1. ASML's installed base service revenue is its driver for incremental growth, but system sales are declining, raising concerns about demand health. 2. Declining unit sales volumes and an increase in used unit sales suggest rising price sensitivity among customers. 3. TTM net bookings are decreasing, indicating long-term demand risks. 4. Valuations are lower than usual compared to semiconductor equipment peers, and technical analysis shows a balanced fight between bulls and bears. 5. Gross margins are a key monitorable, with Q1 FY25 guidance beating expectations but a weaker outlook for H2 FY25.
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