seekingalpha
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February 8
- Klepierre: Good Performance, Wish My Position Was Larger1. Klepierre, a European Retail REIT with a strong portfolio of shopping malls in central European cities, offers a 6.32% yield and BBB+ rating. 2. Despite impressive fundamentals, growth is expected to be slower with a 4% EBITDA increase in 2024. 3. The company trades below its EPRA NTA, presenting a 10% discount, but US-based REITs offer more attractive opportunities. I rate Klepierre a 'Buy' at €31/share.
- PayPal: Buy The Meltdown1. PayPal Holdings' stock dropped 13% despite beating earnings and sales estimates due to a minor miss in payment volume expectations; 2. Active accounts grew by 2.6 million QoQ, indicating a resurgence in growth; 3. Transaction margins improved to 47%, suggesting better profitability, and the profit forecast for 2025 remains robust.
- Celestica: Insiders Selling Brings Concerns (Rating Downgrade)1. Celestica's stock has surged five-fold since the initial 'Buy' rating, outperforming the S&P 500. 2. Recent insider selling raises concerns despite strong Q4 results and growth prospects. 3. The downgrade to 'Hold' reflects cautious insider behavior and a limited margin of safety.
February 7
- Palantir: A Psychology Trade1. Palantir is believed to have the strongest narrative in the US equities market with impressive growth results. 2. The AIP platform is expected to sign more enterprise customers as reliability improves with more efficient LLM models and powerful GPUs. 3. The CEO's shareholder letter indicates a bold conviction that recent events are just the beginning of the AI revolution. 4. The author maintains a strong buy rating with a longer investment timeframe and potential for a pullback in the next weeks.
- Forget DeepSeek - Seek Deep Dividend Bargains Instead1. Discusses the concept of 'margin of safety' in investing; 2. Highlights undervalued picks offering steady dividends and portfolio resilience; 3. Emphasizes the importance of investing with a margin of safety in volatile markets.
- The Next Big Opportunity: My Favorite Dividend Stocks For The Shift Ahead1. The article discusses the potential for outperformance in industrials, energy, and transportation sectors due to improving indicators and global growth; 2. The author is positioning their portfolio for this shift by adding to railroads, machinery, and energy stocks; 3. The author acknowledges risks such as geopolitical tensions, inflation, or economic slowdowns but believes the risk/reward is favorable.
- Trade War Tactics: How I'm Protecting My Life Savings From The Worst Case Scenario1. Predictions suggest a sustained trade war could lead to a 28% bear market in the base case and a 44% decline in the worst-case scenario. 2. Managed futures, especially Simplify's CTA ETF, are effective hedging assets due to their negative downside capture ratio and trend-following precision. 3. The author's transition to CTA for hedging is gradual, with a plan to sell KMLM and buy more CTA if tariffs increase.
- Palantir: Ontology Gives It A Moat But Doesn't Solve Valuation Worries1. Palantir's ontology unlocks scalability and operational efficiency, making it a key differentiator in the competitive AI landscape. 2. The company's financial results support this, with very strong revenue growth and margin expansion. 3. The author acknowledges PLTR's potential but cautions against its current high multiples and possible growth volatility.
- AMD: We Have A Problem (Rating Downgrade)1. AMD has lost more than a third of its value over the past year, disappointing investors compared to Nvidia's growth. 2. Concerns about AMD's AI growth and lackluster PC sales have led to consistent cuts in bottom line forecasts. 3. The Q4 earnings report showed a decent revenue beat and current quarter guidance was ahead of expectations.
- Anheuser-Busch InBev: Making A U-Turn On My Initial Thesis (Rating Upgrade)1. Anheuser-Busch InBev's stock performance has been a disaster for shareholders in recent years; 2. The S&P 500 appreciated by more than 80% during the same period, while the consumer staples sector as a whole had a lower return; 3. The author maintains a 'Sell' rating on the stock for several years but is now optimistic about BUD's potential for satisfactory shareholder returns.
- Buy The Dip: Big Dividends Getting Way Too Cheap1. The author's strategy involves buying high-quality, high-yield stocks at discounts, holding until they re-appreciate, and then selling to reinvest in undervalued stocks. 2. The article details some of the most attractive, high-quality big dividend stocks available right now and why they are good buys. 3. The author invites readers to join High Yield Investor for exclusive access to subscriber-only portfolios and a 2-week free trial.
February 6
- Palantir On Verge Of Exploding With Powerful Reasoning AI1. Generative AI is reaching superhuman levels of capability through reinforcement learning; 2. Palantir is at the center of this AI revolution due to its dominance in operational AI application layer; 3. Palantir benefits from AI improvements without the downsides of foundation model development.
- Disney: The Magic Hasn't Faded1. The Walt Disney Company maintains a 'Strong Buy' rating due to robust long-term prospects and strong quarterly results; 2. Disney's Q1 2025 revenue and EPS exceeded expectations, with growth in the streaming division and theme parks; 3. The article highlights the positive outlook for Disney+ and Hulu, as well as the success of theatrical distribution and theme parks.
- BigBear.ai: The Big AI Failure, Strong Sell1. BigBear.ai faces challenges in profitability and captures only 0.25% of its $80 billion TAM, making it a poor investment choice. 2. BBAI competes with Palantir, which has more resources, customers, and a versatile product suite. 3. Palantir has higher gross margins (81.1% vs. 26.99%) and profitability, making it a superior investment in the AI sector.
- Rates Spark: Trump Wants A Lower 10yr Yield Too1. The US 10-year yield finally broke below 4.5%; 2. The Trump administration aims to lower rates through lower inflation and fiscal deficit; 3. The Bank of England is expected to cut rates by 25bp.
- ARS Pharmaceuticals' Neffy Launch Could Be A Hit For Severe Allergic Reactions1. ARS Pharmaceuticals launched Neffy, the first FDA-approved needle-free epinephrine nasal spray for severe allergic reactions; 2. Neffy's early sales exceeded expectations, indicating its potential for blockbuster status; 3. Neffy targets multiple segments within severe allergic reactions and could become an OTC medication, with a multibillion-dollar total addressable market (TAM).
- Brinker International: A Comp Sales Performance Worth A Michelin Star1. Brinker International's Chili's reported a 31.4% year-over-year same-store sales growth, driven by the Triple Dipper, and significant operational improvements. 2. The Triple Dipper alone accounted for 7 percentage points of same-store sales, with new menu items and marketing appealing to Gen Z guests. 3. EAT's top-line sales grew 26.55% year-over-year, with EBITDA increasing 102% and net income rising over 180%, reflecting strong financial health.
- XDTE: Roundhill Has Proven Its Strategy Works1. Roundhill's S&P 500 0DTE Covered Call Strategy ETF has maintained similar total returns to its underlying over longer timeframes with a covered call strategy. 2. They use a long exposure through deep in the money calls and sell daily calls against this position every market open. 3. Their 0-DTE strategy allows significant flexibility with strike selection on the calls they sell, and they do not sacrifice total returns for income.
- Novonesis: Still Too Expensive1. Novozymes and Christian Hansen merged to form Novonesis, a company with strong business and stable margins but declining growth rates. 2. Despite Q3/24 results, long-term growth has slowed, and management expects future revenue acceleration and margin improvements. 3. Intrinsic value calculations suggest cautious investment due to the stock not being a bargain unless very optimistic growth assumptions are met.
- Golden Buying Opportunity: The More It Drops, The More I Buy1. Recent sell-offs in attractive dividend sectors have created opportunities to purchase high-quality dividend growth companies at significant discounts and attractive yields. 2. Factors such as rising interest rates, concerns over Canadian oil import tariffs, and energy oversupply have impacted REITs and energy production sectors. 3. High Yield Investor shares their top picks in these sectors.
- 5 Monthly-Paying REITs To Sleep Well At Night1. This month's Mailbox Money report highlights five top monthly paying REITs, including Healthpeak, with an average yield of 5.3% and an 18% annualized return forecast; 2. The featured REITs have strong fundamentals, diversified portfolios, and attractive dividend yields ranging from 4.2% to 6.3%; 3. Healthpeak Properties, now paying monthly dividends, offers a 6.1% yield and significant upside due to its focus on life science and outpatient medical properties.
February 5
- PayPal: Sell Now To Avoid Growth Challenges In 20251. Despite positive Q4 results, PayPal faces revenue challenges due to stagnant active account growth and falling transactions per active account; 2. Revenue growth challenges are expected to persist in FY25 due to Braintree renegotiations; 3. The company's credit risk metrics have improved, but the stock is still undervalued compared to peers.
- Google Q4 Earnings: Unpleasant Questions Surface (Rating Downgrade)1. Alphabet Inc. reported a minor miss on its Q4 2024 revenue estimates, prompting investors to take profits off the table. 2. Despite steady growth in Google Search, concerns over the future of Search amid rising AI tools like ChatGPT prompt a neutral stance on the stock. 3. The article discusses the potential upside if Alphabet's 2025 Search innovations succeed, but highlights current uncertainties making the risk-reward balance less appealing.
- Nebius: Supercharging Its AI Infrastructure Before Wall Street Wakes Up1. Nebius Group N.V. (NBIS) has undergone a major transformation after divesting its Russian business; 2. The company has a strong cash position and NVIDIA backing; 3. The article suggests an increase in institutional interest over the next 12 to 24 months.
- Alphabet: Google Cloud Miss Isn't As Bad As It Seems - I'm Buying The Dip1. Alphabet's Q4 results were mixed, with EPS beating estimates but revenue slightly missing; 2. Google Cloud's revenue growth decelerated to 30% YoY, missing expectations, but operating income improved significantly; 3. The revenue miss in Google Cloud was due to a lack of capacity to meet high demand, not a lack of demand; 4. Alphabet's heavy CapEx investments in AI and infrastructure may pressure short-term profits but are essential for long-term competitive advantage; 5. Despite recent stock gains, GOOG's fair valuation and double-digit EPS growth potential make the post-earnings dip a buying opportunity for long-term investors.
- Intel Stays On Track For 20251. Intel's Panther Lake node, launching in 2H 2025, aims to surpass Taiwan Semiconductor's 2nm; 2. Despite a 7% YoY revenue drop, Intel's $14 billion revenue exceeded expectations; 3. Intel's foundry business is crucial for future growth, with breakeven expected by 2027.
- Intel: Future Is Still Bright But It Will Be A Long Ride1. Intel reported a good yearly result despite the glut in traditional semiconductor segments and limited exposure to AI. 2. Intel Products' CCG experienced a revenue decline YoY due to competition, which is concerning as new entrants are expected to increase competition. 3. Intel Foundry is a future growth driver but will take time due to the long product cycle and experience curve associated with 18A. 4. At the current share price of around $19, investors are getting half the intrinsic value of the Product team for free.
- 4 Factor Dividend Growth Strategy - Started 2025 In High Gear1. The 4-factor dividend growth portfolio is a strategy that utilizes Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF's stock selection process with some minor adjustments. 2. The portfolio has had a strong start to 2025 and is making up for lost ground in FY3. 3. Since its inception, the portfolio has achieved a CAGR of 18.85% and outperformed SCHD by 9.14%.
- Palo Alto: Platformization Strategy Driving Double-Digit Growth1. Palo Alto Networks' 'Platformization' strategy integrates products into three main platforms, enhancing security, reducing complexity, and cutting costs. 2. The company's extensive product portfolio across key cybersecurity submarkets positions it to offer comprehensive solutions. 3. The Subscription segment, driven by Next-Gen Security products, is the primary growth driver with higher ARR growth.
- Synchrony Financial: Slow And Steady Wins The Race1. Synchrony Financial reported a mixed Q4 results with revenue and EPS falling short of estimates; 2. Key risks include the potential implementation of the CFPB's late fee rule and increasing competition from digital-native banking companies; 3. The stock is cheap at 9x forward EPS, with EPS growth expected to be 15-16% over the next two years.