
seekingalpha
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January 25
- GE Aerospace Q4: Firing On All Cylinders; Upgrade To 'Strong Buy'1. GE Aerospace has been upgraded to 'Strong Buy' with a fair value of $250 per share due to robust order growth and strong FY25 guidance. 2. Significant investments in the LEAP engine program and MRO facilities are key drivers of sustained growth in commercial engines and defense markets. 3. FY25 revenue is projected to grow by 12.5%, driven by Commercial Engines & Services and Defense & Propulsion Technologies segments.
- CrowdStrike: All About Resilience Following The July 2024 Snafu1. Cybersecurity stocks, particularly CrowdStrike, have shown strong performance since October 2022; 2. CRWD's Q3 results were impressive with EPS and revenue beats, strong ARR growth, and resilience post-mid-year IT outage; 3. Key risks include potential weaker enterprise spending, slower customer adoption, higher competition, and possible sharp corrections on EPS misses.
- Nu Holdings: The Noise Is Real, But So Is The Potential (Rating Upgrade)1. Nu Holdings faces macroeconomic risks such as high interest rates and currency devaluation in Brazil; 2. Despite challenges, the company's strong brand, 100M+ customers, and cross-selling opportunities support long-term growth potential; 3. Nu Holdings' premium valuation is justified by efficient execution, robust growth prospects, and a scalable business model.
- Combine QQQ With This ETF To Get The Best Risk-Adjusted Returns1. QQQ has outperformed the S&P 500, offering higher total and risk-adjusted returns. 2. However, its tech concentration and high valuations introduce risks. 3. An optimal addition to QQQ is presented to enhance the Sharpe ratio and optimize risk-adjusted returns.
- AMD: I Am Buying Even More Aggressively Now (Rating Upgrade)1. A lower base allows AMD to achieve a higher estimated EPS CAGR over the next five years while trading at more attractive valuation multiples. 2. AMD's AI-focused processors and new GPU releases at CES 2025 position it well against Nvidia, with potential market share gains. 3. AI PCs are expected to boost AMD's performance this year. 4. The valuation analysis shows over 27% upside potential, with AMD trading at lower multiples and expected to outperform EPS estimates in the coming quarters. 5. The author is considering increasing their current position in AMD amidst rising negativity regarding its future prospects.
January 24
- Nvidia: An Obvious Project Stargate Beneficiary - It's Good To Be King1. President Trump's commitment to AI strengthens Nvidia's position with bipartisan support for AI protectionism policies and significant investments like Project Stargate; 2. Project Stargate's potential $500b investment in US data centers boosts Nvidia's market demand; 3. Nvidia's dominance is secured by its superior CUDA ecosystem and strategic partnerships, despite competition from AMD, Intel, and custom silicon efforts; 4. Nvidia's Blackwell chip will power next-gen AI, driving revenue growth and maintaining its leadership in the AI hardware market.
- Enbridge Vs. Suncor: The E&P Bests The Pipeline1. Suncor Energy and Enbridge are two of Canada's most discussed oil stocks. Suncor has a stronger balance sheet and better valuation, profitability, and growth metrics. 2. Enbridge is less sensitive to oil price volatility compared to Suncor. 3. Assuming oil prices remain above $60 for the next five years, Suncor is expected to deliver more value to shareholders than Enbridge.
- Rigetti Computing: Quantum Hype Meets Market Reality - A Cautious Hold1. Quantum computing stocks, particularly Rigetti Computing, have surged dramatically due to speculative hype, despite practical applications being years away. 2. Industry leaders express skepticism about near-term quantum computing applications. 3. Rigetti's unique approach and partnerships position it well, but its stock's volatility and high valuation require cautious monitoring. 4. Despite the hype, Rigetti's roadmap and AI-driven market interest suggest potential long-term gains.
- Eos Energy: This Small-Cap Will Keep Running In 2025 And Beyond1. Eos Energy Enterprises is a strong buy due to its innovative energy storage solutions and expected 10x revenue growth by 2025; 2. EOSE's business model includes Znyth battery energy storage systems and software services, creating a stable SaaS revenue stream alongside product sales; 3. Significant investments and strategic partnerships have positioned EOSE for rapid expansion and scalability.
- Nebius Group: My Updates On Avride Valuation1. The author revisits the valuation of Nebius Group, previously estimated at $8.8 billion. 2. A detailed analysis of the U.S. robotaxi market and Avride's potential within it is conducted. 3. Avride is projected to potentially hold the 2nd or 3rd position in the U.S. robotaxi market. 4. Potential investors are identified as Uber, Hyundai, Lyft, German automakers, and venture capital funds. 5. A new valuation for Avride of $3.4 billion is proposed, leading to a revised valuation for Nebius Group of $11.2 billion.
- Applied Materials: Why It May Be Too Late To Buy For Big Returns1. Applied Materials is a high-quality company with strong fundamentals and impressive financial growth. 2. Despite its long-term growth potential, AMAT's current valuation is elevated, limiting short-to-medium-term margin of safety. 3. The semiconductor manufacturing equipment market is expected to grow, supporting AMAT's EPS growth. 4. The author recommends holding off on buying AMAT stock now, expecting better entry points in future downturns.
- A Major Market Correction Is Coming1. The stock market is a leading economic indicator, driven more by investor emotions than economic data; 2. Current levels of extreme bullish sentiment and distinct Elliott Wave patterns suggest a longer-term corrective pattern is underway; 3. Historical parallels, such as the 1968-74 stock market, indicate a significant market downturn is expected; 4. The recommended asset allocation is consistent with the expectation of a major correction, possibly ending in early 2026.
January 23
- Golden Buying Opportunity: Up To 9% Yields For Pennies On The Dollar1. Discusses Warren Buffett's advice on buying stocks during economic downturns; 2. Identifies a sector with compelling investment opportunities; 3. Shares three blue-chip ideas with high yields, growing dividends, and trading at a fraction of their value.
- Tempus AI's Flywheel Effect: Monetizing Data In Precision Medicine1. Tempus AI's scalable data ecosystem and path to profitability make it an attractive investment with a clear trajectory to $1 billion in annual revenue; 2. The acquisition of Ambry and strategic fit enhance Tempus AI's operational and financial prospects; 3. Risks include high debt, cash burn, reimbursement policy dependence, and integration challenges, but reduced cash burn could stabilize the company financially.
- Dell: Future-Proofing Business Sets The Stage For Earnings Beat1. Dell Technologies has faced recent volatility, falling 14% in the past 6 months; 2. Despite a recent earnings miss, DELL's expansion into AI and its growing storage and server businesses position it for future growth; 3. DELL's server and networking revenue surged 58%, with analysts projecting total revenue of $96.3 billion for 2025.
- Opera: Executing Well, But Preferable To Re-Enter At Lower Levels (Rating Downgrade)1. Opera has outperformed other international small-caps by 23x over the past year; 2. OPRA's fundamentals remain strong, meeting the 'Rule of 40' even by 2026; 3. OPRA is countering MAU decline with exceptional ARPU growth, and new high ARPU products are contributing significantly; 4. However, the bullish momentum is fading, and the stock appears overextended in the international small-cap space, with forward EV/EBITDA valuations above average.
- Block: Bullish Technicals To Begin Trump 2.01. Block, Inc. has seen a 30% increase in stock value over the past six months; 2. The technical analysis indicates a bullish trend with strong moving averages and indicators; 3. Despite uninspiring revenue growth, the company shows significant EPS improvement and major EBITDA growth, suggesting robust business performance; 4. Valuation metrics suggest a fair value for Block, and the potential for positive tailwinds from Trump's pro-crypto stance makes the stock a buy recommendation.
- How To Build A $100,000 Dividend Portfolio: SCHD As The Core For Income And Growth1. The Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF offers a blend of dividend income and growth but lacks diversification; 2. This article enhances the ETF by adding top 10 high-dividend yield companies and 5 selected dividend growth companies from January 2025; 3. The author demonstrates how to allocate $100,000 across SCHD and these 15 companies to increase portfolio diversification.
January 22
- Top Dividend Stocks For 20251. Dividend investing offers stability in uncertain times; 2. SA Quant selected 10 stocks with high dividend yields and strong payout history; 3. These stocks have outperformed the market and offer higher yields.
- Google Stock Near All-Time Highs And A Top Holding Pre-Q4, But This Is A Bad Entry Point (Rating Downgrade)1. Google's Q4 2024 revenue is expected to benefit from AI innovations, 30%+ growth in Google Cloud, and over $50B in YouTube subscription revenue over the last 12 months. 2. With a conservative $600B revenue forecast, 31% net margin, and P/E of 22.5, GOOGL's 2030 price target is $370, implying a 13% CAGR from its current $200 price. 3. Antitrust risks and competitive pressures in AI markets persist, with expected 5-year returns slightly above market averages, GOOGL remains a Hold under a 15% annual return threshold.
- Netflix Earnings: Why $1000 Is A Bargain For Investors1. Netflix continues to show steady revenue growth, reinforcing its strong market position and potential for future gains. 2. The stock valuation of NFLX remains attractive, suggesting potential upside for investors. 3. Near-term prospects for Netflix are promising, driven by consistent content production and subscriber growth.
- Rocket Lab: Buy On Rockets And Space Systems Boom1. Rocket Lab's Space Systems segment generates 80% of sales, emphasizing its crucial role beyond launch services. 2. Vertical integration enables Rocket Lab to provide end-to-end solutions, enhancing growth and eliminating intermediary margins. 3. Both Space Systems and Launch segments exhibit strong gross margins, with Space Systems consistently driving higher sequential and year-on-year growth.
- Gold Gets Boost From Dollar Instability, Faltering Bond Prices1. The relationship between bond yields and gold prices has shifted notably in recent months; 2. Bond yields have been faltering, with yields dropping from 4.78 to 4.61 in a few days; 3. Financial analyst Gary Wagner predicts gold prices could increase due to continued turmoil in Ukraine and the Middle East.
- Avoid Quantum Computing Inc. At All Costs1. Quantum Computing Inc. is rated 'Strong Sell' due to its high valuation and poor financials; 2. The company's $1.3 billion market cap is speculative and faces significant downside risk; 3. Despite raising $190 million, the company lacks product-market fit and lacks resources to attract top talent.
January 21
- 3 High Yielding REITs (8%-10%)1. Focuses on three REITs with yields between 8% and 10%: Ladder Capital, NewLake Capital, and Starwood Property Trust. 2. Ladder Capital offers a 8.2% yield with a diversified portfolio, strong balance sheet, and experienced management. 3. NewLake Capital, a cannabis REIT, yields 10.6% with solid financials and growth prospects. 4. Starwood Property Trust yields 9.9% with a robust loan portfolio, significant liquidity, and a history of stable dividends.
- AMD: DeepSeek Is A Big Deal1. AMD shares have fallen 23.37% since October due to concerns about competition with Nvidia's Blackwell chips; 2. Breakthroughs from DeepSeek V3 model significantly reduce AI training costs, positioning AMD GPUs as a more cost-effective alternative to Nvidia's; 3. AMD's forward P/E ratio is undervalued, and aligning its PEG ratio with the sector median could lift its valuation by approximately 130.49%; 4. Despite risks, AMD's competitive total cost of ownership and DeepSeek's advancements make AMD shares a strong buy for future growth in the AI GPU market.
- PayPal: Cheaper Than Estimated On Share Buyback1. PayPal's growth has slowed, but strong free cash flow and improving EBITDA margins support a BUY rating; 2. Consensus estimates see PayPal as a mature company with steady growth and good margins; 3. Valuation appears low at 0.8x PEG ratio, with a target of 1x PEG leading to a YE25 price target of $121.
- Why I'm Buying The Intel Acquisition Rumors1. Intel's market cap has stagnated for 30 years, but deep value exists due to its core CPU segment and potential for a turnaround; 2. The CPU market remains profitable with limited competition, and any improvement in Intel's other businesses could create significant value; 3. Whether the M&A happens or not, this could have strategic changes or management shake-ups at Intel that benefit shareholders.
- 2 Reasons Why I'm Buying SCHD Over S&P 5001. The S&P 500 is overvalued and concentrated; 2. SCHD offers a 3.55% dividend yield with a focus on value stocks and dividend growers; 3. Value stocks in SCHD are historically cheap relative to growth stocks, making them attractive in the current high-yield environment.
- Meta Makes 'Intense Year' Forecast And Big Layoffs1. Meta is facing an 'intense year' with massive AI investments and new product launches; 2. The company plans to cut its headcount by 5% to improve efficiency and margin trajectory; 3. TikTok's final decision and potential customer base impact on Meta's earnings; 4. Meta's forward PE multiple remains low among big tech peers, showing good EPS growth momentum.