
6 months ago
1. The author emphasizes a nuanced approach to valuations, suggesting different Owner's Yields based on expected revenue growth rates, rather than a flat 4% threshold. 2. The Five Factor Model includes requirements for importance, founder management, revenue growth, gross margins, and valuation. 3. FastGraphs is a tool for comparing current valuations to historical norms, aiding in informed investment decisions.
Financial AnalysisInvesting StrategyPortfolio Strategy
6 months ago
1. NVIDIA surpassed Q3 FY2025 expectations with $35.1B in revenue and $0.81 EPS, driven by strong Data Center segment performance. 2. Concerns remain over supply constraints for Hopper and Blackwell GPUs, and ongoing gross margin contraction. 3. Nvidia's stock remains overvalued at $145 per share, with a 5-year expected CAGR of ~3.4%, falling short of the investment hurdle rate.
Financial AnalysisNVIDIAStock Valuation
7 months ago
1. Nvidia is expected to report strong Q3 2025 earnings growth of 84.7% and revenue growth of 83.3%. 2. Despite strong earnings, Nvidia's stock may not rise post-results due to high implied volatility and potential market maker adjustments in options trading. 3. Analysts' current revenue estimates for Q3 seem low, suggesting Nvidia might report higher-than-expected results and provide robust Q4 guidance.
Financial Analysisearningsstock market
7 months ago
1. Apple had a strong Q4 and FY24 with improved profitability and expanding revenues, primarily due to new product launches. 2. Their Services business, with a 74% gross margin, is crucial for profitability, but hardware sales remain essential for ecosystem growth. 3. Despite robust earnings, Apple's stock valuation is historically expensive, with a 19% overvaluation suggested by the DCF analysis. 4. Challenges include competitive pressures in China, governance risks, and massive competitive forces.
AppleFinancial AnalysisMarket Valuation
7 months ago
1. The Fed has begun to cut rates, which could make FSK's debt investments more valuable. 2. FSK is trading at a 15.91% discount to its NAV, and if rates decline and debt appreciates, it should increase FSK's NAV and push the share price higher. 3. FSK continues to pay a special distribution on top of the $2.56 base distribution, and the amount of NII generated could allow FSK to pay special distributions into 2025.
DividendsFinancial AnalysisInvestment Strategy
9 months ago
1. Crescent Capital BDC has a well-diversified, defensive portfolio with 89.2% first-lien debt and decreasing non-accruals, indicating high portfolio quality. 2. CCAP is sensitive to interest rate cuts due to its floating-rate debt investments, but lower interest expenses and increased market activity could somewhat offset this. 3. Despite potential interest rate cuts, CCAP's dividends remain well-covered, with a strong net investment income per share providing robust dividend coverage.
BDCsFinancial Analysisdividend stocks