1. Maintain a neutral rating on BHP Group due to balanced risk-reward and preference for Rio Tinto's cheaper valuation and organic growth. 2. BHP's H1 2025 results showed a $2 billion sales decline, an 11% drop in EBITDA, and unchanged production guidance. 3. BHP's net debt expected to rise to $15 billion, dividend payout trimmed by 50% due to CAPEX plans and settlement costs.

1. Alphabet reported a record Q4 with revenue reaching $96.47 billion, driven by strong growth in Google Search, YouTube, and Google Cloud. 2. Despite Google Cloud missing consensus estimates, the 30.1% growth indicates supply constraints rather than weak demand, signaling a positive long-term outlook. 3. Margins improved significantly, with operating margin expanding by 4.7% to 32.1% due to Cloud's increasing profitability and portion of total revenue. 4. The projection for Google Cloud revenue growth is a CAGR of approximately 29.7% through FY28, with improving operational efficiency expected to boost margins and EPS. 5. The price target has been upgraded to reflect the thesis that improving AI integrations, expanding market opportunities, and unmet Google Cloud demand will be key drivers of earnings growth.

1. Ford's earnings are complicated by Rivian's impact and EVs, but the real issues are interest rate hikes and warranty costs; 2. Ford's significant EV losses are greatly overstated due to aggressive depreciation and valuation of $0 in internal transactions; 3. Ford Credit's earnings have been hit hard by higher interest rates, impacting the company's overall profitability; 4. Warranty and interest rate hikes are the main reasons for the decline in Ford's profitability since 2021; 5. The author continues to avoid Ford stock due to operational challenges and financial complexities.

1. Mastercard's upcoming Q3 results are crucial for validating its premium over Visa; 2. Key differences between Visa and Mastercard include size, focus, and profitability; 3. Mastercard's value-added services and new flows are growing faster than consumer payments.

1. JPMorgan's Q3 earnings exceeded expectations with significant beats in key metrics like net revenue, net interest income, and EPS, leading to a 4.44% stock price increase. 2. Year-over-year, NII growth was modest at 3%, and net income decreased by -1%. However, non-interest revenue saw a strong 12% growth. 3. Despite the CEO's belief that the stock multiple is inflated, the author believes it is fairly valued and justifies a buy rating due to the bank's strong positioning.

1. Zscaler's stock fell 15% after hours due to its projected 10th consecutive quarter of revenue growth deceleration. 2. Despite a strong balance sheet and medium-term growth prospects, concerns arise from slowing growth and competitive pressures. 3. The company's fiscal Q1 2025 is expected to show lower profit margins, contradicting expectations for higher profitability as it scales.

1. Abercrombie & Fitch's Q2 results exceeded expectations with significant growth and improved profitability across brands. 2. The company raised its FY2024 outlook above Wall Street estimates but failed to meet overly high investor expectations, leading to a stock crash. 3. The stock is now considered fairly valued after the recent decline, reflecting a more balanced assessment of its performance and future prospects.

1. Nvidia's Q2 FY2025 report showed a double-beat but failed to prevent a stock dip due to gross margin contraction. 2. The company's medium-to-long-term demand and margins are uncertain due to industry cyclicality and competition. 3. Nvidia's stock is considered overvalued, and the 5-year expected CAGR is below the investment hurdle rate.

1. Nvidia reported strong Q2 earnings but experienced a growth slowdown, leading to a 5% drop in after-hours trading. 2. The data center segment drove significant revenue growth, but Nvidia's heavy reliance on this unit poses risks. 3. Gross margins declined sequentially, and the new $50 billion buyback authorization is unlikely to significantly impact Nvidia's share count.

1. Snowflake reported softer-than-expected FY25 Q2 results, leading to continued negative sentiment. 2. The bear thesis focuses on increasing competition, decreasing margins, slowing revenue growth, high valuation, and significant stock-based compensation. 3. Despite these concerns, the company's strong growth prospects and recent product launches suggest a potential turnaround, making the current valuation a good risk/reward opportunity.

1. Dell Technologies is rated 'Hold' due to short-term challenges, despite potential long-term growth in AI and data sectors. 2. The weakening U.S. consumer market impacts Dell's Client Solutions Group, leading to declining sales and postponed purchases. 3. The Infrastructure Solutions Group faces competitive pressures and deferred investments, limiting immediate benefits from AI advancements.

1. Power Solutions International's share price soared, but sales continue to decline, indicating no fundamental improvement. 2. Margin improvements are temporary, driven by legal fee reversals and lower steel prices. 3. PSIX is significantly controlled by its parent company, WEICF, which may conflict with shareholder interests.

1. Nvidia's revenue growth is slowing significantly; 2. Delays in the release of new Blackwell chips could impact growth and stock valuation; 3. Hedge fund Elliott Investment Management labels Nvidia as a 'bubble', raising concerns about future demand and growth potential.

1. Nvidia is expected to report strong fiscal second-quarter 2025 results with significant earnings and revenue growth. 2. Analysts anticipate high expectations for Nvidia's guidance, with projections for continued growth in the fiscal third quarter. 3. Implied volatility levels for Nvidia stock are high, indicating potential resistance at the $130 price level post-earnings.

1. DiDi Global reported Q2 earnings with record high transactions and GTV, but domestic transaction volume growth has slowed. 2. The company's profitability and operational efficiency continue to improve, particularly in the China Mobility segment. 3. Despite short-term headwinds, DiDi's turnaround is progressing well, with the stock offering over 55% upside potential from fair value estimate.

1. Alibaba reported mixed second quarter results with a slight revenue increase but a decline in operating income and diluted earnings per share. 2. The company's e-commerce segment, Taobao and Tmall Group, remains its core business but faces challenges in a struggling Chinese retail market. 3. Alibaba's cloud and international expansion segments show potential for growth, and the stock is considered deeply undervalued.

1. Palo Alto Networks' Q4 earnings exceeded expectations, but the stock is overvalued at 29x forward free cash flow for mid-teen growth rates. 2. The author upgraded the stock from sell to hold, suggesting better opportunities in the cybersecurity sector. 3. SentinelOne, with faster growth and better valuation, is considered a more attractive investment compared to Palo Alto Networks.

1. JD.com reported strong Q2 earnings, significantly beating analyst estimates on profitability, leading to a >15% surge in share price. 2. The company repurchased approximately $3.3 billion in shares in H1 2024, representing around 7% of outstanding shares. 3. Management aims for a high-single digit profit margin, potentially generating $10-11 billion in annual net earnings, presenting a deep value opportunity.

1. Trinity Capital, a VC-focused BDC, has maintained performance in line with the overall BDC market despite a higher risk profile. 2. The Q2 2024 financials show strong metrics but reveal a decline in net investment income per share, barely covering the dividend. 3. The author remains skeptical due to thin dividend coverage, potential yield convergence, and rising debt costs.

1. Home Depot and Lowe's stocks reacted positively after earnings, but Home Depot's warning about a challenging period for home improvement raises concerns. 2. Lowe's has historically lagged behind Home Depot in financial performance and operational strategy, making it potentially more vulnerable in a downturn. 3. Lowe's valuation may not withstand a downward trend, potentially leading to stock price corrections.