1. SMCI faces a February 25 deadline with a 80% chance of timely filing; 2. Put prices surged 30%, call prices dropped 20%, and max pain sits at $45; 3. Large investors were active above $59, but the lack of buying below $56 suggests caution and potential downside risk.
Recent #Investment Strategy news in the semiconductor industry
1. SoFi's stock price fell 18% post-4Q24 results despite double beat in revenue and EPS; 2. CEO Anthony Noto upgraded 2026 guidance during BofA conference; 3. Estimated EPS for 2026 is $0.76 based on upgraded guidance.
1. Palantir's stock experienced significant volatility due to defense budget cuts and CEO Alex Karp's new trading plan; 2. Despite strong revenue growth, Palantir's valuation is seen as irrationally high, leading to a downgrade to 'Strong Sell'; 3. The company's valuation is based on unrealistic revenue growth and profitability expectations, and the recent rally is likely driven by speculative frenzy and passive buying.
1. Maintain a neutral rating on BHP Group due to balanced risk-reward and preference for Rio Tinto's cheaper valuation and organic growth. 2. BHP's H1 2025 results showed a $2 billion sales decline, an 11% drop in EBITDA, and unchanged production guidance. 3. BHP's net debt expected to rise to $15 billion, dividend payout trimmed by 50% due to CAPEX plans and settlement costs.
1. Self-made millionaires build wealth through disciplined, consistent investing; 2. Focus on dividend growth stocks, avoid single-stock risks, and live below one's means to reinvest; 3. Invest in wide-moat companies with strong fundamentals, aiming for income and long-term gains without timing the market.
Super Micro Computer: The Worst Is Behind Us, But Credibility Takes Time To Rebuild (Rating Upgrade)
1. Super Micro Computer's stock fell 30% before a strong rally following weak 2Q earnings; 2. Management confident in timely completion of filings without major issues; 3. Company projects strong FY2026 outlook with $40 billion revenue target, driven by NVIDIA's Blackwell, but credibility issues remain a concern.
1. The Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF offers a mix of dividend income and growth but has limited dividend income potential. 2. The article demonstrates how to build a $100,000 dividend portfolio using SCHD as a core holding with 15 high-dividend yield companies. 3. The portfolio offers a higher income generation capacity with a Weighted Average Dividend Yield of 6.37% compared to SCHD's 3.56%. 4. The selected companies have attractive valuations with a Weighted P/E [FWD] Ratio of 14.62, lower than the S&P 500's 20.95.
1. The 4% rule may be outdated due to current inflation and market conditions, making income stocks more relevant; 2. Highlight two quality players offering well-covered dividends and strong business models; 3. Both companies have strong balance sheets and could potentially be rewarding for long-term income and growth.
1. Evidence suggests that the average annual return from stocks over the next 10 years will be very low, prompting an investor shift from buy-and-hold to market timing. 2. Graphs show a high correlation between the Shiller CAPE PE ratio and 10 year market returns; the current ratio of 38 suggests a near-zero price gain in the S&P by 2035. 3. A mixed strategy of 35% buy-and-hold and 35% market timing is proposed, focusing on outperforming stocks and sentiment-based timing.
1. The price of physical gold and the performance of gold mining stocks typically move together, but there are instances where this does not hold. 2. The current gold/silver ratio suggests investors might be unwinding positions to take profits or cut losses. 3. The article discusses the discrepancy between physical gold prices and gold mining stocks.
1. A rare dividend opportunity has emerged with strong yield, growth, and resilience; 2. Market conditions, valuation, and long-term fundamentals align to create a compelling case; 3. The author is confident in the risk-reward and considers these picks among the best opportunities in years.
1. Danaher Corp. has faced market punishment recently, showing resilience with strong margins and impressive FCF despite a tough year; 2. The company's strategic capital allocation suggests long-term value creation despite short-term pessimism; 3. Danaher's bioprocessing segment is showing consistent growth, and the upcoming patent cliff is expected to boost demand for their life science equipment; 4. Valuation analysis indicates the stock is undervalued with significant upside potential as market conditions improve.
1. The Global X NASDAQ 100 Covered Call ETF (QYLD) offers a straightforward buy-write strategy with high income but at the cost of capital gains. 2. Despite its competitive distribution, QYLD has underperformed the Nasdaq 100 index and newer competing ETFs in terms of total returns and yield. 3. Newer ETFs like GPIQ and QDTE offer better upside potential and higher returns, making QYLD less attractive for aggressive income investors.
1. The author discusses the changes in implied volatility favoring SPYI over QYLD since the last analysis. 2. Despite this, the author prefers QYLD due to its ability to generate high income and reduce portfolio correlation with the market. 3. The author emphasizes the importance of these factors in the context of the funds' primary roles.
1. Semiconductors are crucial for AI, and VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) has seen a 785% gain over the last decade; 2. SMH's success is driven by its concentrated portfolio in NVDA, AVGO, and TSM, despite high valuations; 3. The semiconductor industry is projected to grow significantly, making SMH a strong long-term investment; 4. SMH's dominance in AUM and returns, combined with its focus on industry leaders, makes it the best choice for long-term semiconductor investments.
1. Palantir's stock has surged to $117 per share, exceeding initial bullish expectations; 2. Despite strong revenue growth, the stock's valuation has reached mania-like levels; 3. The company's AIP platform is valuable but future growth expectations seem optimistic; 4. The current market cap and valuation multiples are unsustainable; 5. A 'Strong Sell' rating and short call are recommended.
1. SCHD is a popular ETF for dividend growth investors with a low expense ratio and attractive yield. 2. Its quarterly rebalancing can sell high-performing stocks too early, which is a double-edged sword. 3. The author prefers using SCHD for idea generation and a buy-and-hold strategy, but acknowledges its impact on long-term returns.
1. Palantir Technologies' stock has surged nearly 370% in one year, raising questions about its 200x forward P/E ratio; 2. The article discusses the potential risks of irrational exuberance in AI stocks; 3. The author argues for caution in investing in AI stocks that are overvalued compared to their prospects.
1. Newmont Gold's stock price fell due to poor earnings and management handling of analyst expectations, despite strong growth potential. 2. The company reported strong operational performance with 1.7 million ounces of gold produced in Q3 and expects robust production and cash flows in Q4. 3. Newmont is focused on divesting non-core assets, reducing debt, and repurchasing shares, with a $3 billion share repurchase program and significant cash flow from asset sales.
1. Discusses the concept of 'margin of safety' in investing; 2. Highlights undervalued picks offering steady dividends and portfolio resilience; 3. Emphasizes the importance of investing with a margin of safety in volatile markets.