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July 24
- Politics And The Markets 07/24/251. The article introduces a daily political discussion forum on Seeking Alpha where debates can become heated, emphasizing user discretion. 2. It outlines strict moderation guidelines prohibiting personal attacks, COVID-19 misinformation, hate speech, and incitements to violence. 3. A disclosure clarifies that comments reflect individual authors' views, not Seeking Alpha's official stance, and the platform is not a licensed financial advisor.
- A Major Market Rotation Is Likely Coming1. The article discusses the semiconductor industry's current challenges, including supply chain disruptions and geopolitical tensions; 2. It highlights advancements in semiconductor technology, such as AI integration and next-gen chip development; 3. The analysis also covers market trends, including rising demand for semiconductors in automotive and IoT sectors.
July 23
- Pfizer: Building The Next Oncology Empire1. TSMC exceeded Q2 revenue estimates with $20.67 billion, driven by AI chip demand; 2. Advanced 3nm/5nm processes contributed 65% of revenue, highlighting tech leadership; 3. The company raised 2024 semiconductor market growth forecast to 10% (excluding memory) amid AI expansion.
- We Think CoreWeave Will Be The First Domino1. CoreWeave's $60B valuation is criticized for high-cost debt (9% interest), negative margins, and lack of differentiation in GPU cloud services; 2. The company faces existential risks from rapid GPU depreciation, shareholder dilution, and competition from AWS/Azure with superior resources; 3. Analysts predict it could be an early casualty of AI investment bubbles due to unsustainable spending and slowing growth.
- Why Warren Buffett Chose This 2-Fund Portfolio For His Spouse?1. TSMC's A16 technology, launching in 2026, integrates nanosheet transistors and backside power delivery to enhance chip performance and energy efficiency; 2. The technology reduces interconnect resistance by 50% and improves power efficiency for AI/data center chips; 3. TSMC positions A16 as superior to Intel's 18A process, intensifying competition in advanced semiconductor manufacturing.
- Ferrari: Profitability Queen1. Samsung Electronics faces its first-ever major strike by the National Samsung Electronics Union over unresolved wage disputes; 2. The union demands higher wages and criticizes management for failing to address bonus discrepancies; 3. The strike threatens production disruptions, potentially impacting global semiconductor supply chains.
- Danaos Delivers Sustainable Dividends At Extraordinary Low Valuation1. Danaos maintains a strong position in the shipping market with low leverage, a robust balance sheet, and a modern fleet focused on sub-12,000 TEU vessels; 2. Long-term charters and a diversified customer base ensure stable cash flows through 2027, minimizing near-term market risks; 3. Environmental regulations, increased scrapping of older ships, and share buybacks support DAC's competitive edge and shareholder returns, offering a 3.8% dividend yield and value for income-focused investors.
- Intel Q2 Preview: Why I Expect More Pain, Offsetting All Gains1. Intel is rapidly losing market share in core segments like servers and CPUs, with revenue growth lagging competitors; 2. Management’s cost-cutting and margin improvements are insufficient to counter weak revenue trends; 3. Elevated valuation and bearish technical indicators suggest further downside risk, reinforcing a 'Sell' rating ahead of earnings.
- YMAX: This Fund-Of-Funds Could See Sustained Upside1. YMAX has stabilized after significant NAV erosion and entered an uptrend with technical strength; 2. The fund offers a high yield (~59%) and benefits from potential rate cuts and volatility-driven option strategies; 3. Past underperformance stemmed from capped upside via covered calls and high fees, but recent strategy adjustments improve its outlook for reclaiming the $15 level.
- Amazon: Valued At Near-Crisis Levels1. Amazon's current P/E ratio is lower than during the 2022 market panic triggered by inflation; 2. Despite lukewarm short-term sentiment, the company's fundamentals and long-term value creation remain strong; 3. Aggressive R&D and project investments are temporarily limiting share price growth but positioning Amazon for future expansion.
July 22
- Nkarta: Holding Its Support Steady Ahead Of First Data Readouts In 20251. The US government announced a $3.3 billion investment in Intel to strengthen domestic semiconductor manufacturing; 2. The funding will support Intel's construction of new facilities and upgrades to existing ones; 3. The initiative aims to reduce reliance on foreign chip supplies and enhance US competitiveness in the global semiconductor industry.
- BYD Is One Of The Best Investments On The Market, Period1. BYD is analyzed as one of the most undervalued investments based on sector-relative fundamentals; 2. Geopolitical risks and domestic economic challenges contribute to a sentiment discount, but stabilization could drive medium-term optimism; 3. A 40% upside for BYD stock is forecasted over the next 12 months.
July 21
- Now Is The Time To Build Your Income Stream With Preferred Stocks1. TSMC's 3nm chip technology faces challenges due to reduced orders from Apple and competition from Samsung/Intel; 2. Geopolitical tensions and global expansion strategies impact TSMC's market position; 3. The company invests in R&D and advanced packaging to maintain technological leadership amid industry shifts.
- Betting The Ranch: My 2 Largest Investments Just Got Even Better1. TSMC plans to mass-produce 2nm chips in 2025, with Apple and NVIDIA as key initial clients; 2. The 2nm process offers significant performance and energy efficiency improvements, reinforcing TSMC's leadership in advanced semiconductor manufacturing; 3. The breakthrough faces technical challenges but may accelerate innovations in AI and consumer electronics.
- POET Technologies: Ready For A Fortuitous Next 12 Months1. The author reiterates a Strong Buy rating on POET Technologies, citing a 49% stock price increase since the initial recommendation; 2. AI-driven data center demand is projected to grow 19-22% annually, with POET's optical interconnects addressing copper infrastructure limitations; 3. POET's patented interposer technology offers high-bandwidth, low-latency solutions critical for AI infrastructure expansion.
- CommScope: Leveraged But Loaded For Growth In AI Fiber And DOCSIS 4.01. CommScope returned to operating profit but remains unprofitable at the net income level due to high interest expenses; 2. The company has no debt maturities until 2027, providing time to reduce leverage and stabilize finances; 3. Growing demand for AI infrastructure and leadership in DOCSIS 4.0 hardware position COMM for long-term growth, though broader benefits may take years to materialize.
- Vizsla Silver: A Strategic Hold On The Path To Revaluation1. TSMC secures Apple's full order for 2nm process chips, solidifying its leadership in advanced semiconductor manufacturing; 2. Intel's foundry business faces significant setbacks as it loses key clients and struggles with technological competitiveness; 3. The development intensifies competition in global chip manufacturing, with TSMC and Samsung dominating cutting-edge processes while Intel attempts strategic adjustments.
- Oakmark International Fund Q2 2025 Commentary1. SMIC is China's largest semiconductor foundry, playing a critical role in advancing domestic chip production; 2. The company faces challenges due to U.S. export controls and geopolitical tensions impacting access to advanced technologies; 3. SMIC is focusing on R&D and capacity expansion to strengthen China's self-reliance in semiconductor manufacturing.
July 20
- Market Volatility Is Set To Make A Big Return1. The semiconductor industry is grappling with supply chain disruptions caused by pandemic-related delays and geopolitical tensions; 2. The global chip shortage has severely impacted automotive and electronics manufacturing, leading to production delays; 3. Industry leaders emphasize the need for increased investment in production capacity and diversified supply chains to address long-term challenges.
- FDVV: Compelling Choice For Retirees That Want Income And Growth1. FDVV combines dividend income with tech exposure, offering higher growth potential than traditional dividend ETFs like SCHD; 2. Its mix of stable dividend payers and growth-oriented tech stocks supports long-term returns and market resilience; 3. With a 3% yield, low fees, and diversification, it suits retirees seeking defensive growth despite slightly lower tax efficiency.
- Nvidia Will Continue Controlling The AI Board1. Nvidia dominates the AI ecosystem through hardware, software, and system control across training, inference, and networking; 2. Strategic partnerships with companies like Astera Labs and growth drivers like China market access and the Omniverse platform support strong revenue growth; 3. Despite high valuations, favorable PEG ratios and rapid growth justify investment, though US-China tensions pose risks.
- Company Buybacks Are Surging1. TSMC's Q2 revenue exceeded market expectations due to strong demand for AI chips; 2. The company highlighted its role as a major supplier for AI-related semiconductor applications; 3. Increased orders from AI and high-performance computing sectors drove revenue growth.
- Wall Street Week Ahead1. 3D chip stacking technology enhances performance and energy efficiency but faces thermal management challenges; 2. EUV lithography adoption accelerates for advanced nodes, though costs and technical complexities remain high; 3. Global supply chain disruptions drive efforts to improve resilience amid material shortages and geopolitical tensions.
- Tesla: No Room For Disappointment1. Tesla's aggressive valuation (62x P/CE for 2026) relies heavily on unproven self-driving/robotaxi prospects; 2. Auto sales are expected to grow 22% in 2026 with market share gains, but margin expansion faces risks; 3. Ride-hail stocks like Uber and Lyft are deemed more attractive due to lower execution risk and better value.
- Alpha Picks Weekly Market Recap1. The semiconductor industry is grappling with severe supply chain disruptions, leading to a global chip shortage; 2. Key factors include surging demand for electronics, pandemic-related production delays, and geopolitical trade restrictions; 3. Industry leaders are responding with massive investments in new fabrication plants and diversifying manufacturing locations to mitigate risks.
- NuScale: Improvements, But The $13B Market Cap Is Not Justified1. SMIC's Q1 2024 revenue fell by 19% year-on-year, reflecting weakened semiconductor demand and pricing pressures; 2. The company attributed the decline to inventory adjustments in the industry and reduced customer orders; 3. Despite the downturn, SMIC emphasized ongoing investments in advanced process technologies to capture future growth opportunities.
- Prologis: Quietly Powering The Next Economy1. The global semiconductor industry is grappling with severe challenges due to an ongoing chip shortage; 2. Supply chain disruptions, increased demand for electronics, and geopolitical tensions are key contributing factors; 3. Companies are adopting strategies like capacity expansion and supply chain diversification to mitigate risks.
- S&P 500 Snapshot: Another Record High1. TSMC's 3nm process technology significantly enhances the performance and efficiency of Apple's M4 chip; 2. The advancement reinforces TSMC's leadership in semiconductor manufacturing; 3. Intensified competition in the chip industry drives innovation and market dynamics.
- Tech Sector Overbought For 46 Trading Days And Counting1. The tech sector has surged 45% since early April 2025, reaching all-time highs; 2. This marks the 11th instance since 1990 of the sector remaining overbought for at least 40 consecutive trading days; 3. The longest overbought streak was 68 trading days, ending in February 1999.
- Politics And The Markets 07/20/251. The article introduces a daily political discussion forum on Seeking Alpha with unmoderated, heated debates; 2. It outlines strict moderation rules prohibiting personal attacks, COVID misinformation, hate speech, and incitement to violence; 3. Emphasizes the importance of respectful interaction despite political differences and provides contact details for moderation issues.