seekingalpha
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February 12
- Super Micro Computer Earnings: Don't Chase This Gamble1. Super Micro Computer, Inc. reported earnings that caused market uncertainty; 2. The company is experiencing governance issues; 3. Investors should avoid SMCI stock until audited financial results are available.
February 11
- OppFi Stock: Why I'm Buying This Dip1. OppFi Inc. targets underserved populations with financial products, showing impressive net income growth and operational efficiency improvements in Q3 FY2024; 2. Despite a slight revenue growth, OPFI's net income surged by 106.4% YoY, driven by cost management and improved credit quality; 3. The author believes that with a net adjusted margin of 15-20% on consensus revenue, OPFI stock could double from today's $15-16 per share.
- Wall Street Breakfast Podcast: Trump Signs New Order; GameStop Eyeing Bitcoin?1. President Trump signed a new order imposing 25% tariffs on steel and aluminum, potentially impacting U.S. steel consumers' competitiveness. 2. GameStop's stock surged nearly 10% on speculation of a bitcoin strategy. 3. OpenAI CEO Sam Altman dismissed acquisition rumors, emphasizing the company's mission-focused approach.
- Apple Vs. Twilio: Which Stock Is The Better Buy?1. The rise of DeepSeek, a Chinese AI app, has caused disruption in the tech industry. 2. Twilio's stock price has outperformed Apple's by nearly 170% over the past six months. 3. Despite strong performance, Apple is rated 'Hold' while Twilio is rated 'Strong Buy' based on Seeking Alpha's Quant Factor Grades. 4. The article discusses the impact of Apple's premium valuation on its Quant rating and compares it with Twilio.
- Amazon Is Supercharging Its AI Strategy1. Amazon's shares faced pressure due to lower-than-expected AWS growth in Q4'24; 2. Management anticipates stronger performance in e2h25; 3. Amazon is investing heavily in AI infrastructure to drive future growth.
- Alphabet: Why The Google Cloud Selloff Has A Silver Lining (Rating Upgrade)1. Alphabet reported a record Q4 with revenue reaching $96.47 billion, driven by strong growth in Google Search, YouTube, and Google Cloud. 2. Despite Google Cloud missing consensus estimates, the 30.1% growth indicates supply constraints rather than weak demand, signaling a positive long-term outlook. 3. Margins improved significantly, with operating margin expanding by 4.7% to 32.1% due to Cloud's increasing profitability and portion of total revenue. 4. The projection for Google Cloud revenue growth is a CAGR of approximately 29.7% through FY28, with improving operational efficiency expected to boost margins and EPS. 5. The price target has been upgraded to reflect the thesis that improving AI integrations, expanding market opportunities, and unmet Google Cloud demand will be key drivers of earnings growth.
- Chevron Has Continued Cash Flow Potential1. Chevron has continued to pay a strong and increasing dividend funded by FCF. 2. The company has a number of exciting growth projects coming online to drive returns. 3. Investors who invest today and hold on for the next several years will be well rewarded.
- Arm Holdings: A Central Piece Of The AI Ecosystem1. Arm Holdings' entrenched dominance in the mobile market ensures durable earnings growth; 2. Despite a high valuation, ARM's exceptional fundamentals and industry partnerships justify a Buy rating; 3. ARM is capitalizing on AI infrastructure build-out and custom silicon development to enter the data center market; 4. Slow accumulation of ARM stock is recommended for long-term investors.
- Hims & Hers Health: Explosive Growth Potential Ahead1. Hims & Hers Health has shown significant growth with a 350% stock gain in 2024; 2. The company has a strong balance sheet with $250M in cash and no debt; 3. Future growth is expected from personalized solutions and expanding subscriber base.
- Astera Labs, Inc. (ALAB) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Transcript1. Astera Labs held its Q4 2024 earnings call on February 10, 2025; 2. The call featured discussions on financial results, strategies, and future operations; 3. Management provided insights into the company's performance and market position.
February 10
- Are Quantum Computing Stocks Worth The Investment?1. Quantum computing is a disruptive innovation attracting billions of dollars and poised for long-term growth; 2. Tech leaders like Bill Gates and Jensen Huang have expressed optimism and skepticism; 3. Expected to deliver a 34.8% CAGR by 2032, leveraging evolving technologies and industry breakthroughs.
- Investing In Amazon: The Cloud As A Catalyst For Long-Term Profitability1. Amazon's cloud computing opportunity is significant, with AWS potentially regaining market share from Microsoft Azure and Google Cloud; 2. The market values AMZN highly due to its dominance in the cloud and the potential for further business diversification in areas like advertising; 3. AWS remains the top cloud player due to its strong foundation and ability to 'delight' customers.
- Broadcom: Huge AI Beneficiary Despite DeepSeek1. Broadcom Inc. is a global tech leader in semiconductors and enterprise software, significantly benefiting from the AI boom. 2. Despite strong financials and a promising AI market, recent news about Chinese AI lab DeepSeek has created near-term uncertainty. 3. AVGO's AI revenue surged 220% YoY in 2024, with a projected Serviceable Addressable Market of $60-90 billion by 2027.
February 9
- Palantir: Don't Gamble With Your Money1. Palantir Technologies' stock has surged nearly 370% in one year, raising questions about its 200x forward P/E ratio; 2. The article discusses the potential risks of irrational exuberance in AI stocks; 3. The author argues for caution in investing in AI stocks that are overvalued compared to their prospects.
- 4 Dividend Stocks To Help You Reach Your Retirement Goals1. Dividend income is crucial for financial security in retirement; 2. Focus on stocks with strong yields, reliable growth, and long-term resilience; 3. These picks offer stability, compounding potential, and inflation protection.
- Wall Street Week Ahead1. Investors will focus on January's consumer price inflation, followed by wholesale inflation data and retail sales figures. 2. The earnings season continues with major consumer companies reporting, including McDonald's, Coca-Cola, and Unilever. 3. The first estimate for the fourth quarter GDP in the European Union is due out on Friday.
- Palantir: The Brutal Narrative And The Shadows On The Horizon1. The author remains bullish on Palantir due to its strong revenue growth and operational success; 2. Risks include declining billings and reliance on interest income; 3. Palantir's stock could be affected if growth momentum slows, but maintaining growth above 25-30% justifies a market cap potentially exceeding $500 billion.
- Newmont Gold Still Has Room To Run1. Newmont Gold's stock price fell due to poor earnings and management handling of analyst expectations, despite strong growth potential. 2. The company reported strong operational performance with 1.7 million ounces of gold produced in Q3 and expects robust production and cash flows in Q4. 3. Newmont is focused on divesting non-core assets, reducing debt, and repurchasing shares, with a $3 billion share repurchase program and significant cash flow from asset sales.
- Novo Nordisk: 2024 Earnings Review1. Novo Nordisk's 2024 earnings exceeded estimates with 25% revenue growth; 2. The market overreacted to CagriSema trial results, leading to a 20% stock drop; 3. Despite the market's reaction, Novo Nordisk's shares offer attractive returns, leading to a Strong Buy rating.
- StoneCo: After A 22% Drop, We Have The Opportunity (Rating Upgrade)1. Brazil's GDP growth and low unemployment are positive for StoneCo despite the country's economic challenges; 2. StoneCo's recent financial results were strong with high margins and consistent earnings beats; 3. The company's valuation is attractive with a potential 18% upside.
- Micron: Undervalued At 6x 2026 Profits Amid Massive AI Tailwind1. Micron's stock underperformed in 2024, but strong AI and cloud computing demand suggest a robust tailwind for the next few years; 2. DeepSeek's cost-efficient AI models could boost overall AI adoption, increasing demand for Micron's memory solutions; 3. Analysts project Micron's operating profit to grow from $9 billion in FY 2025 to $15 billion in FY 2026.
February 8
- Klepierre: Good Performance, Wish My Position Was Larger1. Klepierre, a European Retail REIT with a strong portfolio of shopping malls in central European cities, offers a 6.32% yield and BBB+ rating. 2. Despite impressive fundamentals, growth is expected to be slower with a 4% EBITDA increase in 2024. 3. The company trades below its EPRA NTA, presenting a 10% discount, but US-based REITs offer more attractive opportunities. I rate Klepierre a 'Buy' at €31/share.
- PayPal: Buy The Meltdown1. PayPal Holdings' stock dropped 13% despite beating earnings and sales estimates due to a minor miss in payment volume expectations; 2. Active accounts grew by 2.6 million QoQ, indicating a resurgence in growth; 3. Transaction margins improved to 47%, suggesting better profitability, and the profit forecast for 2025 remains robust.
- Celestica: Insiders Selling Brings Concerns (Rating Downgrade)1. Celestica's stock has surged five-fold since the initial 'Buy' rating, outperforming the S&P 500. 2. Recent insider selling raises concerns despite strong Q4 results and growth prospects. 3. The downgrade to 'Hold' reflects cautious insider behavior and a limited margin of safety.
February 7
- Palantir: A Psychology Trade1. Palantir is believed to have the strongest narrative in the US equities market with impressive growth results. 2. The AIP platform is expected to sign more enterprise customers as reliability improves with more efficient LLM models and powerful GPUs. 3. The CEO's shareholder letter indicates a bold conviction that recent events are just the beginning of the AI revolution. 4. The author maintains a strong buy rating with a longer investment timeframe and potential for a pullback in the next weeks.
- Forget DeepSeek - Seek Deep Dividend Bargains Instead1. Discusses the concept of 'margin of safety' in investing; 2. Highlights undervalued picks offering steady dividends and portfolio resilience; 3. Emphasizes the importance of investing with a margin of safety in volatile markets.
- The Next Big Opportunity: My Favorite Dividend Stocks For The Shift Ahead1. The article discusses the potential for outperformance in industrials, energy, and transportation sectors due to improving indicators and global growth; 2. The author is positioning their portfolio for this shift by adding to railroads, machinery, and energy stocks; 3. The author acknowledges risks such as geopolitical tensions, inflation, or economic slowdowns but believes the risk/reward is favorable.
- Trade War Tactics: How I'm Protecting My Life Savings From The Worst Case Scenario1. Predictions suggest a sustained trade war could lead to a 28% bear market in the base case and a 44% decline in the worst-case scenario. 2. Managed futures, especially Simplify's CTA ETF, are effective hedging assets due to their negative downside capture ratio and trend-following precision. 3. The author's transition to CTA for hedging is gradual, with a plan to sell KMLM and buy more CTA if tariffs increase.
- Palantir: Ontology Gives It A Moat But Doesn't Solve Valuation Worries1. Palantir's ontology unlocks scalability and operational efficiency, making it a key differentiator in the competitive AI landscape. 2. The company's financial results support this, with very strong revenue growth and margin expansion. 3. The author acknowledges PLTR's potential but cautions against its current high multiples and possible growth volatility.
- AMD: We Have A Problem (Rating Downgrade)1. AMD has lost more than a third of its value over the past year, disappointing investors compared to Nvidia's growth. 2. Concerns about AMD's AI growth and lackluster PC sales have led to consistent cuts in bottom line forecasts. 3. The Q4 earnings report showed a decent revenue beat and current quarter guidance was ahead of expectations.