1. Predictions suggest a sustained trade war could lead to a 28% bear market in the base case and a 44% decline in the worst-case scenario. 2. Managed futures, especially Simplify's CTA ETF, are effective hedging assets due to their negative downside capture ratio and trend-following precision. 3. The author's transition to CTA for hedging is gradual, with a plan to sell KMLM and buy more CTA if tariffs increase.